Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race · 1m
SR 52 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blooming Rose | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Estrallita | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Glyndwr | 9/1 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Justenzia | 6/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Sherekiya | 10/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sonoran | 11/10 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 11/8 open 2.10 | 11/8 Paddy Power |
| 7 Venetian | 13/2 open 4.50 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 15/2 open 4.00 | 15/2 open 4.00 | 15/2 William Hill |
| 8 Master Garvey | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Morning Approach | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Rampage | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 11 King Of Eze | 18/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 15/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Thumama Sands | 80/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sonoran owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sonoran (SR:85, 6/5) holds a commanding SR advantage over the entire field — 13 points clear of the next-best Venetian (SR:72) and 19 clear of Glyndwr (SR:66). That superiority is substantial enough to override the uninspiring recent form string (699510), which reflects running off a mark only 2lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+2) and moderate distance/going fit (DistFit:~, GoingFit:~) rather than a horse in decline. Trainer G.M. Lyons operates at a 16% career strike rate with 984 runners — a professional yard who will not be running a 6/5 shot without confidence, and the course place (Course:W0P1) shows familiarity with the Dundalk surface. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a positive intervention signal and the weight (9-13) is shared by most of the field, so no penalty burden applies here. Each-way alternative: Glyndwr. Main danger: Venetian — Venetian (SR:72, 9/2) has a strong course record (W2P6) and carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 9-8, but the 200-day absence and a massive 35% market drift are serious red flags that the yard may not have this one ready.