Bobby Socks has run over today's trip and going, and a second and a third in his last five starts show he can pay his way, while our rating ranks him top of ten. The risk is back-to-back sevenths and a 46-day absence, with 167 lb on his back.
Form last 6324/77
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
76SR104RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fit enough after 21 days off, Tracker Issue has run over today's trip and on this going, and a fifth last time out follows a second three starts back, so he's our pick on overall profile despite carrying 166 lb and being yet to win lately.
Form last 666295
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR99RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Littletown Lad arrives fit after 13 days, third last time out following back-to-back wins, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, he carries 163 lb off an official mark of 91, and the yard is cold at 1/23 in the last fortnight.
Form last 67U2113
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR86RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jedhi Knight is winless in his last three, a third three starts back followed by a seventh and an eighth last time, and he returns after 51 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 91 is fair, but 161 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6378-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR91RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Walk On Son has had a rough time lately, unseating last time out and pulled up two starts back, though a fourth three starts back shows he can be competitive. He has run over today's trip and going, but a weight of 160 lb and a winless run make this a tough ask.
Form last 698-4PU
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR89RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Snapaudaciaheros is hard to fancy after a seventh last time out and a 121-day absence, with a pulled up three starts back adding doubt, though she won two starts back and four starts back, and has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 651-P17
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR86RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Without a win in his last five, Huit Reflets has slipped to a seventh last time out and a sixth the run before, which makes him hard to fancy off 157 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back shows some ability, but our figures rank him last of ten.
Form last 6-94267
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR82RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Billy Bathgate returns after 21 days with a second three starts back to his name and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 100 ranks him second of ten. The risk is a patchy record: unplaced last time and pulled up the run before, with 156 lb to carry.
Form last 64F2P0/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR101RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Malangen was beaten into second last time out and has a second six starts back, but he is winless in his last six and has finished eighth twice since. Fresh enough after 16 days and he has run over this trip and going, yet 149 lb and a ninth-of-ten ranking make him hard to fancy.
Form last 6284482
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR83RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bouboule is rated a strong threat on our numbers, ranked fourth of ten on 94 against an official mark of 77, and he's fresh from an 18-day break having run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a winless recent run, with a fifth last time out and nothing better than that in his last five starts.
Form last 65P-765
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR95RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Littletown Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/4Sam EnglandJonathan England
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Malangen
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Lisa Harrison✓ Value Signal
Jedhi Knight
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Paul Midgley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Littletown Lad (SR:98, 13/8) is the standout on ability, carrying the highest SR in the field by 11 points over Snapaudaciaheros. His recent form 7U2113 shows a hat-trick of wins culminating in a victory just 13 days ago — peak form — and the market has backed that up with a 15% in-move, the strongest steaming in the field. At 11-9 he is not overburdened, and while MarkMv:+7 means connections must find a bit more, the trajectory of that form string (three consecutive wins) suggests he is still progressing. Sam England's stable runs at 15% and Jonathan England at 14%, a reliable combination at this level.
Each-way alternative: Malangen.
Main danger: Snapaudaciaheros — Snapaudaciaheros (SR:87, 7/1) holds a Course:W2P2 record at Hexham that is unmatched in this field, making him a genuine course specialist who has won here twice before at similar class and trip.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+7 means Littletown Lad is carrying 7lb more than the weight-for-age/class mark suggests — a meaningful burden that partially offsets his SR advantage, especially on a tight northern track lik…
Form string '7U2113' includes an unseated rider (U) and a 7th — the hat-trick of wins may flatter a horse that has had recent wobbles in jumping, which Hexham's undulating fences could expose.
Snapaudaciaheros has Course:W2P2 at Hexham and Malangen Course:W1P10 — Littletown Lad shows no course form (HG:t only), meaning proven Hexham specialists hold a track-specific edge he lacks.
At 13/8 in a 10-runner handicap chase, the market has already fully priced in the hat-trick; the 15% in-move leaves little margin if the +7 mark adjustment has genuinely closed the ability gap with t…