Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f8y
SR 71 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Ponte Carlo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Bear Lee | 7/2 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 The Resdev Roman | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Dowman | 10/3 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 5/2 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Chief Minister | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Sue's Last Chance | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Wolf's Gallop | 9/4 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 8 Penny Capri | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Defiant Dream | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Wolf's Gallop owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bear Lee (SR 71, 5/1) is the standout mover in the market — a 43% steamers is the strongest signal in this field and strongly suggests informed money. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) is a significant positive for a juvenile that has faced tougher opposition, and at 9-9 the weight carried is manageable relative to rivals. The DistFit:- on the trip is a concern, but at only 5f8y in heavy ground, pace and class tend to dominate over strict trip preference, and the Easterby yard's decision to back this runner over stablemate The Resdev Roman (who has drifted at 9/1) signals this is clearly their number one. Form of 145408 is mixed but the class drop and market confidence override the moderate raw figures here. Each-way alternative: Dowman. Main danger: Dowman — Dowman (SR 73, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), ran just 9 days ago suggesting peak fitness, and trainer George Boughey posts an 18% strike rate — the drift of 25% is notable but the underlying data on trip and form (212523) is the strongest raw profile here.