Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race · 1m4f0y
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 The Mediator | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Narlita | 16/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Sirius | 15/8 open 4.00 | 13/8 open 4.33 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Bay of Stars | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Shosholoza | 5/2 open 8.50 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Absurde | 7/2 open 2.75 | 4/1 open 2.75 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 9/2 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 7 Hunters Run | 100/1 | 90/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Mister Adam | 16/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Puppet Master | 18/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Contorsion | 11/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Absurde owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sirius (SR:98, 5/2) is the Mullins yard's #1 runner — flagged Stable:1, backed in 7% from opening, carrying Mr David Dunsdon who strikes at 21% — and has the second-highest SR in the field at 9-13lb below rivals carrying more weight. The form string /01-02 shows a recent win followed by a runner-up, consistent and progressive, at 1m4f where DistFit:+ confirms genuine aptitude for the trip. Course:W1P1 at the Curragh adds another positive layer. The MarkMv:+2 is a trivial rise that won't blunt the chance, and while GoingFit:? introduces mild uncertainty on good ground, the compact evidence from multiple aligned signals — SR, market, connections quality, course and distance fit — makes this the most compelling case in the field. Each-way alternative: Shosholoza. Main danger: Shosholoza — Shosholoza (SR:91, 4/1) has been backed in sharply by 21% — the most significant market move in the race — and Mr H C Swan's 19% strike rate gives O'Brien's #1 runner a real professional edge, even if DistFit:? and GoingFit:? introduce unknowns that the punters backing it appear unconcerned by.