Carlisle 13:52 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Oct 2026

Yesterday 50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier) · 2m1f33y

Official Result

50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Magna Victor (GB) Isabelle Ryder · Alastair Ralph
    13/2
  2. Second Sytadel (FR)
    15/2
  3. 9/4F
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Ffos Las

12:51–16:53 · 8 races

Newmarket

13:10–17:15 · 8 races

Carlisle

13:17–17:20 · 8 races

Clonmel

13:35–17:05 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:26–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 11 hours, 10 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Trust House silks
Trust House
Age 6 · 12-0
511-23
120
104
117
6
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
Trust House arrives in cracking form, third last time out, second two starts back and a winner three starts back, and has run over today's trip, but a 132-day absence and 168 lb on his back temper the enthusiasm. Our rating of 117 puts him fifth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 104 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Magna Victor silks
Magna Victor
Age 7 · 11-10
4113-P
116
111
116
7
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 6/1 11/2
Magna Victor won twice in his last five starts and was third two starts back, but he was pulled up last time out and returns after 166 days off. He has run over today's trip and carries 164 lb, which looks a stiff ask from an official mark of 116.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Caballo de Guerra silks
Caballo de Guerra FAV
Age 5 · 11-10
4456-2
116
117
120
5
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 7/4 31/19
Fresh from a second last time out, Caballo de Guerra returns after 29 days and has run over today's trip, though he is winless in his last five and has finished sixth, fifth, fourth and fourth before that. Our rating of 120 against an official 116 backs him on overall profile.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Bertie's Ballet silks
Bertie's Ballet
Age 8 · 11-9
/7408-
115
110
124
8
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 8/1 11/2
Our top-rated runner on 124 despite being winless in his last four, Bertie's Ballet has run over today's trip and is rated 115 officially, so 163 lb is a hefty burden; the main risk is a 188-day absence after finishing eighth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sytadel silks
Sytadel
Age 4 · 11-8
23
115
109
120
4
11-8
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 2/1 13/2
Sytadel arrives in sound form, third last time out and second two starts back, just 18 days ago, and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 120 ranks him third of eight, but 162 lb is a hefty burden and he's yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Bel Amigo silks
Bel Amigo
Age 7 · 11-4
225F-6
110
109
118
7
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 10/3 12/5
Bel Amigo has twice finished second in his last five outings, a fifth three starts back among them, and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 118 ranks him fourth of eight. The risk is a sixth last time and a fall before that, with 158 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Winds of Winter silks
Winds of Winter
Age 8 · 11-2
-45324
108
107
110
8
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 15/2
Winless in her last five, Winds of Winter was fourth last time out, though she has been second and third in that run and has run over today's trip. Carrying 156 lb and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, she looks hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Balcomie Breeze silks
Balcomie Breeze
Age 8 · 10-8
61275/
100
78
105
8
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 25/1
Fifth last time out after a seventh, Balcomie Breeze has not built on a second three starts back and a win four starts back, and a 563-day absence makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 105 still ranks him last of eight, with 148 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Trust House 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365
2 Magna Victor 6/1 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Caballo de Guerra 2/1 open 5.50 2/1 open 3.75 13/8 open 4.50 13/8 open 4.50 15/8 open 4.50 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
4 Bertie's Ballet 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365
5 Sytadel 13/2 open 3.00 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 3.50 7/1 open 3.50 7/1 open 3.50 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 Paddy Power
6 Bel Amigo 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.50 12/5 open 4.33 12/5 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
7 Winds of Winter 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365
8 Balcomie Breeze 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Caballo de Guerra

Live signal

Caballo de Guerra owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (65) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Jack Power
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Magna Victor

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Alastair Ralph
✓ Value Signal

Balcomie Breeze

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Gillian Boanas
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Caballo de Guerra
65.4 2/1
2 2. Magna Victor
61.3 6/1
3 5. Sytadel
60.0 13/2
4 4. Bertie's Ballet
59.1 7/1
5 6. Bel Amigo
58.7 11/4
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Caballo de Guerra
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 11-10
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 11-4
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾 —

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 11-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾 —

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-9
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 8 · 11-2
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Caballo de Guerra
Confidence: Speculative

Caballo de Guerra (SR 117, 9/4) is the class-leader in this field by a clear margin and has been backed aggressively from a longer price, shortening 24% — the most decisive market move in the race. At age 5 the Russell/Scudamore yard fields a progressive type whose recent form string (4456-2) shows a consistent improver who ran second last time out just 29 days ago, indicating peak freshness. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are unknowns, but at 9/4 the market is pricing these in and still backing confidently; no rival combines this SR advantage with this weight (11-10 is manageable) and this strength of market move. The trainer combination (Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore) operates at 7% overall but fields well-targeted runners, and jockey Jack Power (11%, 94 rides) is an experienced conditional. Each-way alternative: Bel Amigo. Main danger: Bertie's Ballet — Bertie's Ballet (SR 110, 7/1) has been backed in by 29% — the second-largest market move in the field — suggesting significant stable confidence, and drops into what appears a winnable Class 4 context with a light weight of 11-9.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 4456-2 shows Caballo de Guerra has finished 4th, 4th, 5th, 6th before a single runner-up last time — only one top-3 finish in five runs suggests a horse that consistently underperforms it…
  • Trainer Lucinda Russell & Scudamore operates at just 7% strike rate, well below the field average, including Skelton (22%) and Alastair Ralph (12%), undermining confidence the yard is peaking this ru…
  • Bertie's Ballet has drifted IN 29% — the sharpest market move in the race — while carrying less weight (11-9 vs 11-10), suggesting significant stable/market confidence in a rival that the primary ana…
  • Jack Power is a conditional jockey on just 94 rides at 11%, and Carlisle's undulating track is notoriously demanding — this experience gap matters against the more established Isabelle Ryder (16%, 23…
Shortlist Caballo de Guerra, Bel Amigo, Bertie's Ballet, Sytadel
Each-way: Bel Amigo Danger: Bertie's Ballet

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m1f33y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade