AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap Stakes · 1m14y
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Gunfighter | 7/4 | 2/1 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | — | 2/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Izzari | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Nakaaha | 25/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Sir Paul Ramsey | 10/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 5 A La Noche | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Rapide Vega | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 7 It'sneverjustone | 11/2 open 15.00 | 9/2 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Orangesandlemons | 8/1 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Calyxoh | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Decalogue | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 11 Piazza | 5/1 | 9/2 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Betfred |
| 12 Leopards Rock | 16/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Mc'ted | 28/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Ecclefechan | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 13/1 open 17.00 | 13/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Izzari owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Rapide Vega (SR:84, 9/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Piazza, but holds a clear weight advantage at 9-8 versus Piazza's 9-5 — only a 3lb difference, yet Rapide Vega's DistFit:+ at this mile trip is a concrete edge over Piazza's DistFit:? (insufficient distance sample). The market has moved in 13% from the open, backing the Adrian Keatley/Sheehy combination, and the ClassMv:↓1 drop is a positive. Form 825125 shows consistent competitiveness at this level with a recent placed finish confirming current form. The visor headgear is retained rather than introduced, suggesting a settled performer rather than a stable grasping at solutions. Each-way alternative: Piazza. Main danger: Piazza — Piazza carries the highest SR in the field (88) at just 9-5, has GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and the consistent 721222 form string shows a horse knocking hard on the door — the distance query (DistFit:?) is the only real concern, and one mile AW may well suit.