Yet to win in his last five, Hypnotised has still been thereabouts with a second, a second and a third in that spell, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 86 ranks him second of 11, though a sixth last time out is the main worry.
Form last 6-72236
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Last seen eighth, but Seven Questions has a fourth two starts back and a win six starts back, and he has run over today's trip; our rating of 90 ranks him top of 11 against an official 81. The risk is a modest recent run, and 139 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6170048
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR90RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Kirkdale won two starts in a row three and four runs back, then finished second, but he was unplaced last time out and has had 33 days off since. He has run over today's trip and going, though a stable at 1/24 lately and a ranking of sixth of 11 on our rating temper the appeal.
Form last 6-41120
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR81RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Righthere Rightnow gets our vote on profile, with a rating of 86 ranking him third of 11 and a speed figure of 85, while he has run over today's trip and returns after 34 days off. He is without a win in his last six, though, and a third four starts back is his best finish in that run.
Form last 6003070
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR86RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rock Iguana is winless in his last six, with a second six starts back the best of a run of sixth, sixth, eighth, eighth and an unplaced effort last time out. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 17 days, but 135 lb from stall 10 is a stiff ask.
Form last 6266880
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Saucy Jane has won two of her last six, including a victory two starts back, but she was only seventh last time out and returns after 33 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, yet 135 lb from stall nine and a ranking of eighth of eleven on our ratings make her a midfield proposition.
Form last 6261617
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR79RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Farandaway won two starts back and six starts back, and was fifth last time out 31 days ago, so he arrives with solid recent form. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 134 lb from draw 8, and ranked seventh of eleven on our rating, he looks more midfield than match-winner.
Form last 6126215
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR81RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ay Up Duck was beaten in five of his last six, finishing sixth last time out, and that is hard to overlook, though he did win three starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from draw 5 after 39 days off, he is ranked 11 of 11 on our figures.
Form last 6887106
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR77RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Come On Over has finished second in each of his last four starts, after a win five starts back, and he returns fresh after 26 days having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 83 backs him as a threat, though the main risk is that he keeps finding one too good.
Form last 6412222
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR83RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Desert Treasure is hard to fancy, having finished seventh in three of her last four outings and remaining winless in her last six starts, though a second three starts back shows she can hold a place. She has run over today's trip and going and is fit enough after 16 days, but 131 lb from draw 7 is a lot to ask.
Form last 6077277
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR79RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Seventh last time out and unplaced the run before, Mighty Vega has tailed off since a win four starts back, and his yard is out of form at 1/28. He has run over this trip and going, but 130 lb from stall 11 makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6221307
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR78RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hypnotised owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Harry CharltonHector Crouch
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Kirkdale
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Edward Bethell✓ Value Signal
Mighty Vega
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Scott Dixon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Kirkdale (SR 94, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 9-12, giving it a 1lb pull on top-weights Hypnotised and Seven Questions. Crucially, it has been dramatically backed — Mkt:in33% — which is the strongest market move in the race, and it has a proven course record (W1P2 at Southwell) alongside a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's Good surface. The MarkMv:+5 is a mild concern but the combination of best SR, strong market confidence, course specialist credentials, and confirmed going suitability makes it the clear pick. Trainer Edward Bethell (17%) and Oisin Orr (14%) are both solid operators.
Each-way alternative: Ay Up Duck.
Main danger: Ay Up Duck — Ay Up Duck (SR 85, 9/2) has been backed most aggressively in the race (Mkt:in53%), holds a course record of W1P3 at Southwell, and carries a favourable 9-8, giving it a 4lb weight advantage over Kirkdale — if the market knows something specific about this Michael Appleby/Kevin Stott booking, it represents the clearest threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Kirkdale's HG flag is 'v' (visor), suggesting the horse may need headgear to show its best — a potential temperament or consistency issue that adds risk in a competitive handicap.
Ay Up Duck (SR:85) has been backed even more aggressively (Mkt:in53%) and carries 4lb less at 9-8 with a stronger course record (W1P3), representing a serious market rival the primary pick must overc…
Kirkdale's MarkMv:+5 means its handicap mark has risen 5lb since its last win — form reads -41120 showing a win then a flat '0' most recently, suggesting it may have peaked at its current mark.
33-day absence is the longest rest among the leading fancies, and with Come On Over (SR:88, 26 days) and Hypnotised (SR:87, 26 days) fresher and more recently race-fit, Kirkdale may need the run.
ShortlistKirkdale, Ay Up Duck, Hypnotised, Desert Treasure