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18:45 Kempton (AW) 28 Oct 2026 Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap Stakes

  • 8 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 6f Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Pure Mint

Oisin Murphy Simon Crisford

98SR 98RPR 87OR evnOdds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 59 · Field avg 60 -1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Oisin Murphy 611 wins from 2839 rides 22 WIN %
  • Simon Crisford 1 wins from 17 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
2

Thames Waterman

Finley Marsh Richard Hughes

83SR 83RPR 85OR 17/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-75 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 60 +3

Going Record

on Good to Soft
67%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Finley Marsh 222 wins from 1619 rides 14 WIN %
  • Richard Hughes 216 wins from 1423 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 103 wins from 606 together 17WIN %
3

Treasurer

David Probert Charlie Fellowes

69SR 92RPR 85OR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 60 -7

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Probert 325 wins from 2424 rides 13 WIN %
  • Charlie Fellowes 85 wins from 793 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 6 together 17WIN %
4

Sovereign Glory

Jason Watson Charles Hills

85SR 97RPR 84OR 13/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-32 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 60 -14

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jason Watson 252 wins from 1893 rides 13 WIN %
  • Charles Hills 182 wins from 1260 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 29 wins from 177 together 16WIN %
5

Henley On Thames

David Egan Kevin Philippart de Foy

97SR 93RPR 83OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 83 · Field avg 60 +23

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Egan 285 wins from 2117 rides 13 WIN %
  • Kevin Philippart de Foy 112 wins from 712 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 30 wins from 168 together 18WIN %
6

Conciliate

Callum Hutchinson John Butler

71SR 83RPR 80OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-17 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 60 -6

Going Record

on Good to Soft
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Hutchinson 118 wins from 1003 rides 12 WIN %
  • John Butler 152 wins from 1172 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 10 together 0WIN %
7

Lord Ragnar

Marco Ghiani Ed Dunlop

69SR 83RPR 77OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 66 · Field avg 60 +6

Going Record

on Good to Soft
80%
✓ Proven

1 win, 3 placed · 5 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 17% +33

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Marco Ghiani 280 wins from 1761 rides 16 WIN %
  • Ed Dunlop 136 wins from 1144 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 18 together 6WIN %
8

Arthur Carrot

Jack Callan George Boughey

82SR 79RPR 74OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+14 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 60 -4

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jack Callan 120 wins from 865 rides 14 WIN %
  • George Boughey 247 wins from 1351 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 27 wins from 152 together 18WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
3 Drifters
2 Flat