Laska Du Breuil bounced back from a pulled up five starts back to win four starts back, but he's been unplaced twice since before a fifth last time out 14 days ago. He has run over today's trip, though 161 lb is a stiff task off 93.
Form last 6P-1005
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR92RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Synchronize is yet to win in his last five starts, finishing eighth last time out and unplaced in the four runs before, though he's fresh enough after 11 days and has run on today's going. Our rating of 93 sits above his official 86, but 154 lb is a big ask.
Form last 600-008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR93RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Twice a runner-up three and four starts back, Onefortheditch is only 16 days since her last run and has experience over today's trip and going, while our rating of 104 ranks her second of 16. The main risk is 158 lb, and she is winless in her last five starts.
Form last 66226-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR104RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rockstown Girl was second last time out, just 13 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 101 ranks her third of 16; the main risk is that she is yet to win in her last six starts and carries 166 lb.
Form last 6336742
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR101RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Heroes Of Renown arrives in solid nick, third last time out, another third two starts back and a second three starts back, and he's back after just 16 days. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 107 puts him top of the 16, though 162 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 66P2-33
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR107RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Wing Back was pulled up last time out and has finished no better than sixth in his last five starts, though he has run on today's going before and returns after 22 days. Carrying 160 lb off 92, he looks held, and our rating of 87 ranks him twelfth of sixteen.
Form last 60-967P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR87RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sharetheknowledge is consistent, finishing fifth last time out and fourth in two of the three runs before that, and he has run over today's trip and going after a fresh 21 days off. Our rating of 95 ranks him fourth of 16, but he is yet to win in his last five starts and carries 159 lb.
Form last 644-045
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR95RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mister Loolah arrives fresh from a fourth last time out just 18 days ago and has run on today's going, but he is winless in his last five and was brought down and pulled up in two of those. Our rating of 94 sits above his official 90, though 158 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 676PB-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR94RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Roccabaker is winless in her last five, with a ninth last time out and a pair of sevenths before that, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 41 days off. Carrying 157 lb off an official mark of 89 looks a big ask, and our rating of 89 ranks her tenth of sixteen.
Form last 63P77-9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR89RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Hit The Frame is winless in his last five, unseating last time out and falling four starts back, with a fourth two starts back his best recent effort. He has run over today's trip and going, but 154 lb and a 41-day break make him hard to fancy.
Form last 64F7-4U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR83RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out 21 days ago, Mount Shenshan has run over today's trip and going, but she was sixth two starts back and has just one win in her last six, while 153 lb is a hefty burden off 85. Our rating of 89 puts her ninth of 16.
Form last 6356061
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
King's Son has been winless in his last six, with a third six starts back his best finish and only mid-division efforts since, including an unplaced run last time out. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 18 days, but 152 lb is a big ask off a mark of 84.
Form last 6366750
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR88RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Zolpharine has tailed off since his win six starts back, finishing a seventh last time out and a fifth two starts before, which makes him hard to fancy under 152 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, and 18 days since his last run is fine, but our figures rate him a shade below his mark of 84.
Form last 6140057
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR81RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last five and off a 224-day break, Without Exception is hard to fancy, especially with a yard managing just one winner from 21 lately and 148 lb to carry. A fourth last time out and prior experience over today's trip are the best of it.
Form last 6203P4-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR84RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Thirsty Work is hard to fancy, winless in her last five and beaten into seventh last time out, with a second two starts back the only bright spot in a run of unplaced efforts. She has run on today's going and carries 147 lb, which looks a stiff ask.
Form last 600-027
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR79RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gortmore Lady is winless in her last six, with a fifth last time out and a seventh five starts back among the weaker efforts, and the yard's 1/20 over the last fortnight doesn't help. She has run over today's trip and going, and a second two starts back shows some ability, but 146 lb is a big ask.
Form last 6375425
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR82RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Battle Of Benburb was fourth last time out, but he is winless in his last five and has been pulled up twice in that spell, while a 61-day break raises fitness questions. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 94 sits well above his official 77.
Form last 67PP-04
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR95RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Stily steps up from a fourth last time out, 11 days ago, after three sixths in a row, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last five and carrying 145 lb off 77, he looks capable of a run without being a clear threat, with our rating of 84 ranking him 13th of 16.
Form last 6-P6664
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Finnicky Filly is winless in her last six, finishing sixth last time out, with a fifth three starts back the best of a modest recent run, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going and was out only 11 days ago, but 140 lb is a big ask.
Form last 6650506
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR78RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mount Shenshan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Thomas MullinsSean Cleary-Farrell(7)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Onefortheditch
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Eamonn Francis Gallagher✓ Value Signal
Mister Loolah
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Alexander Ott◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mount Shenshan (SR:86, 10/3) is the standout ability figure in this field by a clear margin — 5 SR points clear of Onefortheditch and 8+ ahead of the rest — and carries a manageable 10-13, a full 5lb less than top-weight Rockstown Girl. The recent form string 356061 shows a last-time-out win that is the most meaningful piece of form in the race, and the course record (W1P1 at Clonmel) adds a further specialist edge. Thomas Mullins operates at 8% overall but this horse's profile — fit, course-proven, winning form — does the heavy lifting. The 7% drift (Mkt:out7%) is a mild concern but not alarming at this price, and the GoingFit:~ suggests good ground is workable rather than ideal; crucially no horse in this field has a standout GoingFit:+ advantage to exploit that gap.
Each-way alternative: Onefortheditch.
Main danger: Onefortheditch — Onefortheditch (SR:90, 4/1) is actually the highest SR in the field and runs off a mark 8lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-8), giving it the most favourable handicap position of any runner — the GoingFit:- is the key concern keeping it from the top spot, but if it handles the ground it has the ability to win.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Onefortheditch holds a 4-point SR advantage (90 vs 86) and has been freshened for 16 days; at 4/1 it is the market leader, suggesting the market rates it ahead of Mount Shenshan despite the weight co…
Mount Shenshan's form string 356061 shows only one win surrounded by placings and mid-field finishes; the apprentice Sean Cleary-Farrell (8%, 108 rides) is a booking that lacks the experience edge in…
The 7% market drift out is notably negative in a race where the eventual winner in large-field Clonmel handicaps is often backed in; money has moved away from this horse on race day.
GoingFit:~ (workable but not ideal) combined with the HG:t headgear flag and a flat official mark movement (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper sees no improvement since the last win, leaving no margin f…