Fourth last time out, with a win three starts back and a second four starts back, shows Yes I'm Mali can bring form to the table, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 90 tops the field, though a lone win in his last six and 138 lb are the worry.
Form last 6752104
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR90RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sierra Sands was second last time out, and he won twice in the previous two starts before that stretch of fourths, though a 33-day break and 136 lb are hurdles. He has run over today's trip, and our rating of 84 ranks him fifth of 14.
Form last 6311442
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR84RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
The Quiet Gent heads into this on the back of a win last time out, with a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. A 41-day break is a small question, but his recent profile makes him our pick from draw six.
Form last 6385-21
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR87RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fresh from a win last time out just 17 days ago, he has run over today's trip and going, but the prior five runs were a fourth three starts back and little else, so consistency is the question. Carrying 135 lb from draw 12, he sits ninth of 14 on our rating.
Form last 6660401
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR81RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sixtygeesbaby has been consistent, third last time out and a winner four starts back, and he has run over today's trip, but he's been unplaced only once since that win alongside two thirds, and 37 days off plus 135 lb from stall 13 give him plenty to do. Our rating of 84 ranks him sixth of 14.
Form last 6551303
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR84RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shaman Champion is yet to win in his last six, though a third three starts back and a fifth two starts back show he can run respectably, and he has run over today's trip. Unplaced last time out after 29 days off, he carries 135 lb from draw 3.
Form last 6700350
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR83RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Physique has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 89 ranks him second of 14, which makes him a leading threat off an official mark of 80 and only 17 days since his last run. The risk is form that has tailed off, with a ninth last time out and just one win in his last six starts.
Form last 6107409
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR89RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mo of Cairo is yet to win in his last six, though a fourth last time out, and a second two starts back, show he's competitive, and he has run over today's trip. Against that, the yard is cold at 1/33, and 132 lb from stall 14 is a hefty burden.
Form last 6649524
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR84RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Golden Brown has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's back after 21 days with a third three starts back and a win six starts back in his recent form. Our rating of 85 sits well above his official 77, but a poor last run is the main worry.
Form last 6186370
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR85RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Space Party has been placed in each of his last four starts, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, but he is yet to win in that spell and has to shoulder 130 lb from stall 2. Our figures rank him 13th of 14, and a 17-day turnaround and previous run over this trip hardly lift him.
Form last 63232
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR74RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, but he was beaten in all four runs before that, finishing ninth, seventh and seventh in three of them, and his 129 lb is hard to ignore. He has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank him 11th of 14.
Form last 6377913
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR78RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Spring Bloom arrives with solid recent form, a fourth last time out, a third two starts back and back-to-back wins three and four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Against that, he's had 61 days off, carries 128 lb from draw 9, and our rating of 79 ranks him only tenth of 14.
Form last 6321134
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR79RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Robert Anstruther was unplaced last time out, though a second two starts back and a win three starts back show he can still perform, and he has run over today's trip. Ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, he looks hard to fancy carrying 127 lb from stall 15.
Form last 6773120
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR75RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kimbara was beaten into seventh last time out and is yet to win in his last six starts, though a third two starts back and a second five starts back show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and is back quickly after 10 days, but ranking last of 14 on our figures makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6623037
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR74RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Yes I'm Mali owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3David O'MearaMarco Ghiani
84%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mo of Cairo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Kevin Ryan✓ Value Signal
Physique
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Micky Fenton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Yes I'm Mali (SR 92, 10/3) is the clear SR leader in this field by a significant margin — 9 points clear of the next-best Mo of Cairo and The Quiet Gent — and drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2), which is a material advantage in a Class 4 handicap. The market has backed this up emphatically with a 25% inward move (Mkt:in25%), the strongest positive market signal in the field. Carrying 9-12 as top-weight is a concern, but the SR advantage over all rivals justifies the burden, and trainer David O'Meara (13%, 2960 runners) has booked Marco Ghiani (16%, 1736 runners) rather than the yard's second string Sixtygeesbaby — confirming this is the stable's #1. GoingFit is unknown but the class drop, SR advantage and aggressive market move outweigh that uncertainty.
Each-way alternative: Mo of Cairo.
Main danger: Mo of Cairo — Mo of Cairo (SR 83, 4/1) is the favourite and second-highest SR in the field, runs off a light 9-6, and Kevin Ryan's 12% yard strike rate with recent form 649524 could see him improve sharply on a switch to soft ground if his GoingFit question resolves positively.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 752104 — the '0' (last-time-out win was two runs ago) and a '4' most recently suggests momentum is not building; last run was a fourth, not a confidence-boosting prep.
Carries 9-12 as top-weight against 3yo rivals on 9-6 or less — at Newmarket's stiff straight track, weight off backs matters acutely and the 6-9lb weight concessions to most of the field are a real l…
GoingFit unknown on a late-October Newmarket card where ground can be soft/heavy; if conditions are testing, the class drop advantage is eroded and top-weight suffers disproportionately.
Course record is W0P1 — never won at Newmarket, only one placing, while rivals like Sierra Sands (W2P3) and Spring Bloom (W3P7) have proven course form on this demanding track.
ShortlistYes I'm Mali, Mo of Cairo, The Quiet Gent