Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap Stakes · 0m5f8y
SR 71 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Duran | 11/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Campenaerts | 14/1 open 5.50 | 16/1 open 5.50 | 16/1 open 5.50 | 16/1 open 5.50 | 16/1 open 5.50 | 16/1 open 5.50 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Level Up | 14/1 open 5.50 | 18/1 open 6.00 | 18/1 open 5.50 | 18/1 open 5.50 | 18/1 open 5.50 | 18/1 open 5.50 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Vince L'Amour | 10/1 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Dragon Spin | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Edgewater Drive | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Run This Way | 7/1 open 9.50 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Rambuso Creek | 5/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Alnofoor | 11/4 open 6.00 | 5/2 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 5.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 10 Loco Lobo | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Duran owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 71 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Duran (SR 71, 10/3) is the top-rated horse in a field where no runner exceeds SR 71, and the market has backed it in 12% — meaningful support in a 10-runner Class 5 sprint on heavy ground. The MarkMv:-13 is the standout signal: running off a mark 13lb lower than his last win represents a massive handicap concession from the assessor, and the visor (HG:v) has been retained suggesting connections are happy with the headgear setup. Trainer Tinkler (11%) and jockey Scott (11%) are a functional combination, and Course:W0P2 shows Nottingham familiarity even without a win. The one note of caution is GoingFit:- — he has a poor record on heavy — but the 13lb drop in mark and the market confidence outweigh that reservation at this class level. Each-way alternative: Alnofoor. Main danger: Alnofoor — Alnofoor (SR 66, 3/1) is the market favourite with the second-highest SR in the field, has been backed in 28% — stronger money than Duran — and Ray Dawson (14% strike rate) is the best jockey on the card by career win percentage, though DistFit:- and an unproven going record (GoingFit:?) on heavy are genuine reservations that stop it being the selection.