Rubellite booked a third last time out, 14 days ago, and has won twice in her last six starts, including a win three starts back. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks her second of twelve, but 140 lb is the main risk.
Form last 6145173
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Time Turner has been in the frame regularly, with a second and a third among his last six, and he's fit after 14 days, has run over today's trip and going, and tops our ranking at 71 against an official 64. The one concern is a yard struggling at 1/24 lately, plus 140 lb.
Form last 6523255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Queen Roslyn is winless in her last five, though she was second last time out and a second three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 138 lb after 41 days off, she looks hard to fancy, with our figures ranking her tenth of twelve.
Form last 6-00252
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR62RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rated 67 by us and third of 12, Vinny's Dream gets a case as a leading danger, as he has run over today's going before and returns fresh after 23 days off an official mark of 60. The main risk is form of sixth, seventh and eighth finishes, while the yard is 0/24 lately.
Form last 680/7-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR67RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
O'Driscoll bounced back with a fourth last time out after a seventh and an eighth, yet he is still winless in his last three and has run only 17 days ago. Carrying 135 lb off 65, he has run on today's going, but our figures rank him 12th of 12.
Form last 6874
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR49RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Dollar's Dream has been consistent, with a second last time out and another second five starts back, yet he is winless in his last five and returns after 168 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 65 sits above his official 57, but a 133 lb burden and the layoff temper the enthusiasm.
Form last 6-22542
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR65RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Blue Tulip arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out, a second two starts back and a winner four starts back, and has run over today's trip and going. However, 133 lb is a big burden and our figures rank her only ninth of twelve, so she is hard to fancy.
Form last 6661321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR62RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Five Moons showed signs of life with a third last time out just ten days ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but she's yet to win in her last six starts. Carrying 132 lb off an official 62, she looks a competitive midfield type rather than a standout.
Form last 6444603
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beggarman is winless in his last five, though a second three starts back and a fourth two starts back show he stays competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going. Unplaced last time and carrying 132 lb off 56 temper enthusiasm, though our rating of 66 ranks him fifth of twelve.
Form last 6-45240
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR66RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Sycamore Gap has run over today's trip and on the going, and he won four starts back, but he's slipped to an eighth then a ninth since and returns after 176 days off. Carrying 132 lb off 56, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 65 ranking him eighth of twelve.
Form last 621/589
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR65RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fram Castle is our pick on profile: he was second last time out just ten days ago, and he has a winner three starts back, plus experience over today's trip and going. His ranking of sixth of twelve on our figures is the one reservation.
Form last 68231V2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR65RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Chilli King is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out after a sixth and a seventh in his previous two runs, and he is yet to win in that spell. He has run on today's going and returns after 26 days, but our rating of 52 ranks him 11th of 12.
Form last 6760
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR52RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Blue Tulip owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2William Muir & Chris GrassickJason Hart
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Fram Castle
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Michael Wigham✓ Value Signal
Vinny's Dream
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Ian Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Queen Roslyn (SR:68, 7/2) has been backed in sharply — Mkt:in24% is the second-strongest market move in this field — and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark 22lb lower than her last win (MarkMv:-22), a huge handicap concession that puts her in a very comfortable position. At 9-12 she carries 2lb less than the two 10-0 horses and her SR:68 is competitive for this Class 6 contest. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a first-time or retained aid, and GoingFit:~ on AW good is acceptable; the DistFit:? is the one question mark, but at 1m6f for a staying-bred mare trained by Ellison she is unlikely to find the trip an obstacle. The market has spoken loudly and the class drop plus dramatic mark reduction is the clearest single edge in the race.
Each-way alternative: Blue Tulip.
Main danger: Blue Tulip — Blue Tulip (SR:79, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), has won at Southwell (Course:W1P2), has been backed in 16%, and arrives off a winning last run (Form:661321) — the combination of top SR, course form and market confidence makes her the most credible threat to Queen Roslyn, with only the DistFit:? and MarkMv:+5 giving any pause.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads -00252: two consecutive zeros (likely unplaced beaten far) in recent starts suggest current form is poor, and the mark reduction may simply reflect those disappointing efforts rather than…
41-day absence combined with first-time or retained tongue-tie (HG:t) means fitness is unproven; Ellison's 10% strike rate gives little confidence she returns sharp enough to capitalise on the mark d…
Blue Tulip (SR:79, 3/1) is the field's highest-rated runner, carries only 9-7, has a course win, is in form (661321) and is also market-supported (Mkt:in16%) — Queen Roslyn needs to find significant…
DistFit:? at 1m6f is a genuine unknown; if she has not proven she stays this trip, the class/mark advantage is undermined, especially on a flat Southwell AW track that can expose stayers who fade lat…
ShortlistQueen Roslyn, Blue Tulip, Fram Castle, Rubellite