Carlisle 16:45 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Oct 2026

Yesterday Thomas Armstrong Group 'Building The Future' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Thomas Armstrong Group 'Building The Future' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m3f210y

Official Result

Thomas Armstrong Group 'Building The Future' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dearkeithandkaty (FR) Jonjo O'Neill Jr. · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
    7/4F
  2. 3/1
  3. 85/40
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 11 hours, 10 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hello Judge silks
Hello Judge
Age 10 · 12-0
851P4-
120
118
120
10
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 9/4 11/4
Hello Judge is our pick on profile: he signed off with a fourth last time out and has a win three starts back, while he has run over today's trip and carries 168 lb off an official mark of 120. The reservation is a 194-day absence, so sharpness is the question.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Old Gregorian silks
Old Gregorian
Age 7 · 11-11
/146-5
117
120
123
7
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Old Gregorian won four starts back and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 123 ranks him top of this four-runner field, though 150 days off after a fifth, a sixth and a fourth since that win is the main concern at 165 lb.
AI verdict

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Glory And Honour silks
Glory And Honour
Age 10 · 11-6
147236
112
110
115
10
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 32/17 10/3
Glory And Honour arrives fit after 20 days off, with a third and a second in the last three starts before a sixth last time out, and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 115 puts him a clear threat, but he is only third-best on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Dearkeithandkaty silks
Dearkeithandkaty FAV
Age 5 · 11-0
1222-P
106
109
106
5
11-0
★★★★☆
—
11/8 32/17 6/5
Dearkeithandkaty ran three consecutive seconds after a win five starts back, and he has run over today's trip, so he's a leading threat on that profile at 154 lb. The risk is a pulled-up effort last time out and 153 days off the track.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hello Judge 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
2 Old Gregorian 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
3 Glory And Honour 7/2 open 3.50 10/3 open 2.88 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 Bet365
4 Dearkeithandkaty 11/8 open 2.88 5/4 open 3.25 11/8 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 6/5 open 3.00 11/8 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dearkeithandkaty

Live signal

Dearkeithandkaty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Old Gregorian

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
✓ Value Signal

Old Gregorian

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

5/1 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Dearkeithandkaty
68.1 11/8
2 2. Old Gregorian
63.6 5/1
3 1. Hello Judge
60.8 11/4
4 3. Glory And Honour
59.3 7/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hello Judge
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 11-0
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 109 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 10 · 12-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 10 · 11-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-11
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 120 🐾 —

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hello Judge
Confidence: Medium

Hello Judge (SR 118, 7/4) is the shortest price but carrying top-weight 12-0 — a real burden — yet the market has steamed 14% to back it and Ann Hamilton's yard operates at 17% strike rate with Danny McMenamin (16%) in the saddle. The SR of 118 leads the field by 2lb over Old Gregorian and meaningfully over the other two. The form string 851P4 shows inconsistency, but the tongue-tie application and the strong market move suggest connections believe the horse is primed today. With only four runners and no compelling reason to oppose the market steam, Hello Judge is the call. Each-way alternative: Old Gregorian. Main danger: Old Gregorian — Old Gregorian (SR 120, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), runs off a mark 6lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-6), has a proven going record (GoingFit:+), and has been heavily backed (Mkt:in17%) — if it has come back right after 150 days off, it is the most dangerous opponent in the race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 851P4 includes a pull-up (P) and a 4th last time out — no win in this sequence and the horse is a 10-year-old showing no current winning form.
  • Top weight of 12-0 in a four-runner field where rivals carry 11-11, 11-6 and 11-0 — conceding up to 14lb to the lightly-weighted Dearkeithandkaty (15/8, nearly identical market price) is a stiff ask.
  • Dearkeithandkaty (SR 109, 15/8) has steamed in 9% and represents the Jonjo O'Neill yard with Jonjo Jr riding — nearly as short in the market despite a 5-year-old with a fresher profile and less weigh…
  • Old Gregorian carries SR 120 — higher than Hello Judge's 118 — at 11-11, 150 days off but also steaming in 17%, suggesting market support is split rather than concentrated solely on Hello Judge.
Shortlist Hello Judge, Old Gregorian, Dearkeithandkaty
Each-way: Old Gregorian Danger: Old Gregorian

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m3f210y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade