Newton Abbot 14:21 RESULTED
Class 4 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday Brewers Decorating Centres Albany Derby Female Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race)

Brewers Decorating Centres Albany Derby Female Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race) · 2m4f216y

Official Result

Brewers Decorating Centres Albany Derby Female Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Star Of Affinity (IRE) Lilly Pinchin · Joe Tizzard
    5/2F
  2. 5/1
  3. 12/1
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12:46–15:46 · 7 races

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13:06–16:06 · 7 races

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13:21–16:21 · 7 races

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14:00–17:30 · 8 races

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16:15–20:15 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 22 hours, 40 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Star of Affinity silks
Star of Affinity FAV
Age 7 · 12-0
/4214-
114
116
113
7
12-0
★★★★☆
—
3/1 FCST 11/4
Star of Affinity is a leading danger, a winner two starts back and second three runs ago, with a fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while the yard is firing at 9/30 in the last 14 days. The one risk is a 233-day absence, so fitness is the question.
AI verdict

SR 116 backed by market confidence at 10/3 — a genuine contender.

2
Enjoy d'Allen silks
Enjoy d'Allen
Age 12 · 12-0
1272-6
114
98
117
12
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 15/2
Enjoy d'Allen has been in the frame three times in his last five, including a second two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 117 ranks him second of six. The main risk is a 177-day absence after a sixth last time out, with 168 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Dwight K Schrute silks
Dwight K Schrute
Age 7 · 11-12
43225-
112
113
115
7
11-12
★★★★☆
—
11/4 3/1 9/4
Dwight K Schrute has been consistent, finishing second twice and third in his last five outings, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 114 ranks him third of six. The main risk is a 193-day absence, with a fifth last time out and 166 lb to carry.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Pepe Le Moko silks
Pepe Le Moko
Age 8 · 11-10
423P-0
110
112
118
8
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 FCST 7/2
Pepe Le Moko has run over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back and a second four starts back show he can get involved, while 19 days since his last run keeps him fresh. Our rating of 118 makes him the one to beat, though he's yet to win in recent starts and carries 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
It's A Breeze silks
It's A Breeze
Age 7 · 11-6
P41123
106
113
101
7
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 3/1 11/2
Hard to fancy on our figures, ranked last of six, despite a third last time out, a second two starts back and back-to-back wins three and four starts back. He carries 160 lb off an official mark of 106, has been off for 40 days, and has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Alright Dai silks
Alright Dai
Age 8 · 11-4
1133-4
104
109
104
8
11-4
★★★★☆
—
6/1 4/1 6/1
Fourth last time out, and a third each two and three starts back, suggest Alright Dai is drifting from the back-to-back wins he managed four and five starts back. Carrying 158 lb, he is hard to fancy as our fifth-ranked runner of six, though he has run over today's trip and going and is fit enough after 27 days.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Star of Affinity 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 Bet365
2 Enjoy d'Allen 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Dwight K Schrute 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 11/4 Bet365
4 Pepe Le Moko 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 4/1 Bet365
5 It's A Breeze 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Bet365
6 Alright Dai 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Star of Affinity

Live signal

Star of Affinity owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Joe Tizzard Lilly Pinchin
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pepe Le Moko

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Mrs Jane Williams
✓ Value Signal

Enjoy d'Allen

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Neil King
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Star of Affinity
64.5 3/1
2 4. Pepe Le Moko
63.7 4/1
3 3. Dwight K Schrute
63.5 11/4
4 5. It's A Breeze
59.5 11/2
5 6. Alright Dai
58.5 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Star of Affinity
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 11-12
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 113 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
3/1
★★★★☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 backed by market confidence at 10/3 — a genuine contender.

4
Age 8 · 11-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 11-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 8 · 11-4
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 109 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 12 · 12-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Star of Affinity
Confidence: Speculative

Star of Affinity (SR:116, 10/3, Wgt:12-0) carries the joint-heaviest weight but holds the highest SR in the field by 3 points over the cluster of 113s, and Lilly Pinchin's 17% career strike rate from 308 rides is the second-strongest jockey booking on show. The 15% market drift is a concern, but the challenge test reveals that Star of Affinity's negatives (Mkt:out15%, DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) are shared almost entirely by Dwight K Schrute (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?, MarkMv:+5) — with the key distinction that Star of Affinity's SR advantage and stronger form figures make the drift look like a market overreaction rather than insider knowledge. The form string /4214- shows a horse that has placed consistently and the last run dash (absence) is a neutral rather than a red flag without Days data suggesting an alarming layoff. Each-way alternative: Dwight K Schrute. Main danger: It's A Breeze — It's A Breeze (SR:113, 7/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-6, has an outstanding Course:W2P4 record at Newton Abbot — the strongest course form in the field — a DistFit:+ flag confirming suitability for this trip, and a recent form string of P41123 showing three consecutive finishes in the frame including a win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 15% market drift out is notable given the field is only 6 runners — in small fields, drifters are harder to dismiss as noise; connections or market movers likely have a reason.
  • It's A Breeze (SR:113, +15 market move in, Course:W2P4, Days:40) has a dramatically stronger course record and is the biggest mover in the market — the track specialist angle is a concrete threat Sta…
  • Form string /4214- ends in a dash (last run unplaced or pulled up) with no Days figure to confirm recency — if the layoff is extended, carrying 12-0 on return at Newton Abbot's tight, stamina-sapping…
  • Trainer Joe Tizzard at 15% strike rate from 332 runners is the weakest trainer stat among the leading fancies — Jamie Snowden (26%) and Paul Nicholls (22%) both saddle dangers with superior handler n…
Shortlist Star of Affinity, Dwight K Schrute, It's A Breeze
Each-way: Dwight K Schrute Danger: It's A Breeze

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f216y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade