Newmarket 14:55 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Oct 2026

Yesterday CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f

Official Result

CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tipsy Tiger (GB) Shane Gray · William Stone
    4/1
  2. Second Arbaawy (GB)
    4/1
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 10 hours, 31 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Triple Force silks
Triple Force Non-Runner
Age 5 · 9-7
-04342
73
—
73OR
5
9-7
—
—
SP
—
1
Tiger silks
Tiger
Age 4 · 10-2
421280
82
75
82
4
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 10/1 8/1
Tiger showed solid form earlier in the run, with a win four starts back and a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 25 days off, while our rating of 82 ranks him third of 12. The main risk is a trainer 0/24 in the last 14 days, with his last two runs a step backwards.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Tipsy Tiger silks
Tipsy Tiger
Age 5 · 9-12
34-641
78
82
82
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Beach Point silks
Beach Point
Age 5 · 9-10
844123
76
76
77
5
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 9/2 17/2
Beach Point arrives in decent order, third last time out, a second two starts back, and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. However, our figures rank him ninth of 12, and 136 lb from stall 1 is a hefty burden for an official mark of 76.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Great Blasket silks
Great Blasket
Age 6 · 9-10
613323
76
78
78
6
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 FCST 11/2
Third last time out and in the frame in four of his last five, Great Blasket looks consistent and fit after 15 days, having run over today's trip and going; but he has won only once in his last six, and 136 lb from draw 4 is a big ask.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Mythical Guest silks
Mythical Guest
Age 6 · 9-9
430334
75
79
81
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 7/1 6/1
Mythical Guest has been consistent, finishing a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and he returns after just 17 days having run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last six, that is the one worry, though our rating of 80 sits above his official 75.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Princess Rascal silks
Princess Rascal
Age 4 · 9-9
4-4508
75
73
87
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 11/1
Princess Rascal has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 15 days, with a fourth and a fifth in her last five outings and our top ranking of 12 backing her claims from draw 11. The main risk is a poor eighth last time and 135 lb, with her yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Something Splendid silks
Something Splendid FAV
Age 4 · 9-8
4-9716
74
78
74
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/2 9/2
Something Splendid was beaten into sixth last time out after a win two starts back, but he has finished seventh and ninth in the two runs before that, so consistency is a concern, and 41 days off doesn't help. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 74 ranks him tenth of 12.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Kalokalo silks
Kalokalo
Age 3 · 9-7
121302
77
78
79
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 7/1
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Ganodin silks
Ganodin
Age 3 · 9-5
813190
75
34
42
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 33/1 66/1
Ganodin has twice won in his last six, a first three starts back and another five starts back, but he has since been unplaced last time and a ninth two starts back, and he returns after just 12 days. A trainer 0/24 in the last 14 days and our rating of 42 (12th of 12) make him hard to fancy, though he has run on today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 34 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Phantom Watch silks
Phantom Watch
Age 3 · 9-5
412524
75
68
79
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 14/1
Phantom Watch was fourth last time out, after a second two starts back, and has run over today's trip, though he's won just once in his last six, five starts back. Our rating of 79 sits above his official 75, but ranking sixth of twelve under 131 lb from stall six keeps him a midfield proposition.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Arbaawy silks
Arbaawy
Age 3 · 9-5
340362
75
81
80
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Arbaawy was second last time out and has been placed in three of his last six, though he is winless in that time and was only sixth two starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, and 21 days since his last run is fine, but 131 lb from draw 7 is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Too Hot To Tango silks
Too Hot To Tango
Age 3 · 9-2
336145
72
54
72
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 9/1 18/1
Too Hot To Tango has been well held in her last two, a fifth last time out and a fourth before that, and returns after 70 days off carrying 128 lb from stall 10. A win three starts back and experience over today's trip and going count for something, but our figures rank her 11th of 12.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Triple Force — — — — — — —
1 Tiger 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
2 Tipsy Tiger 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Paddy Power
3 Beach Point 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 Bet365
4 Great Blasket 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 6/1 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Mythical Guest 13/2 open 15.00 6/1 open 12.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
6 Princess Rascal 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 19.00 12/1 Coral
7 Something Splendid 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
8 Kalokalo 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
10 Ganodin 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
11 Phantom Watch 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
12 Arbaawy 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
13 Too Hot To Tango 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Something Splendid

Speculative

Something Splendid owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Peter Chapple-Hyam Marco Ghiani
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mythical Guest

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · George Margarson
✓ Value Signal

Ganodin

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Something Splendid
56.6 5/1
2 5. Mythical Guest
52.4 13/2
3 8. Kalokalo
51.9 15/2
4 12. Arbaawy
51.4 5/1
5 4. Great Blasket
50.9 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Something Splendid
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-12
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Something Splendid
Confidence: Speculative

Something Splendid (SR 78, 11/2) carries the joint-lightest competitive weight at 9-8 and has attracted meaningful market support (Mkt:in28%), allied to a course win on record (Course:W1P1) at Newmarket. Peter Chapple-Hyam's 14% strike rate is solid and Marco Ghiani (16%, 3,189 career runs) is a strong booking. The form string 4-9716 shows a recent 6th but the prior 1 suggests ability to win at this level, and the MarkMv:+2 is a negligible rise. The GoingFit:- is the main concern on today's soft ground, but the market support argues connections are confident it won't be a barrier, and the light weight eases the burden on testing going. Each-way alternative: Mythical Guest. Main danger: Mythical Guest — Mythical Guest (SR 79, 13/2) has steamed in 36% in the market, holds an excellent course record (W1P7) at Newmarket, and carries only 9-9 off a MarkMv:-4 drop — the combination of significant market confidence and favourable mark makes it the most likely horse to beat the selection, despite poor going and distance flags.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- on today's soft ground is a genuine red flag — Something Splendid has no proven form on soft, and a 4yo with untested going preference is a real risk at Newmarket in October conditions.
  • Form string 4-9716 shows a 9th and a 6th in last three completed runs; the single '1' in the sequence is older form, and recent efforts suggest current form is fragile.
  • 41-day absence is the longest layoff in the field — on soft ground that saps fitness, a horse returning after 6 weeks without a recent prep run is at a stamina/sharpness disadvantage.
  • Mythical Guest (13/2) has W1P7 course record and is drifting IN 36% — stronger Newmarket course form with fresher market confidence directly rivals Something Splendid's course-win claim.
Shortlist Something Splendid, Mythical Guest, Arbaawy, Tipsy Tiger
Each-way: Mythical Guest Danger: Mythical Guest

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade