Sea Legend won two starts back and five starts back, and was third six starts back, so he has a strong record in recent runs, while his rating of 75 tops the field of 12 and he has run over today's trip and going. The main risk is a 183-day absence after an eighth last time out, with 139 lb to carry from stall two.
Form last 6318318
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR75RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hostility is our pick on profile, having run just seven days ago and finished third two starts back, with a win five starts back in his last six outings. He has run over today's trip and going before, though a sixth last time out is a small reservation from draw 10.
Form last 6513936
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR75RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won two starts back and has hit the frame in three of her last five, but Princess Honey Bee was only sixth last time and returns after 34 days; she has run over today's trip and going, though 137 lb from stall five and a 68 rating (seventh of 12) suggest a midfield role.
Form last 6-22416
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR68RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Arkenstaar is winless in his last five, with an eighth two starts back and a sixth three starts back, though a third five runs ago shows some ability. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 15 days, but the yard's 1/31 form is a worry.
Form last 6-30680
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Starliner won two starts back and has finished second three times in his last six runs, and he has run over today's trip and going before, so he looks a leading danger, while our rating of 72 sits above his official 65. The main risk is an eighth last time out, with 33 days since that run.
Form last 6262218
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Second Fiddle is yet to win in her last six starts, though a fourth last time out, eight days ago, and a second three starts back show she is competitive. Ranked ninth of 12 on our figures and carrying 134 lb from draw 8, she is hard to fancy, even with experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6334204
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Henry Halflight was sixth last time out, after an unplaced run and an eighth in the two outings before that, so he is hard to fancy. In his favour, he won four starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 19 days carrying 134 lb from draw 7.
Form last 6271806
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR65RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Chesneys Charm is winless in his last six but has finished third twice in that spell, and a fifth last time out came only five days ago, so he's fit. He has run over today's trip and going, though 133 lb from draw 3 asks plenty off an official mark of 63.
Form last 6737345
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR70RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Poppeye is a leading danger, having been a second two starts back and run to a fourth five starts back, with experience of both today's trip and the going. The main risk is a 59-day absence after a fifth last time out, though our rating of 74 ranks him third of 12.
Form last 647425
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR74RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent type, third last time out and a winner two starts back, with a fresh 25-day gap and experience of today's trip and going; however, he carries 131 lb from stall 11, and our rating of 67 ranks him only eighth of twelve.
Form last 6232013
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR67RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winner last time out and a third two starts back, with three wins in her last six, so the form reads well, and she has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 10 of 12 on our figures, though, with 131 lb from stall four and a trainer going 2/37 lately, she is hard to fancy.
Form last 6133131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sogniamo is hard to fancy, winless in her last six starts with a sixth last time out, and eighth finishes two and three runs back, and our figures rank her last of 12. She is fit after 19 days and has run over this trip and going before, but that is thin comfort from draw 12.
Form last 6756886
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Chesneys Charm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Ivan FurtadoJason Hart
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Second Fiddle
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Iain Jardine✓ Value Signal
Arkenstaar
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Michael Dods◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Chesneys Charm (SR:68, 9/2) has been backed aggressively — Mkt:in35% is the strongest market move in the field by a wide margin — and carries a favourable MarkMv:-9, meaning connections are running this horse off a mark 9lb below its last win, a significant relief. The weight of 9-7 is competitive in this field, and course form (W1P2) adds further confidence. Stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1) is the one note of caution, but the dramatic market support and the generous mark more than compensate. Jockey Jason Hart (14%, 2767) is the most accomplished booking in the race, which reinforces the yard's intent.
Each-way alternative: Shes Got The Blues.
Main danger: Starliner — Starliner (SR:73, 9/1) is the highest-rated horse on the shortlist, carries a light 9-9, has been backed (Mkt:in8%) and boasts strong course form (W2P7), giving it a genuine chance to outrun its price if the GoingFit:- concern proves unfounded on today's good surface.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Recent form reads 737345 — no win in last 6 starts, and the most recent effort (5th) came just 5 days ago, raising fitness/recovery questions after a quick turnaround.
Steplling up in class (ClassMv:↑1) while Ivan Furtado's yard runs at only 10% — modest strike rate suggests the stable doesn't land these moves convincingly.
Second Fiddle (W5P7 at Newcastle AW) and Starliner (W2P7) have superior course form; Chesneys Charm's W1P2 is a thin profile to rely on at this track.
Shes Got The Blues (SR:74, form 133131) is the higher-rated horse with a hot recent sequence and carries 2lb less; its 26% drift may reflect a tactical/going call rather than lack of confidence.
ShortlistChesneys Charm, Shes Got The Blues, Starliner, Hostility