Kempton (AW) 17:15 RESULTED
Class 6 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II) · 1m

Official Result

Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Melodical (GB) Ashley Lewis · Ed Walker
    7/1
  2. 4/11F
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 22 hours, 40 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Who Is Alice silks
Who Is Alice Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-3
553053
53
—
53OR
3
9-3
—
—
SP
—
1
Fizzy Bear silks
Fizzy Bear
Age 3 · 9-9
043623
59
66
62
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
6/4 6/5 5/4
Fizzy Bear has been consistent, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Quick back out after two days is the main risk, though he's yet to win in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 6/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Roccobear silks
Roccobear
Age 3 · 9-8
256354
58
61
66
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 10/1 11/2
Roccobear showed consistent form with a fourth last time out and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 66, he is yet to win in his last six, but returns 29 days since his last run.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Chelio silks
Chelio
Age 3 · 9-7
682338
57
68
65
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 11/2 3/1
Chelio arrives with a second and two thirds in his last four outings, and our rating of 65 ranks him second of 8, with experience of today's trip and going; he's yet to win in recent starts, though, and an eighth last time out is the concern after 23 days off.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Melodical silks
Melodical
Age 3 · 9-6
5-6553
56
61
60
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 10/3 8/1
Melodical comes into this on the back of a third last time out, her best finish in a consistent run of fifths and a sixth, and she has run over today's trip before. Our rating of 60 sits above her official 56, though she is yet to win and carrying 132 lb from draw 7 is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Crown The Future silks
Crown The Future FAV
Age 3 · 9-5
045212
55
71
59
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
4/11 31/19 5/14
Crown The Future arrives in cracking recent form, second last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Only four days since his last run and a cold stable (2/40) temper enthusiasm, while 131 lb from stall four is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Baggie Boy silks
Baggie Boy
Age 3 · 9-2
9-6800
52
40
47
3
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 50/1
Winless in his last five, with finishes of ninth, sixth and eighth before two unplaced efforts, Baggie Boy is hard to fancy, and a yard going 2/40 recently doesn't help. He has run over today's trip and is rated 47 by us, seventh of eight.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Claytons Kolatonic silks
Claytons Kolatonic
Age 3 · 8-13
966506
49
46
58
3
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 18/1 12/1
Claytons Kolatonic has run over today's trip and going and arrives fresh after 26 days, but he is winless in his last six, finishing sixth last time out, and he carries 125 lb from stall 9; our rating of 58 puts him sixth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Gloriola silks
Gloriola
Age 3 · 8-9
052360
45
38
47
3
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 28/1 25/1
Gloriola is winless in her last six and was unplaced last time out, which makes her hard to fancy, ranked last of eight on our figures. She has run over today's trip and is back quickly after 13 days, with a third and a second in recent form the best of it.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Who Is Alice — — — — — — —
1 Fizzy Bear 6/4 open 3.75 6/4 open 2.88 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.25 5/4 open 2.20 13/8 William Hill
2 Roccobear 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 Bet365
3 Chelio 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 7.50 3/1 open 8.00 3/1 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.50 3/1 open 8.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Melodical 8/1 open 4.33 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 Bet365
5 Crown The Future 4/11 open 3.00 4/11 open 2.63 2/5 open 2.75 2/5 open 2.88 2/5 open 3.00 2/5 open 2.75 2/5 Coral
7 Baggie Boy 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Claytons Kolatonic 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Gloriola 28/1 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crown The Future

Speculative

Crown The Future owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/11 Tony Carroll Marco Ghiani
77% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Chelio

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Denis Coakley
✓ Value Signal

Baggie Boy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Tony Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Crown The Future
57.3 4/11
2 3. Chelio
52.1 7/2
3 1. Fizzy Bear
51.0 6/4
4 4. Melodical
45.9 8/1
5 2. Roccobear
45.2 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chelio
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-5
4/11
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
6/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 6/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-8
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chelio
Confidence: Speculative

Chelio (SR:68, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field on a favourable weight of 9-7, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) which is a tangible advantage, and crucially is the only runner with a proven distance record (DistFit:+) — every other runner carries DistFit:-, meaning the mile is an unknown or a documented weakness for them. The market has backed this assessment hard, steaming in 45% from opening price. Crown The Future (SR:71, 5/6F) holds the SR edge but carries MarkMv:+5, meaning it runs off a mark 5lb higher than its last win, has DistFit:- at this trip, and despite being the yard's #1 with strong market support, the combination of a higher mark and unproven mile is a specific vulnerability. Chelio's class drop plus distance fitness is a multi-signal case that justifies opposing the favourite at 7/2. Each-way alternative: Fizzy Bear. Main danger: Crown The Future — Crown The Future has the best SR in the field at 71, carries the lightest competitive weight of 9-5 for the yard's #1 booking (Marco Ghiani, 16% strike rate), has steamed in 36%, and the recent 045212 form includes two consecutive placed efforts — if the MarkMv:+5 and DistFit:- concern prove unfounded on the day, it wins.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Chelio's recent form reads 682338 — that final '8' means a last-place finish last time out, and no win in the sequence; a horse without a recent win signal is vulnerable even dropping a class.
  • Denis Coakley runs at just 11% strike rate from 329 runners, and jockey George Bass at 12% — neither is a particularly sharp handler/rider combination for a race where the market has priced Chelio at…
  • Fizzy Bear (6/4) ran just 2 days ago and is course-placed (W0P1 at Kempton AW), suggesting significant fitness and track-specific suitability that Chelio's field-high SR and class drop do not obvious…
  • Melodical at 11/4 is also shorter in the market despite a lower SR, carries 1lb less, and is trained by the high-strike Ed Walker (16%) — the market may be signalling a runner the primary analyst has…
Shortlist Chelio, Crown The Future, Fizzy Bear, Melodical
Each-way: Fizzy Bear Danger: Crown The Future

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade