Dundalk (AW) 16:30 RESULTED
28 Oct 2026

Yesterday Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)

Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II) · 7f

Official Result

Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Roman Harry (IRE) Paddy Harnett · S M Duffy
    11/2
  2. 25/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 22 hours, 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Expound silks
Expound
Age 7 · 10-2
047480
60
47
74
7
10-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 FCST 14/1
Expound has been winless in his last six, with a fourth three starts back his best recent effort, but he's fresh from a run 12 days ago and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 74 sits well clear of his official 60, making him the one to beat from draw 5.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Final Boss silks
Final Boss
Age 3 · 10-0
-06070
60
40
60
3
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
8/1 16/1 13/2
Final Boss is winless in his last five, with unplaced efforts last time out and twice more, a sixth four starts back and a seventh two starts back, though he is fresh enough after 13 days and has run over today's trip. Carrying 140 lb from stall eight off 60, he looks a midfield type, ranked seventh of 14 by our rating.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
All Hail silks
All Hail
Age 3 · 9-13
409804
59
48
67
3
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 17/2 18/1
All Hail steps up from a fourth last time out and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 66 ranks him second of 14 in a modest field. The main risk is a yard going 0/22 lately and a winless run in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

4
Roman Harry silks
Roman Harry
Age 6 · 9-13
309829
57
54
63
6
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 10/1 11/2
Roman Harry arrives on a break of 48 days after a ninth last time out, but he was second two starts back and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 63 ranks him fourth of 14. The risk is a winless run in his last six and a modest recent pattern of finishes.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Una Matata silks
Una Matata FAV
Age 5 · 9-13
675073
57
59
65
5
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
9/4 10/3 2/1
Una Matata arrives fit after 12 days off, fresh from a third last time out, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 65 ranks her third of 14, but she is yet to win in her last six starts and carries 139 lb from draw 3.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Whistling Jamesie silks
Whistling Jamesie
Age 3 · 9-12
1-8005
58
49
62
3
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 15/2
Whistling Jamesie won five starts back but has slipped since, with a fifth last time out, and returns after 108 days off. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 62 sits above his official 58, though 138 lb from stall 14 is a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

7
Pattyandselma silks
Pattyandselma
Age 3 · 9-11
0999
57
25
55
3
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 35/1 33/1
Pattyandselma has finished ninth in each of her last three starts and is winless in her last four, though she's fresh enough after 23 days and has run on today's going. Carrying 137 lb from stall 1, she looks held by an official mark of 57, with our rating of 55 placing her tenth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Shamanka silks
Shamanka
Age 4 · 9-9
-04056
53
42
62
4
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 12/1
Shamanka is winless in her last five, though a sixth last time out and a fifth two starts back suggest she's competitive at this level, and she has run over today's trip and going. A 58-day break and 135 lb from draw 4 temper enthusiasm, but our rating of 62 sits well above her official 53.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Jazzy Dancer silks
Jazzy Dancer
Age 8 · 9-6
207908
50
36
58
8
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 14/1
Jazzy Dancer is winless in his last six, with an eighth last time out and a second six starts back the only real highlight, though he's fresh enough after 12 days and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 132 lb from draw 9, he looks held by a modest official mark of 50, though our rating of 58 hints at a little more.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Never Mind Me silks
Never Mind Me
Age 5 · 9-3
790/00
47
26
57
5
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 66/1 40/1
Winless in his last five, with unplaced efforts in each of his last three outings, Never Mind Me has at least run over today's trip and going before and returns after 33 days off. Our rating of 57 sits well above his official mark of 47, but he carries 129 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

11
Glen Breeze silks
Glen Breeze
Age 3 · 9-1
659057
47
40
54
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 10/1
Winless in his last six, Glen Breeze was seventh last time out and has finished no better than fifth in that spell, so he is hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going, and a 27-day break is no concern, but our ranking of 12 of 14 says plenty.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Strikepoint silks
Strikepoint
Age 3 · 9-1
70900
47
51
54
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 3/1 13/2
Strikepoint is winless in his last five, with unplaced efforts last time out and two starts back and a ninth three starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He is back quickly after nine days and has run over this trip and going, but our ranking of 11 of 14 says plenty.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Churchill Gale silks
Churchill Gale
Age 4 · 8-10
468-00
38
23
50
4
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 40/1
Churchill Gale is winless in her last five, unplaced in her last two and a sixth four starts back, so she is hard to fancy after 43 days off. She has run over today's trip and going and has a lowly official rating of 38, but our rating of 50 ranks her 13th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

14
Leannespour silks
Leannespour
Age 3 · 8-8
-04857
40
49
48
3
8-8
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 3/1 5/1
Leannespour is winless in her last five, finishing seventh last time out and no better than a fourth four starts back, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 33-day break is no concern, but our figures rank her last of 14.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Expound 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365
2 Final Boss 8/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 8/1 Bet365
3 All Hail 18/1 open 9.50 25/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 9.50 22/1 open 9.50 22/1 open 9.50 22/1 open 9.50 25/1 Paddy Power
4 Roman Harry 13/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Una Matata 9/4 open 4.33 2/1 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 Bet365
6 Whistling Jamesie 17/2 open 10.00 15/2 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 Bet365
7 Pattyandselma 50/1 40/1 open 36.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Shamanka 14/1 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
9 Jazzy Dancer 16/1 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Never Mind Me 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Glen Breeze 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
12 Strikepoint 13/2 open 4.00 7/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 7/1 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 7/1 Paddy Power
13 Churchill Gale 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
14 Leannespour 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Una Matata

Speculative

Una Matata owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Adrian McGuinness Sam Coen(5)
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Leannespour

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Edward Lynam
✓ Value Signal

Never Mind Me

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · David Geraghty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Una Matata
52.1 9/4
2 14. Leannespour
45.7 11/2
3 4. Roman Harry
45.1 13/2
4 6. Whistling Jamesie
43.4 17/2
5 12. Strikepoint
42.4 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Una Matata
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 9-13
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 8-8
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-1
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-0
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾 —

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Age 3 · 9-12
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

11
Age 3 · 9-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾 —

SR 40 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

1
Age 7 · 10-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 8 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾 —

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Age 3 · 9-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Una Matata
Confidence: Speculative

Una Matata (SR:59, 3/1) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries a competitive 9-13 — the highest-rated horse is not top-weight here, giving her an edge. Her MarkMv:-12 means she runs off a mark well below her last winning mark, and the market has backed her in 8% since opening. Crucially, she has an outstanding Course:W4P10 record at Dundalk AW, making her a genuine course specialist at this venue. As the McGuinness yard's designated #1 (Stable:1 flag, better jockey booking with Sam Coen vs Patrick McGettigan on Pattyandselma), connections are clearly focused on this runner, and the GoingFit:~ suggests no serious ground concern on the AW. Each-way alternative: Roman Harry. Main danger: Strikepoint — Strikepoint (SR:51, 7/2) is the market's second choice with a trainer strike rate of 10% and runs off just 9-1, giving a significant weight advantage over Una Matata, and the DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags mean there is no proven barrier to her performing at this trip on this surface.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads 675073 — that sequence includes no win in the last 6 outings, and the '3' most recently was a third, suggesting she is currently below her best despite the favourable mark.
  • Strikepoint (SR:51, 7/2) has drifted only 10% and is fresh off a 9-day turnaround with a yard (Feane, 10% strike rate) running hot; at a 6-point SR gap to Una Matata it is a live danger at a better p…
  • The 8% market support looks modest for a 'clear specialist' — Roman Harry has moved in 23% and Whistling Jamesie is on course with W1P1, suggesting market participants are not fully convinced by the…
  • Course record of W4P10 shows she visits Dundalk frequently but wins relatively rarely (29% win rate from 14 starts), and her last win here may predate the current form slump reflected in the 675073 s…
Shortlist Una Matata, Strikepoint, Leannespour, Roman Harry
Each-way: Roman Harry Danger: Strikepoint

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting