Nottingham 13:46 RESULTED
Class 3 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)

EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) · 1m0f75y

Official Result

EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Leo Phelps (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Owen Burrows
    5/1
  2. Second Fulcrum (GB)
    4/7F
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 21 hours, 58 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Space Bob silks
Space Bob Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-2
2
—
—
—
2
9-2
—
—
SP
—
1
Bantry Bay silks
Bantry Bay
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
137
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 15/1
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Fort McHenry silks
Fort McHenry
Age 2 · 9-2
6
—
126
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
50/1 22/1 40/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Fulcrum silks
Fulcrum FAV
Age 2 · 9-2
4
—
157
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
4/6 5/6 8/13
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Leo Phelps silks
Leo Phelps
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
151
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
11/2 9/2 5/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Noble Mariner silks
Noble Mariner
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
142
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 10/1
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Silent Force silks
Silent Force
Age 2 · 9-2
32
83
93
83OR
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 FCST 5/2
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Space Bob — — — — — — —
1 Bantry Bay 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 15/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Fort McHenry 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
3 Fulcrum 4/6 open 1.91 4/6 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 8/13 open 1.91 8/13 open 1.91 8/11 Coral
4 Leo Phelps 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 Bet365
5 Noble Mariner 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365
6 Silent Force 11/4 open 4.00 5/2 11/4 11/4 11/4 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fulcrum

High conviction

Fulcrum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/6 John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Leo Phelps

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Owen Burrows
✓ Value Signal

Fort McHenry

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Charlie Fellowes
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Fulcrum
77.3 4/6
2 4. Leo Phelps
70.7 11/2
3 5. Noble Mariner
63.5 10/1
4 1. Bantry Bay
59.2 18/1
5 6. Silent Force
56.1 11/4
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Fulcrum
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Fulcrum FAV
Age 2 · 9-2
4/6
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾 —

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fulcrum
Confidence: High

Fulcrum (SR:157, 5/6) is the standout ability benchmark in this field by a clear margin — 6 points clear of Leo Phelps and 15 clear of Noble Mariner. John & Thady Gosden operate at 24% strike rate across 1,516 runners, and stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1) into this maiden strongly signals connections expect a performance. Robert Havlin (15%, 1,630 runners) is a capable stable ally. The debut fourth (Form:4) gives a live form reading to work from, and dropping in class removes any excuse. Silent Force (9/4) is a significant market mover at Mkt:in13% and holds actual form figures of 3-2, but its SR:93 is far too low to compete with Fulcrum's raw ability — the market support is likely driven by its previous experience rather than genuine class. Fulcrum's price of 5/6 implies roughly 55% and we shade that to 45% to account for the unknown going/trip interaction, but nothing in the data seriously undermines the selection. Each-way alternative: Leo Phelps. Main danger: Leo Phelps — Leo Phelps (SR:151, 5/1) has been backed in 8% (Mkt:in8%), Owen Burrows runs at 22% strike rate, Callum Rodriguez is a high-percentage jockey, and the SR:151 is genuinely close enough to Fulcrum's 157 that if Fulcrum underperforms on debut heavy-ground experience, Leo Phelps is the obvious beneficiary.

Case against 4
  • Fulcrum's only run resulted in a 4th on debut — beaten form, not a win or placed — and we have no evidence it has improved sufficiently in 14 days to dominate this field.
  • Leo Phelps (SR:151, 5/1) is a debut runner from Owen Burrows (22% strike rate) with Callum Rodriguez (19%) and is drifting inward 8% — a live unknown that could outrate Fulcrum on the day without the…
  • Silent Force's market support (in 13%) at 9/4 from an experienced handler (Balding, 18%) with proven form figures of 3-2 suggests the market sees race-fitness and tactical experience as a credible co…
  • No going/trip data shown for Fulcrum's debut fourth; if that run was on different ground to today's late-October Nottingham conditions, the class drop may not offset an unfavourable going switch.
Shortlist Fulcrum, Leo Phelps, Silent Force
Each-way: Leo Phelps Danger: Leo Phelps

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m0f75y Distance to cover
Heavy Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade