Northumbria Leisure Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) · 3m0f41y
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Super Citizen | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Defence Witness | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 3 Killybegs Jet Lady | 18/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 4 Burning It Up | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 William Hill |
| 5 Stay Hopeful | 8/13 open 2.88 | 8/11 open 2.38 | 8/13 open 2.10 | 8/13 open 2.10 | 10/11 | evn open 2.10 | evn Betfred |
| 6 Luminaries | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Lights Are Green | 12/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 C'Mon So | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 14/5 open 12.00 | 14/5 open 12.00 | 6/1 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 6/1 William Hill |
| 9 Croagh Patrick | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Stay Hopeful owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Stay Hopeful (SR:86, 1/1) is the top-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a favourable 10-11 — a full 1lb lighter than top-weight Super Citizen (SR:83, 12-0) who carries 13lb more for a lower SR. The market has steamed in 9% to odds-on and Sean Bowen (24% strike rate, 2,431 career rides) is a booking that commands respect. The form figure of '467312' shows a recent win and the horse is running on just 2 days' rest, suggesting connections are confident in its wellbeing; GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is the only mild concern, but no definitive negative record against it. The MarkMv:+9 is a flag — it runs off a mark 9lb above its last win — but the weight-carried advantage over rivals and the superior SR justify the market confidence. Each-way alternative: Luminaries. Main danger: C'Mon So — C'Mon So (SR:82, 6/1) has steamed in 38% — the most significant market move in the race — carries a light 10-5, and is the Russell-Scudamore yard's number-one runner, suggesting the stable knows something, even if DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns at this trip and going.