Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap Stakes · 5f
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aleppo Pepper | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Pockley | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Auntie Jo | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Ellie's de Vega | 11/4 open 7.50 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 5/2 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Wee Mary | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 6 Liquid Cooled | 5/1 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Betfred |
| 7 Doon The Glen | 8/1 open 5.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 5.50 | 17/2 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Dinamo | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Siviez | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Spirited Dancer | 15/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Moretons | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Harry Whodeanie | 11/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ellie's de Vega owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 49 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ellie's de Vega (SR 65, 4/1) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and has been backed significantly — Mkt:in26% is the strongest steaming move across all 12 runners. She holds course form (W1P2 at Newcastle AW), and at 9-6 she is not burdened relative to her SR advantage. Her GoingFit:- on good ground is a concern, but on an All-Weather surface the going bucket matters less than on turf, and the market's confidence suggests connections are not alarmed. The 3yo is the Jim Goldie yard's #1 on this card — Pockley's DistFit:- and GoingFit:- combination on a 5f trip she's demonstrably poor at, combined with a +5 mark move, undermines the case for the market favourite despite its course record. Each-way alternative: Liquid Cooled. Main danger: Pockley — Pockley (SR 57, 10/3) has an exceptional course record (W10P19 at Newcastle) and has been backed in 11%, meaning money is following it despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags, and sheer course familiarity on this track can override trip concerns in short-field Class 6 company.