Newmarket 16:40 RESULTED
Class 5 22 Oct 2026

Yesterday CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap Stakes

CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fenlander (GB) Warren Fentiman · Olly Williams
    11/2
  2. Second Albegone (GB)
    14/1
  3. 28/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 11 hours, 10 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Irish Nectar silks
Irish Nectar FAV
Age 5 · 10-1
943411
66
84
93
5
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
8/15 11/10 9/17
Irish Nectar arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he's back quickly after just six days, with experience of today's trip and going. Our 93 rating makes him the one to beat, though 141 lb is a hefty burden from draw 8.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 6/5 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lil Brother silks
Lil Brother
Age 3 · 9-9
5-7446
70
45
81
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 18/1 22/1
Fit after just 12 days off, Lil Brother has run over today's trip and on this going, and our 81 rating ranks him third of ten, so he looks a leading threat off an official 70 from draw 10. The risk is that he's yet to win in his last five, with a sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Cameley Days silks
Cameley Days
Age 4 · 9-9
305819
70
63
69
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 16/1 7/1
Beaten into ninth last time out, Cameley Days won two starts back and has run over today's trip, while her 14-day turnaround keeps her fresh enough; however, 135 lb from draw 9 and a rating of 69 that ranks her seventh of ten suggest a midfield finish.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Fenlander silks
Fenlander
Age 5 · 9-8
356033
69
69
81
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 FCST 7/1
Fenlander arrives in good heart after back-to-back thirds, fresh from a run nine days ago and with experience of both today's trip and going, while our rating of 81 sits well clear of his official 69. The one concern is that he's yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Zoustar Dreams silks
Zoustar Dreams
Age 3 · 9-8
446325
69
57
73
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 13/2 12/1
Yet to win in her last six, Zoustar Dreams has still been consistent, with a second and a third in the last three runs before a fifth last time ten days ago. She has run over today's trip and going, but 134 lb from draw 2 is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Solar Invincible silks
Solar Invincible
Age 3 · 9-7
154220
68
49
68
3
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 17/2 25/1
Solar Invincible was unplaced last time out and has been off for 70 days, with his only win in his last six starts coming six starts back, though two seconds in the meantime show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and carries 133 lb from stall three, but our rating of 68 ranks him eighth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

7
Holbache silks
Holbache
Age 8 · 9-6
715897
67
38
73
8
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 28/1 40/1
Holbache has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 73 ranks him fourth of ten, while a win five starts back shows the ability is there off an official 67. The main risk is a poor run of form, with a seventh last time out and a ninth two starts back, plus a stable struggling at 1/20.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Albegone silks
Albegone
Age 8 · 9-1
129124
62
51
70
8
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 12/1
Albegone arrives fresh from a fourth last time out just ten days ago, with a second two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 127 lb from draw 6, he's rated 70 by us, only sixth of ten, so the ceiling looks limited.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
My Mate Kev silks
My Mate Kev
Age 4 · 8-8
727743
55
61
64
4
8-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 17/2
Yet to win in his last six starts and ranked bottom of ten on our figures, My Mate Kev is hard to fancy, though he was third last time out, a second five starts back is the best of the rest, and he has run over today's trip and going. He is back quickly after just three days.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Unico silks
Unico
Age 5 · 8-5
8-8983
52
58
67
5
8-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Unico is winless in her last five, with three eighth-place finishes and a ninth in that spell, though a third last time out and a quick seven-day turnaround show some promise. She has run over today's trip and on the going, but our figures rank her ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Irish Nectar 8/15 open 2.25 8/15 open 2.10 4/7 open 2.20 4/7 open 2.20 4/7 open 2.10 4/7 open 2.10 4/7 Coral
2 Lil Brother 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
3 Cameley Days 8/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Fenlander 15/2 open 12.00 7/1 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Zoustar Dreams 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
6 Solar Invincible 28/1 open 9.50 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Holbache 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Albegone 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
9 My Mate Kev 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Bet365
10 Unico 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Irish Nectar

Speculative

Irish Nectar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/15 Michael Herrington Dylan Hogan
86% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fenlander

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Olly Williams
✓ Value Signal

Solar Invincible

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Roger Teal
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Irish Nectar
58.4 8/15
2 4. Fenlander
48.9 15/2
3 9. My Mate Kev
46.7 9/1
4 3. Cameley Days
43.8 8/1
5 10. Unico
42.5 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fenlander
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-1
8/15
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 6/5 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 8-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 8-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Age 8 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fenlander
Confidence: Speculative

Fenlander (SR:69, 13/2) is the highest-rated realistic contender outside of the favourite, carries a fair 9-8, and has been backed in by 17% since opening — meaningful support for a trainer (Olly Williams, 4%) whose runners rarely attract market confidence without cause. The MarkMv:-3 tells us the handicapper has already given ground since his last win, reducing the burden. Recent form 356033 shows consistency at this level without a blow-out run. The favourite Irish Nectar (SR:84) has a clear SR advantage but carries top-weight 10-1 in soft ground and critically shows DistFit:- at 5f — a specific proven weakness at today's trip that is a genuine red flag, not a minor concern — while MarkMv:= means no relief from the mark. Each-way alternative: My Mate Kev. Main danger: Irish Nectar — Irish Nectar's SR:84 is comfortably the best in the field and GoingFit:+ confirms soft ground is no barrier, meaning if the distance concern (DistFit:-) proves less significant than the data suggests, the class edge could prove decisive at short odds.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Olly Williams has a 4% trainer strike rate from just 102 runners — one of the weakest training operations in the field, and low-volume yards with poor strike rates rarely land handicaps even with mar…
  • Fenlander's form 356033 shows three consecutive finishes of 3rd or worse with no win — the MarkMv:-3 relief is minimal and he has not converted recent placed efforts into victories.
  • Cameley Days is 48% into the market (far sharper move than Fenlander's 17%), carries identical weight 9-9 with Marco Ghiani aboard and has stable confidence flagged — a more compelling market signal…
  • My Mate Kev shares the same 13/2 price, is rated SR:61 only 8 points below, has a Course:W1P1 record at Newmarket, a MarkMv:-15 massive mark drop, and 3-day turnaround suggesting peak fitness — a dir…
Shortlist Fenlander, Irish Nectar, My Mate Kev, Cameley Days
Each-way: My Mate Kev Danger: Irish Nectar

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade