Pride of Nepal has run over today's trip and going, and he's back after 16 days, but he's finished sixth in his last two and last won six starts back. Carrying 156 lb from draw 10, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 66 ranking him fifth of 15.
Form last 6174466
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Mighty Quiet has been in the frame twice in her last five, a third two starts back and a second five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating puts her second of 15, but a ninth last time out and 67 days off are the worry.
Form last 62-6439
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sweet Kiss won last time out and ran only 12 days ago, so she arrives fit, with a third two starts back and a pair of seconds earlier in her recent form. She has run over today's trip and going before, though 155 lb is a sizeable burden.
Form last 6225431
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR69RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Expressionless has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's top of our ranking on a figure of 74, well clear of his official mark of 61, so he looks a leading threat from stall one. The risk is a form line of unplaced, eighth and fifth in his last three, with 152 lb to carry.
Form last 6583580
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR74RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Alazwar arrives fit after 12 days, a fourth last time out following back-to-back wins, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 152 lb from stall three, though, he's ranked only seventh of 15 by our rating of 64, which tempers the enthusiasm.
Form last 6002114
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR64RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Furhaan arrives in solid form, third last time out and second two starts back, with a fresh enough 20 days since his last run and experience of today's going. Yet he is winless in his last six and carries 150 lb from draw 15, which tempers the appeal.
Form last 6349323
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR63RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Palazzo Persico won twice in his last six starts but has slipped to a sixth last time out, after a third two starts back, and returns from 41 days off having run over today's trip. Carrying 150 lb from draw 13 and with his yard out of form at 2/40, he looks a midfield type, ranked tenth of 15 by our rating.
Form last 6151536
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR61RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Flamingo Rose is hard to fancy, having slipped from a win four starts back to an eighth, a fifth, then a third last time out, and she has to shoulder 150 lb from stall 12. In her favour, she is fit after nine days off and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 60 ranks her 11th of 15.
Form last 6/18-53
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR60RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Rogers Dream arrives in good heart, third last time out, third two starts back and a winner three starts back, only 13 days after her latest run, and she has run over today's trip. A weight of 150 lb from draw 14 tempers things, and our rating of 65 only ranks her sixth of 15.
Form last 6443133
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR65RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Star Start has slid down the order, with a fifth last time out, a fourth and a sixth before that, and his one win came six starts back, so he is hard to fancy with the yard cold at 1/20. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and is fresh from a run 12 days ago, while our rating of 59 only ranks him 12th of 15.
Form last 6120645
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR59RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fresh from a win last time out, Artavian has also run third two starts back and has experience over today's trip and going, but that form is patchy behind it, with a seventh three starts back. Carrying 148 lb from stall seven, he is ninth of 15 on our rating, so he looks a midfielder.
Form last 6736731
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR61RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Electrical has finished eighth last time out and sixth two starts back, yet our rating of 67 ranks him fourth of 15 and sits well above his official mark of 59, so he looks a live threat on 23 days' rest from stall 6. The main risk is that he is winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6767568
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR67RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Won last time out and was second two starts back, so the form is on the up, but he has only that one win in his last six and has been unplaced twice in that spell. Carrying 145 lb from draw 11, he has run over today's trip, yet our rating of 56 ranks him 13th of 15, which makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6008421
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR56RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dandy's Angel is winless in her last six, though she was second last time out and a second three starts back show she can get involved; back in just two days, she has run over today's trip and going, but carries 138 lb from draw 9 and is ranked 14 of 15 on our figures.
Form last 6366262
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR55RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Queenies Pal is winless in her last six, with back-to-back eighths most recently and nothing better than a fifth five starts back, so she is hard to fancy. Her official mark of 43 is low, though, and she comes here after 28 days off, drawn two, rated bottom of 15 on our figures.
Form last 6950788
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR43RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sweet Kiss owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Tim EasterbyMiss Amy Collier
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mighty Quiet
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Harry Charlton✓ Value Signal
Pride of Nepal
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Archie Watson◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sweet Kiss (SR:67, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has been strongly backed from an opening price, steaming in 22% to become co-favourite. Her form reads 225431 — a win last time out at the same class level (ClassMv:=) — and while GoingFit is unproven in heavy, she carries only 11-1 which is a significant weight advantage over the top-weights. Jockey Miss Amy Collier sports a 20% career strike rate from 41 rides — notably strong for an amateur — and the combination of top SR, market confidence, class consistency and a course placing (W0P1 at Nottingham) makes her the standout pick in a field where the majority of rivals are comprehensively outrated.
Each-way alternative: Mighty Quiet.
Main danger: Mighty Quiet — Mighty Quiet (SR:61, 4/1) is second in the SR rankings, has been backed in 20% to a competitive price, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) and carries the same weight as Sweet Kiss at 11-2, making him the most credible threat if Sweet Kiss fails to handle the heavy ground.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit is 'p' (good-to-soft/soft placed) but today's going is heavy — Sweet Kiss has no proven form in heavy ground, a significant unknown at this time of year.
Tim Easterby's yard runs at only 11% strike rate (4773 runners, modest return) and amateur jockey Miss Collier has just 41 career rides — a small sample making that 20% strike rate statistically frag…
Mighty Quiet (SR:61, HG:t — handles testing/heavy) has proven heavy-ground form and has been backed in 20% to 4/1, representing a serious alternative that may relish conditions Sweet Kiss cannot hand…
MarkMv of +4 suggests Sweet Kiss's official mark has risen 4lb since last win, and the class label '=' may mask a tightening handicap scenario where rivals carrying lower weights on soft ground close…