Newton Abbot 13:21 RESULTED
Class 3 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday St. Austell Brewery Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

St. Austell Brewery Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race) · 2m5f122y

Official Result

St. Austell Brewery Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Vango Can Go (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    1/4F
  2. 11/2
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 21 hours, 58 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crystal Orchard silks
Crystal Orchard
Age 5 · 11-2
8553-
—
146
—
5
11-2
★★★★☆
—
13/2 3/1 6/1
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
JPR Two silks
JPR Two
Age 5 · 11-2
86-
—
130
—
5
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 25/1
SR 130 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 130 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sirgreg silks
Sirgreg
Age 5 · 11-2
3-
—
146
—
5
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 17/2 12/1
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Vango Can Go silks
Vango Can Go FAV
Age 5 · 11-2
2/138-
—
163
—
5
11-2
★★★★☆
—
2/9 1/4 1/7
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crystal Orchard 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 Bet365
2 JPR Two 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 28/1 Coral
3 Sirgreg 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 William Hill
4 Vango Can Go 2/9 open 1.36 1/7 open 1.25 2/11 open 1.28 2/11 open 1.28 2/9 open 1.30 1/5 open 1.29 2/9 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Vango Can Go

High conviction

Vango Can Go owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (91) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/9 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
87% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crystal Orchard

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Joe Tizzard
✓ Value Signal

JPR Two

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Paul Nicholls
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +34.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Vango Can Go
79.1 2/9
2 1. Crystal Orchard
69.4 13/2
3 3. Sirgreg
62.6 12/1
4 2. JPR Two
54.2 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Vango Can Go
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 11-2
2/9
★★★★☆ SR 163 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 5 · 11-2
13/2
★★★★☆ SR 146 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 5 · 11-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾 —

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Vango Can Go
Confidence: Medium

Vango Can Go (SR 163, 1/5) is the clear class standout — 17 SR points above the next-best pair and dropping two tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into Class 3 novice company. Dan Skelton (22% strike rate, 2,682 runners) and Harry Skelton (27%, 1,724 runners) is the most powerful training-riding combination in the field by some distance, and the market has firmed a further 10% (Mkt:in10%) on an already prohibitive price. The 231-day absence is a minor flag, but Skelton's yard is expert at producing horses fresh and the form string shows a win and a place at higher level. All four runners share equal weight (11-2), removing any handicap concern, and this horse's SR of 163 — top-class on the Saturday Rating scale — simply outclasses rivals rated 146 and 130. Each-way alternative: Sirgreg. Main danger: Sirgreg — Sirgreg (SR 146, 11/1) has been backed in 23% (Mkt:in23%), steps up two classes suggesting connections believe the horse is ready, and a 327-day absence on soft ground could mean it returns significantly improved — if Vango Can Go disappoints fresh, Sirgreg is best placed to capitalise.

Case against 3 clamped
  • 231-day absence is significant for a novice hurdler dropping in class — the last run ended in a dash (-) suggesting a pull-up or fall, which combined with the long lay-off raises fitness and soundnes…
  • Form string '2/138-' shows the most recent completed run was a 3rd or 8th (depending on slash interpretation) and the dash finish; no win since a point-to-point, so the 'top-class SR' may not reflect…
  • At 1/5, the return is negligible and the price offers zero margin for error — any minor setback (jumping error, slow start, fitness deficit) means backers lose with no compensation from odds.
Shortlist Vango Can Go, Sirgreg, Crystal Orchard
Each-way: Sirgreg Danger: Sirgreg

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m5f122y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade