AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f17y
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 137 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Buyback | 14/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Diamond Blue Point | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Grateful Spirit | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 William Hill |
| 4 Lady Jemima | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mohaymenah | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Mollisha | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Silesia | 10/11 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 1.91 | 5/6 open 2.00 | 5/6 open 2.00 | 10/11 open 2.00 | 10/11 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 8 True Heart | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Diamond Blue Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Diamond Blue Point (SR:151, 5/1) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and is the only runner showing meaningful market support (Mkt:in9%), suggesting Boughey's yard is confident on debut. Boughey (18% strike rate, 1339 runners) is a strong handler of AW juveniles and Hector Crouch (18%, 1966 runners) is a high-quality booking who partners Boughey horses regularly. The form debutante profile is a known risk, but the SR edge over the next-best rated runner (Buyback at 145) and the money coming in — while Grateful Spirit has haemorrhaged 56% of market support — points clearly to Diamond Blue Point as the yard's intended winner in this opening AW season novice. Each-way alternative: Buyback. Main danger: Silesia — Silesia is the 11/10 market favourite and drops three classes (ClassMv:↓3), meaning the market believes the consistent placed form (32325) will convert to a win at this level despite the SR of 101 lagging well behind the field's top-rated runners.