Fit after just 16 days, Marianne Mozart was a fifth last time out and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 67 ranks her third of 11 from stall 2. The risk is that she's yet to win in her last five starts and carries 138 lb.
Form last 6-55095
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Insuspense arrives fit after 22 days, a winner two starts back and a third the run before that, and she has experience of both today's trip and the going. A fifth last time out is the main reservation, while our rating of 70 makes her the one to beat from draw 7.
Form last 6275315
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR70RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lazzar is a consistent sort, finishing fourth last time out and a second six starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, with our rating of 70 ranking him second of 11. The main risk is that he is yet to win in his last six starts and carries 134 lb from draw 8.
Form last 6246454
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR70RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-up after 13 days and a winner four starts back, Balon d'Or has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 64 ranks him fourth of 11, 5 lb above his official 59; the risk is a recent slide, with an unplaced run last time and a ninth two starts back.
Form last 6841590
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR64RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
King Cherry showed up well with a third last time out, and he's quick back after 11 days, having also won three starts back. Against that, he's been unplaced in two of his other recent runs, and a speed rating of 53 and 131 lb from stall 11 leave him a midfield sort.
Form last 6409103
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR60RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six, Marra Donna was a ninth last time out after a third two starts back, but he has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 62 ranks him fifth of 11. Off an official mark of 56 and carrying 128 lb from draw 4, he looks a solid midfield type rather than a standout.
Form last 6245939
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shielas Well is yet to win but finished third last time out and third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, a 176-day absence and a yard with just 1 from 23 lately temper the appeal from stall 10.
Form last 6-48433
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
34SR56RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shining Guest is winless in her last five, with a sixth last time out and 57 days off since, and a seventh, a fifth and another sixth in that spell make her hard to fancy. A second two starts back and experience over today's trip are the positives, though she is ranked last of 11 on our figures.
Form last 67-6526
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR40RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Shaws Phoenix is hard to fancy: she is winless in her last five, finishing seventh last time out and now returning from a 118-day break, with a trainer who is 2/40 in the last fortnight. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and going, and her 52 figure is a few pounds above her mark of 48.
Form last 658-907
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR52RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Lion Ring was third last time out and again two starts back, but he is winless in his last six and returns after 132 days off, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks him tenth of eleven.
Form last 6654033
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR52RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Henry Tudor arrives fit after 16 days, having finished third last time out, and another third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last six starts. Our rating of 52 ranks him eighth of 11, and he races off 119 lb from draw 9.
Form last 6873433
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
52SR52RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Insuspense owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8Ross BurdonAlexandra Egan(3)
79%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lazzar
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Charlie Wallis✓ Value Signal
Shielas Well
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Ian Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Insuspense (SR:70, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 apprentice sprint, with a 7-point advantage over the next-best Lazzar and 12+ points over everyone else — a meaningful edge at this level. The market has backed that view emphatically, shortening 20% (Mkt:in20%), the strongest steam in the race by some distance. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and carrying 9-12 is a concern on weight, but the SR lead more than compensates, and recent form 275315 shows consistent involvement — a win and multiple places at this class level with apprentice jockey Alexandra Egan booking (14% strike rate from 145 career rides, strong for this tier). The +4 mark rise is modest and the class drop should absorb it.
Each-way alternative: Lazzar.
Main danger: Lazzar — Lazzar (SR:63, 7/2) drops a class with a significant mark reduction of 15lb (MarkMv:-15), holds Course:W1P2 at Kempton specifically, and carries a favourable 9-8 — the combination of course form and a dramatically lowered mark makes him the likeliest to spring a surprise.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Insuspense carries top weight 9-12 in an apprentice handicap where lighter-weighted rivals Lazzar (9-8), King Cherry (9-5) and Marra Donna (9-2) all receive meaningful allowances — the weight spread…
Form figure '1' in the recent string (275315) was achieved at a lower mark; the +4 official rating rise since that win means today's handicapper has already partially accounted for that effort, squee…
Lazzar (SR:63, 7/2) drops 15 points in the weights (MarkMv:-15) — a steep mark reduction that often produces a revitalised performer, and he holds a course record of W1P2 at Kempton AW that Insuspens…
Insuspense's HG flag is 't' (turf), racing today on Kempton's Polytrack surface — if best form was achieved on turf, the all-weather switch is a legitimate query that the SR figure may not fully capt…