Southwell (AW) 18:00 RESULTED
Class 5 22 Oct 2026

Yesterday All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap Stakes

All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m14y

Official Result

All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Filly Eilish (IRE) Luke Morris · Ivan Furtado
    100/30
  2. 3/1
  3. 40/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 11 hours, 11 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Liberate silks
Liberate
Age 4 · 9-12
921597
68
39
72
4
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 40/1
Liberate has run over today's trip and going, and she won four starts back, but she's finished seventh and ninth in her last two outings, so the form is cooling. Quick back-out after 13 days and 138 lb give her plenty to do, though our rating of 72 keeps her in the mix.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Medway Queen silks
Medway Queen
Age 4 · 9-12
442-23
68
73
79
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 11/4 11/5
Medway Queen arrives in cracking nick, third last time out and a second two and three starts back, with just 15 days since that run and experience of both today's trip and the going. Yet to win in her last five, she carries 138 lb from stall five, and that top-weight burden is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Bofa Beach silks
Bofa Beach
Age 3 · 9-11
393022
70
76
77
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 10/3 11/5
Bofa Beach arrives in fine heart, a second last time out and another second two starts back, just 17 days after her latest run, and she has run over today's trip. Still yet to win in her last six, so finding that elusive breakthrough from 137 lb is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Alterity silks
Alterity
Age 3 · 9-10
-33160
69
43
70
3
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 33/1
Alterity has a win three starts back and two thirds before that, but she was unplaced last time out and a sixth two starts back, so the form has cooled. She has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 24 days, though 136 lb from draw 6 looks a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Al Ghariya silks
Al Ghariya
Age 3 · 9-10
07106
69
54
69OR
3
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 10/1
Unexposed filly who won three starts back, though she has managed only a sixth last time out and an unplaced run before it, so there may be more to come. She returns after 37 days off, carries 136 lb from draw 2, and is with a stable currently out of form.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
If I Could Dream silks
If I Could Dream
Age 3 · 9-9
3-0930
68
42
80
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 12/1 20/1
Our top-rated runner, she was third two starts back and has run over today's trip and on the going, returning after 21 days off. Winless in her last five and unplaced last time, but an 80 rating against an official 68 makes her the one to beat from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Filly Eilish silks
Filly Eilish
Age 3 · 9-9
615542
68
72
76
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 10/3 16/5
Filly Eilish arrives in sound form after a second last time out just ten days ago, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 76 makes her a leading threat, though a single win in her last six starts is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Imola silks
Imola
Age 5 · 9-6
146004
62
54
70
5
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 12/1
Imola has only one win in her last six starts, and that came six starts back, since when she has managed a fourth last time out and little else. She is back quickly after 10 days, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks her eighth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

9
Blue Celestial silks
Blue Celestial FAV
Age 3 · 9-4
436224
63
73
70
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 4/1 12/5
Blue Celestial is winless in her last six, though she has been second twice in that spell and fourth last time out, so she is consistent without ever landing a blow. A 65-day break and 130 lb from stall eight are hard to ignore, but she has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Gilleangirl silks
Gilleangirl
Age 3 · 8-6
-87470
50
32
57
3
8-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 FCST 20/1
Gilleangirl is winless in her last five, finishing unplaced last time, seventh two starts back and eighth five starts back, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a fourth three starts back is the best of it, though our figures rank her ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Liberate 50/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 Paddy Power
2 Medway Queen 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/5 open 3.75 11/5 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
3 Bofa Beach 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/5 open 4.33 11/5 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
4 Alterity 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Paddy Power
5 Al Ghariya 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
6 If I Could Dream 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 Paddy Power
7 Filly Eilish 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.33 16/5 open 5.00 16/5 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
8 Imola 14/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 Paddy Power
9 Blue Celestial 10/3 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 12/5 open 5.00 12/5 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 Bet365
10 Gilleangirl 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Blue Celestial

Speculative

Blue Celestial owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 James Tate Hector Crouch
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bofa Beach

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · John Butler
✓ Value Signal

Alterity

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Blue Celestial
54.5 10/3
2 3. Bofa Beach
50.7 3/1
3 2. Medway Queen
49.6 11/4
4 7. Filly Eilish
48.8 4/1
5 5. Al Ghariya
40.7 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bofa Beach
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-12
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-6
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bofa Beach
Confidence: Speculative

Bofa Beach (SR 76, 3/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field on 9-11, a pound less than the co-rated Medway Queen and Blue Celestial on 9-12 and 9-4 respectively, giving a meaningful weight-adjusted edge. Crucially, the market has backed her in 12% since opening — real late money in a Class 5 fillies' handicap is a strong signal — and her DistFit:+ confirms she handles a mile comfortably. The GoingFit:- is the main concern, but Southwell AW fibre-sand rarely produces true firm-ground going, and with David Egan booked at 14% career strike rate, connections are clearly trying. The form figures of 393022 show a horse coming through the pack and narrowing margins, which points to a progressive filly at this level. Each-way alternative: Medway Queen. Main danger: Blue Celestial — Blue Celestial (SR 73, 7/2) shares top SR, carries the lightest weight in the shortlist at 9-4, has been backed in 7%, and trainer James Tate hits at 19% — one of the strongest connections in the race — though the 65-day absence and DistFit:- are the concerns to weigh.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- is a genuine red flag — Bofa Beach's form figures of 393022 include no AW Southwell fibre-sand wins, and her best efforts may have come on different surfaces where she moves more comfortab…
  • Filly Eilish (SR:72, 7/2) has a Course:W1P2 record at Southwell and is also drifting in (7%), offering proven course form Bofa Beach lacks entirely.
  • Blue Celestial (SR:73) carries 7lb less than Medway Queen and 7lb less than Bofa Beach on a per-rating basis, trained by the in-form James Tate (19% strike rate) with Hector Crouch (18%) — a weight-a…
  • Bofa Beach's form string 393022 contains no win in 6 starts; the narrowing margins narrative is optimistic for a 3/1 shot who has yet to convert despite multiple opportunities at Class 5 level.
Shortlist Bofa Beach, Medway Queen, Blue Celestial, Filly Eilish
Each-way: Medway Queen Danger: Blue Celestial

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade