Kempton (AW) 16:45 RESULTED
Class 6 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I) · 1m

Official Result

Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Girls Allowed (IRE) Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett
    5/4F
  2. 40/1
  3. 11/1
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16:15–20:15 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 21 hours, 59 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Girls Allowed silks
Girls Allowed FAV
Age 3 · 9-9
462901
60
67
60
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/10 10/11 11/10
Fresh from a win last time out 19 days ago, she has run over today's trip and going, but a ninth and an unplaced effort in the two runs before that show inconsistency. Carrying 135 lb from draw 4, she sits fifth of ten on our rating.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Upsomdowns silks
Upsomdowns
Age 3 · 9-7
-28040
58
61
66
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 9/2 4/1
Upsomdowns is yet to win in his last five starts, but he was second five starts back and a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 66 puts him top of the ten, and 21 days since his last run suggests he should be fit enough, though he was unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Blue Hill silks
Blue Hill
Age 3 · 9-6
54557
57
52
61
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 8/1 11/1
Consistent without being able to land a race, Blue Hill has finished fourth or fifth in four of her last five and is back quickly after 14 days, with experience over today's trip. Our rating ranks her fourth of ten, but a seventh last time out and 132 lb are the worries.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Gatlinburg silks
Gatlinburg
Age 3 · 9-6
884059
57
47
63
3
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 10/1
Rated 63 by us and second-best of ten, Gatlinburg looks a leading danger, with a fresh 15-day turnaround, experience over today's trip and an official mark of 57 that looks workable from stall 1. The risk is plain, though: he is winless in his last six, finishing ninth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Seapearl silks
Seapearl
Age 3 · 9-4
6969
55
46
41
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 11/2 9/1
Seapearl is winless in her last four, finishing ninth last time out and sixth two starts back, and she returns after 204 days off, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks her last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Malakai Kite silks
Malakai Kite
Age 3 · 9-3
435390
54
31
62
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 40/1
Malakai Kite looks a leading danger, with our rating ranking him third of ten and two thirds in his last six, a third five starts back and another three starts back, showing he can get involved; he has run over today's trip and races off 54. The main risk is a 43-day absence after an unplaced run last time and a ninth two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Far Far Out silks
Far Far Out
Age 3 · 9-1
588004
52
28
57
3
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 28/1
Far Far Out was fourth last time out and has run over today's trip, but he is winless in his last six and was unplaced in two of the three runs before that. A 14-day turnaround and a rating of 57 on our figures offer some support, though the yard's 2/40 form is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Karmacy silks
Karmacy
Age 3 · 8-13
78-87P
50
23
49
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 22/1 40/1
Karmacy is hard to fancy: she pulled up last time out, was seventh two starts back and is winless in her last five, with a 152-day layoff to overcome. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 49 ranks her ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

9
Wild Rosie silks
Wild Rosie
Age 3 · 8-10
078464
47
48
53
3
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 5/1 6/1
Wild Rosie arrives fit after 19 days, with a fourth last time out and a fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip, but she is winless in her last six and has finished sixth, eighth and seventh in between. Our rating of 53 sits her seventh of ten from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Dora Vita silks
Dora Vita
Age 3 · 8-9
605387
45
27
51
3
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 28/1 33/1
Dora Vita is winless in her last six, with a seventh last time out and an eighth before that, and she returns after 71 days off. Her one bright spot is a third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going, but eighth of ten on our figures makes her hard to fancy from stall 2.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Girls Allowed 11/10 open 1.91 11/10 11/10 open 2.00 11/10 open 2.00 11/10 open 2.00 11/10 11/10 Bet365
2 Upsomdowns 9/2 open 10.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 9/2 Bet365
3 Blue Hill 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
4 Gatlinburg 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Seapearl 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 Bet365
6 Malakai Kite 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
7 Far Far Out 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Karmacy 40/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 Paddy Power
9 Wild Rosie 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 Bet365
10 Dora Vita 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Girls Allowed

Speculative

Girls Allowed owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Julia & Shelley Birkett Dylan Hogan
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Upsomdowns

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Pat Phelan
✓ Value Signal

Far Far Out

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Tony Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Girls Allowed
53.2 11/10
2 2. Upsomdowns
48.5 9/2
3 9. Wild Rosie
45.5 6/1
4 4. Gatlinburg
40.7 11/1
5 5. Seapearl
40.3 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Girls Allowed
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Girls Allowed
Confidence: Medium

Girls Allowed (SR 67, 11/10) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 field, carrying 9-9 which is manageable given the SR advantage is substantial — the next best is Upsomdowns at SR 61, six points behind, and the rest fall away sharply. The course record (W1P1 at Kempton) is a tangible positive on an AW track where familiarity matters. DistFit:- is a note of caution at the mile, but at this class level the SR dominance and course form override marginal distance uncertainty. The MarkMv:+12 is the one genuine concern — running off a mark 12lb higher than last win — but in a field this weak, where the next-best rated runners (Upsomdowns at 61, Wild Rosie at 48) are significantly inferior, Girls Allowed has enough in hand to absorb that penalty. Each-way alternative: Upsomdowns. Main danger: Upsomdowns — Upsomdowns (SR 61, 9/2) has steamed in significantly (Mkt:in32%) — the sharpest move in the field — and at 2lb lighter than Girls Allowed, the market clearly thinks connections have found a suitable opportunity, though the SR gap of six points and DistFit:- make it the danger rather than the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+12 means Girls Allowed runs 12lb above her last winning mark — in a Class 6 field her SR lead is real but a 12lb rise is a steep ask, especially with form showing a '0' in her most recent out…
  • DistFit:- flags a genuine question mark at this mile trip on AW — if she is optimally suited shorter, the pace scenario over 1m at Kempton could find her out, particularly if the race develops as a t…
  • Jockey Dylan Hogan strikes at only 11% and has 1,044 rides logged — a journeyman book rather than a booking reflecting stable confidence; compare to Oisin Murphy (22%) aboard Seapearl, who despite a…
  • Trainer strike rate of 14% is modest and the stable is a small two-person operation (214 runners); no market support data shown for Girls Allowed suggests no notable confidence signal from connection…
Shortlist Girls Allowed, Upsomdowns, Wild Rosie
Each-way: Upsomdowns Danger: Upsomdowns

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade