Newcastle (AW) 18:30 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Oct 2026

Today Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m5y

Official Result

Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Poppeye (GB) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer
    5/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 12/1
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Yarmouth

13:20–17:08 · 8 races

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13:25–16:45 · 7 races

Hexham

14:01–16:50 · 6 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:22–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 55 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sea Legend silks
Sea Legend
Age 6 · 9-13
318318
69
66
75
6
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 12/1
Sea Legend won two starts back and five starts back, and was third six starts back, so he has a strong record in recent runs, while his rating of 75 tops the field of 12 and he has run over today's trip and going. The main risk is a 183-day absence after an eighth last time out, with 139 lb to carry from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Hostility silks
Hostility
Age 4 · 9-12
513936
68
69
75
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 11/2 13/2
Hostility is our pick on profile, having run just seven days ago and finished third two starts back, with a win five starts back in his last six outings. He has run over today's trip and going before, though a sixth last time out is a small reservation from draw 10.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Princess Honey Bee silks
Princess Honey Bee
Age 3 · 9-11
-22416
70
63
68
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 12/1
Won two starts back and has hit the frame in three of her last five, but Princess Honey Bee was only sixth last time and returns after 34 days; she has run over today's trip and going, though 137 lb from stall five and a 68 rating (seventh of 12) suggest a midfield role.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Arkenstaar silks
Arkenstaar
Age 6 · 9-10
-30680
66
42
70
6
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 33/1
Arkenstaar is winless in his last five, with an eighth two starts back and a sixth three starts back, though a third five runs ago shows some ability. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 15 days, but the yard's 1/31 form is a worry.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Starliner silks
Starliner
Age 5 · 9-9
262218
65
73
72
5
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 15/2
Starliner won two starts back and has finished second three times in his last six runs, and he has run over today's trip and going before, so he looks a leading danger, while our rating of 72 sits above his official 65. The main risk is an eighth last time out, with 33 days since that run.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Second Fiddle silks
Second Fiddle FAV
Age 7 · 9-8
334204
64
68
65
7
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 3/1 4/1
Second Fiddle is yet to win in her last six starts, though a fourth last time out, eight days ago, and a second three starts back show she is competitive. Ranked ninth of 12 on our figures and carrying 134 lb from draw 8, she is hard to fancy, even with experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Henry Halflight silks
Henry Halflight
Age 3 · 9-8
271806
67
61
65
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 16/1
Henry Halflight was sixth last time out, after an unplaced run and an eighth in the two outings before that, so he is hard to fancy. In his favour, he won four starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 19 days carrying 134 lb from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Chesneys Charm silks
Chesneys Charm
Age 4 · 9-7
737345
63
68
70
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 10/3
Chesneys Charm is winless in his last six but has finished third twice in that spell, and a fifth last time out came only five days ago, so he's fit. He has run over today's trip and going, though 133 lb from draw 3 asks plenty off an official mark of 63.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Poppeye silks
Poppeye
Age 4 · 9-7
47425
63
66
74
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 13/2 11/2
Poppeye is a leading danger, having been a second two starts back and run to a fourth five starts back, with experience of both today's trip and the going. The main risk is a 59-day absence after a fifth last time out, though our rating of 74 ranks him third of 12.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Bajan Bandit silks
Bajan Bandit
Age 6 · 9-5
232013
61
69
67
6
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 11/2 7/1
Consistent type, third last time out and a winner two starts back, with a fresh 25-day gap and experience of today's trip and going; however, he carries 131 lb from stall 11, and our rating of 67 ranks him only eighth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Shes Got The Blues silks
Shes Got The Blues
Age 3 · 9-5
133131
64
74
65
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 3/1 17/2
Winner last time out and a third two starts back, with three wins in her last six, so the form reads well, and she has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 10 of 12 on our figures, though, with 131 lb from stall four and a trainer going 2/37 lately, she is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Sogniamo silks
Sogniamo
Age 3 · 9-1
756886
60
40
64
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 33/1
Sogniamo is hard to fancy, winless in her last six starts with a sixth last time out, and eighth finishes two and three runs back, and our figures rank her last of 12. She is fit after 19 days and has run over this trip and going before, but that is thin comfort from draw 12.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sea Legend 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 16/1 Coral
2 Hostility 15/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 Coral
3 Princess Honey Bee 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Arkenstaar 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Starliner 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 8.00 17/2 17/2 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 17/2 Coral
6 Second Fiddle 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 Coral
7 Henry Halflight 16/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Paddy Power
8 Chesneys Charm 7/2 open 17.00 10/3 open 9.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 Betfred
9 Poppeye 13/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 8.50 13/2 13/2 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 13/2 Bet365
10 Bajan Bandit 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Coral
11 Shes Got The Blues 17/2 open 4.00 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 Coral
12 Sogniamo 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Chesneys Charm

Speculative

Chesneys Charm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Ivan Furtado Jason Hart
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Second Fiddle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Arkenstaar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Chesneys Charm
52.9 7/2
2 6. Second Fiddle
52.3 4/1
3 5. Starliner
48.2 8/1
4 2. Hostility
46.1 15/2
5 11. Shes Got The Blues
46.1 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chesneys Charm
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 4 · 9-7
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-7
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-9
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chesneys Charm
Confidence: Speculative

Chesneys Charm (SR:68, 9/2) has been backed aggressively — Mkt:in35% is the strongest market move in the field by a wide margin — and carries a favourable MarkMv:-9, meaning connections are running this horse off a mark 9lb below its last win, a significant relief. The weight of 9-7 is competitive in this field, and course form (W1P2) adds further confidence. Stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1) is the one note of caution, but the dramatic market support and the generous mark more than compensate. Jockey Jason Hart (14%, 2767) is the most accomplished booking in the race, which reinforces the yard's intent. Each-way alternative: Shes Got The Blues. Main danger: Starliner — Starliner (SR:73, 9/1) is the highest-rated horse on the shortlist, carries a light 9-9, has been backed (Mkt:in8%) and boasts strong course form (W2P7), giving it a genuine chance to outrun its price if the GoingFit:- concern proves unfounded on today's good surface.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads 737345 — no win in last 6 starts, and the most recent effort (5th) came just 5 days ago, raising fitness/recovery questions after a quick turnaround.
  • Steplling up in class (ClassMv:↑1) while Ivan Furtado's yard runs at only 10% — modest strike rate suggests the stable doesn't land these moves convincingly.
  • Second Fiddle (W5P7 at Newcastle AW) and Starliner (W2P7) have superior course form; Chesneys Charm's W1P2 is a thin profile to rely on at this track.
  • Shes Got The Blues (SR:74, form 133131) is the higher-rated horse with a hot recent sequence and carries 2lb less; its 26% drift may reflect a tactical/going call rather than lack of confidence.
Shortlist Chesneys Charm, Shes Got The Blues, Starliner, Hostility
Each-way: Shes Got The Blues Danger: Starliner

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade