Figero is fit enough after 16 days off and has run over today's trip and going, with a win four starts back, but a sixth last time out and a heavy 173 lb temper enthusiasm. Our rating of 97 ranks him fifth of 16, so he looks solid rather than special.
Form last 60-1506
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR97RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Our top-rated runner of the 16, Duke Otto has run over today's trip and going and returns after 20 days off, with a 97 official mark to work from; the risk is a form line of unplaced, pulled up, unplaced, then a fourth, and he's yet to land a race in recent starts.
Form last 6P40-P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
70SR104RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fourth last time out and fit after 17 days off, The Monkey Pole has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows he can get involved; he is yet to win recently, but our rating of 103 makes him a confident pick.
Form last 64P3554
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR103RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out just 13 days ago, Pahlavi has run over today's trip and going before, but he carries 172 lb and his earlier form reads fourth, third, then sixth, so he looks a solid midfield sort rather than a standout.
Form last 6P56341
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR96RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lake Chad won three starts back and was second five runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 101 ranks him third of 16. The risk is two eighths since and a 131-day absence, with 170 lb to carry.
Form last 6201-88
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR101RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Glengarriff was eighth last time out after a third two starts back, and he has been without a win in his last five, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 27 days. Carrying 168 lb off 94, he looks held by our 88 rating, ranked 11th of 16.
Form last 60-0038
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR88RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Dark Lieutenant has run over today's trip and is rated 99 by us, fourth of 16, a leading danger despite an official rating of 90 and carrying 164 lb. The big risk is fitness: he unseated last time and returns after 193 days away.
Form last 66008U-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR99RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hashtag Doyen returned to form with a third last time out, 17 days ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Yet she is winless in her last five, and a hefty 164 lb plus our rating of 86 (13th of 16) suggest a midfield ceiling.
Form last 65P-403
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR86RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Maxicourt unseated last time out and was only eighth two starts back, but he has a third three starts back and is back quickly after nine days, having run over today's trip and on this going. Carrying 163 lb off an official mark of 89 is a stiff ask, though our rating of 92 gives him a chance.
Form last 637538U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out and fresh enough after 16 days, Kelly's Cosmos has run over today's trip and going, but he's winless in his last five and was unplaced in three of the four runs before that. A weight of 161 lb is a burden, though our rating of 95 is above his official 87.
Form last 6-60004
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR95RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four, Old Kenmare was fourth last time out but has been off for 191 days, and he carries 159 lb, which makes him hard to fancy. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going before, and he was second four starts back.
Form last 62/F84-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR84RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crypto Crash is hard to fancy: he refused two starts back and fell four starts back, with only a win three starts back to lean on, and he is ranked near the bottom on our figures. On the plus side, he was fifth last time out 12 days ago and has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 669F1R5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR81RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Romella is hard to fancy, winless in her last five with a seventh three starts back and another four starts back among her best finishes, and she was unplaced last time out, 18 days ago. She has run over today's trip and going and our rating has her last of 16, while 156 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 68770-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR84RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Frontier Rose is winless in her last six, unplaced last time out and with a fifth two starts back her best finish in that spell, so she is hard to fancy at 155 lb. She has run over today's trip and going and is back after 17 days, but our figures rank her 14th of 16.
Form last 6086650
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR85RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without a win in her last five, Feet On The Ground was unplaced last time out and pulled up two starts back, though a third five starts back shows some ability, and she has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 90 sits above her official 80, but 154 lb is a big ask.
Form last 6-367P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR90RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Good Bye Milan has been unplaced in her last two starts, though a third three starts back shows she can be competitive, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Back in just 11 days and carrying 154 lb, she's yet to win in her last four, though our rating of 90 has her tenth of 16.
Form last 69/30-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR90RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Chesterbaylad has been well beaten of late, unplaced last time and an eighth two starts back, and his only win in his last six came three starts back. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 12 days, but 153 lb makes this a tall order.
Form last 6274180
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR79RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ballyredinkingston has finished sixth in each of his last three runs, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he is winless in his last five and returns after 79 days off. Our rating of 87 sits well above his official 77, though carrying 151 lb tempers that.
Form last 60B-666
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR87RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Volez Vous is hard to fancy, having finished seventh last time out, after a ninth two starts back and another ninth three starts back, and she is winless in her last five outings with a yard out of form. She has run over today's trip and going and is back after 21 days, but 150 lb is a big ask.
Form last 6P0-997
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR80RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kelly's Cosmos owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1Eoin Christopher McCarthyMr J Dunne(7)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pahlavi
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · John Joseph Hanlon✓ Value Signal
Feet On The Ground
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · James William Hannon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Volez Vous (SR:77, 17/2) is the standout on market signals, steaming in 46% from opening price — by far the most dramatic move in the field — and backs that up with genuine course credentials (Course:W2P2, two wins at Clonmel). Running off a mark 3lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-3) with a light weight of 10-10, and GoingFit:~ suggests the going is not a barrier. The trainer P J Rothwell has a large book of runners and the market is clearly telling us this yard has targeted this race. While the SR of 77 is not the field's highest, weight-adjusted ability is competitive, and the combination of course specialism, mark drop, and a 46% steam is a powerful convergence of signals that is hard to ignore.
Each-way alternative: The Monkey Pole.
Main danger: Kelly's Cosmos — Kelly's Cosmos (SR:84, 11/2) carries the joint-best SR among the lighter-weighted runners and at 11-7 has a real weight advantage over the top of the handicap, making it the most credible alternative if Volez Vous's course form does not translate today.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Recent form reads P0-997 — the horse has not won in this campaign and the last 4 runs show no finish better than 7th, suggesting current ability is well below its Clonmel winning efforts.
HG:p (previously ran with headgear) may indicate the horse requires specific conditions or equipment to produce its best; if not applied today that is a red flag.
Ridden by a 7lb claimer (Miss P Elvin, 7%) whose claim partially masks the true weight carried — in a competitive handicap that inexperience at a crucial stage could cost lengths.
Pahlavi (SR:91) and Kelly's Cosmos/The Monkey Pole (SR:84) carry superior ratings; Volez Vous at SR:77 is giving away meaningful ability to several rivals despite the 3lb mark drop.
ShortlistVolez Vous, Pahlavi, The Monkey Pole, Kelly's Cosmos