Bobby Joe Leg is yet to win in his last six, with a third and a second five and six starts back now well behind him, and a 183-day absence and a yard out of form (1/24) hold him back. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 68 sits just above his official 65.
Form last 6237060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Jesmond Dawn is a midfield type who has run over today's trip and going and won five starts back, but he has finished sixth in his last two and has been beaten since, so a 38-day break needs to help. Our rating of 67 sits a couple of pounds above his official 65, with 137 lb from draw 10.
Form last 6515066
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Yaajooz arrives fresh from a 20-day break and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 69 ranks him fourth of 14 and sits above his official 65. The risk is a winless run in his last six, with an eighth last time out.
Form last 6890368
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Newsreader is rated 71 by us, third-best of 14, and has run over today's trip and going before, while a 24-day break suggests he's fresh enough. The risk is a winless sequence of finishes no better than fourth, with his yard also out of form at 2/37.
Form last 6606455
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Top-rated of the 14 on our figures (77), Educating Rita has run over today's trip and on this going and returns fresh after 20 days, though she's yet to win in her last five and was only sixth last time out.
Form last 6-03056
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR77RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Sole Spirit has slipped to back-to-back sevenths after winning three and five starts back, so the current trend is the worry, and he carries 135 lb from stall 14. He has run over today's trip and going, and 24 days off is fine, but our figures rank him 12th of 14.
Form last 6161-77
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tactical Blitz gets the nod on profile: he has run over today's trip and on the going, comes here fresh after 26 days, and won six starts back with a third five starts back. Three eighths in his last four are the concern, but our figures rank him second of 14.
Form last 6138878
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR76RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Milford Grange is winless in his last six, though a third three starts back shows he can pick up a cheque, and he has run over today's trip. Back in just seven days after an unplaced effort, he carries 134 lb from draw four.
Form last 6684390
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR67RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without a win in her last six starts, Dolo's Star is hard to fancy after finishing unplaced last time, 33 days ago, and she's a third two starts back, a second four starts back at best. She has run over this trip and on this going, but carries 133 lb from stall 11, and our rating of 56 ranks her last of 14.
Form last 6542030
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR56RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Second last time out and a winner three starts back, he's been consistent and has run over today's trip and going, but our rating has him 11th of 14 and a speed figure of 57 hints he's short of the pace here, so he's hard to fancy carrying 133 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6533142
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR67RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Blufferonthebus bounces between the frame and the pack, with a second two starts back and a third four starts back, but she was only ninth last time out and is yet to win in her last six starts. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 67 sits above her official 61, though she carries 133 lb from stall 12.
Form last 6293729
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR67RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rousham finished third last time out and is fresh enough after 19 days, having run over today's trip and going before, but he has only one win in his last six, and that came six starts back. Carrying 132 lb from draw 1, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 69 ranking him fifth of 14.
Form last 6104603
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR69RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six, Maximum Velocity was unplaced last time out after a sixth and a fifth before that, so he is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going and was second four starts back. Returning after 45 days from draw 13 with 132 lb, he is ranked 13 of 14 on our figures.
Form last 6932560
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR63RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Gressington is consistent but winless in his last six, with a fourth last time out and a fifth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going. Fresh enough after 19 days, he carries 130 lb from stall 8, and our rating of 68 sits well above his official 58, yet he keeps finding a few too good.
Form last 6747454
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR68RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Newsreader owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Tony CarrollTom Marquand
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Get Up Everybody
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Paul Midgley✓ Value Signal
Tactical Blitz
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Liam Bailey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Newsreader (SR:72, 11/4) is the standout on ability in a field where the next-best SR is 76 for Get Up Everybody — but Newsreader carries 9-11 versus Get Up Everybody's 9-7 at a mark 15lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-15), which is a substantial drop and the clearest reason the market has steamed in 22%. Tom Marquand (16% career strike rate, 2,611 runners) is a significant booking for a Class 6 handicap, adding professional intent. The GoingFit:- is a concern but this is all-weather good ground at Newcastle where surface consistency matters more than turf going variations, and the class drop (ClassMv:↓1) combined with that 15lb mark relief gives him every chance to dominate. Get Up Everybody (SR:76, 4/1) holds a narrow SR edge but runs off a mark 4lb higher than his last win (MarkMv:+4) with only moderate distance and going credentials (both DistFit:~ GoingFit:~), making Newsreader's sharper market move and bigger mark relief the more compelling case.
Each-way alternative: Get Up Everybody.
Main danger: Get Up Everybody — Get Up Everybody holds the top SR in the field at 76, has course form (W1P3), a gentle market move in (Mkt:in7%), and recent winning form (Form:533142 showing a win two runs back), making it capable of overturning Newsreader if the higher mark doesn't blunt its finishing effort.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Newsreader's form reads 606455 — no win in his last 6 starts, suggesting he struggles to convert even when conditions look right, and a -15 mark drop may reflect the handicapper's view he simply isn'…
No Course record listed for Newsreader, meaning he has no proven ability at Newcastle AW, while rivals like Get Up Everybody (W1P3) and Bobby Joe Leg (W11P27) have strong course form here.
GoingFit:- is flagged against Newsreader specifically — even on AW where surface is consistent, if his recent runs have been on differing surfaces, fitness/adaptability at Newcastle's Tapeta is unpro…
Get Up Everybody (SR:76) carries 4lb less than Newsreader (9-11 vs 9-7), has fresher winning form (MarkMv:+4 from a recent win), and is still drifting less sharply in the market, representing a live…
ShortlistNewsreader, Get Up Everybody, Yaajooz, Gressington
Each-way: Get Up EverybodyDanger: Get Up Everybody