Newcastle (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Oct 2026

Today Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes

Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Beaumadier (IRE) Hope Regan · Mark Loughnane
    14/1
  2. 16/1
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 55 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
All Good silks
All Good
Age 3 · 9-9
87-12
69
62
68
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 8/1 22/1
All Good bounces back from a pair of modest efforts with a second last time out and a win two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going, though 35 days off and 135 lb under an official rating of 69 give her plenty to prove from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Valor Spirit silks
Valor Spirit
Age 3 · 9-9
5-2624
69
66
74
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 15/2 12/1
Two seconds in his last five starts, including a runner-up two starts back, and a fourth last time out make Valor Spirit a leading danger, and he has run over today's trip. The one concern is a 42-day absence, though our rating of 74 ranks him second of 13.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Ventura Express silks
Ventura Express
Age 9 · 9-8
446455
68
65
78
9
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 8/1
Ranked top of the 13 on our figures at 78, a clear ten pounds above his official mark of 68, Ventura Express has run over today's trip and going and arrives fresh after 27 days off; the one concern is that he's winless in his last six, with a fifth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Herakles silks
Herakles
Age 6 · 9-8
-44214
68
68
68
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 15/2 14/1
Herakles was fourth last time out and a winner two starts back, with a second three starts back, so the recent form is solid, and he has run over today's trip and going. Against that, 145 days off is a concern, and 134 lb from draw 10 is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ashen silks
Ashen FAV
Age 4 · 9-7
025233
67
73
73
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 10/3
Ashen is our pick on profile, having finished third last time out, and a third two starts back, with a second three starts back, all just 12 days after his latest run. He has run over today's trip and going, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Beaumadier silks
Beaumadier
Age 6 · 9-6
432558
66
50
71
6
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 FCST 20/1
Beaumadier is yet to win in his last six, with an eighth last time out following consecutive fifths, though a second and third earlier on show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and going, but a 64-day break and 132 lb leave questions.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Opal Storm silks
Opal Storm
Age 6 · 9-5
461571
65
68
64
6
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 4/1 17/2
Won last time out and four starts back, with a seventh and a fifth in between, so she's hardly consistent, and she's only back after ten days. She has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank her 12th of 13 and 131 lb from stall 13 is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Justmyluck silks
Justmyluck
Age 3 · 9-3
085997
63
62
66
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/1 11/2
Justmyluck is hard to fancy, winless in his last six with a seventh last time out and a pair of ninths before that, while 129 lb offers no respite. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 is a touch above his official 63, but that only ranks him 11th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Brazen Idol silks
Brazen Idol FAV
Age 7 · 9-3
850042
63
70
70
7
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 FCST 10/3
Brazen Idol bounces in off a second last time out, just eight days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last six and carries 129 lb from stall four. Our rating of 70 ranks him sixth of 13, so he looks mid-pack.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Simba's Pride silks
Simba's Pride
Age 3 · 9-2
347403
62
58
69
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 12/1
Simba's Pride was third last time out and has run over today's trip, but he's winless in his last six, with a third six starts back his best other finish, and the yard is quiet at 1 from 31 lately. Our rating of 69 ranks him seventh of 13, so he's a solid midfielder from draw 11.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Staniel Cay silks
Staniel Cay
Age 3 · 9-2
413456
62
57
71
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 12/1
Staniel Cay has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's a threat with a win five starts back and a third four starts back, while our rating of 71 ranks him fourth of 13 and sits well above his official 62. The risk is a form trend that has slipped to a fifth and then a sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Golden Havana silks
Golden Havana
Age 3 · 9-1
222506
61
43
67
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 28/1
Golden Havana is hard to fancy, sixth last time out and unplaced the run before, with his yard struggling at 1/31 over the last 14 days. He has run over today's trip and going, and three seconds in his last six starts show he can get involved, but he is yet to win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Lucius Aurelius silks
Lucius Aurelius
Age 4 · 8-11
389833
57
62
63
4
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/1 6/1
Lucius Aurelius is winless in his last six, though he was third last time out and again two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Ranked last of 13 on our figures, with a yard out of form at 1/31, he's hard to fancy despite being fresh after eight days.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 All Good 22/1 open 9.00 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 10.00 28/1 Paddy Power
2 Valor Spirit 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Ventura Express 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Herakles 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 Paddy Power
5 Ashen 7/2 open 7.00 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
6 Beaumadier 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 25/1 Bet365
7 Opal Storm 17/2 open 5.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 Paddy Power
8 Justmyluck 7/1 open 26.00 11/2 open 26.00 6/1 open 26.00 6/1 open 26.00 6/1 open 26.00 6/1 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365
9 Brazen Idol 4/1 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 4/1 4/1 Bet365
10 Simba's Pride 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Staniel Cay 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
12 Golden Havana 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 William Hill
13 Lucius Aurelius 7/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ashen

Speculative

Ashen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Brazen Idol

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · John Ryan
✓ Value Signal

Beaumadier

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Mark Loughnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Ashen
54.3 7/2
2 9. Brazen Idol
53.9 4/1
3 8. Justmyluck
47.9 7/1
4 3. Ventura Express
47.1 9/1
5 7. Opal Storm
44.6 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ashen
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Ashen FAV
Age 4 · 9-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 7 · 9-3
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 8-11
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 9-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ashen
Confidence: Speculative

Ashen (SR:73, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 23% in the market — the strongest positive market move in the race — suggesting informed confidence. Carrying 9-7, a manageable weight, and at Class 5 with ClassMv:= means no additional burden of a class rise. The recent form of 025233 shows consistent competitiveness at this level with a fresh return just 12 days ago, and Mulrennan (14% strike rate, 2,479 career runs) is a shrewd booking. GoingFit:- is the one concern on Good going, but the market support overrides that hesitation given every other signal points the same way. Each-way alternative: Brazen Idol. Main danger: Brazen Idol — Brazen Idol (SR:70, 9/2) is the second-highest-rated runner, running off a mark 11lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-11), has course form (W0P1), and David Allan (13% strike rate) is a course specialist — the drop in mark is a real competitive asset.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- flagged on Good going at Newcastle AW — Ashen has a documented going concern that the analyst acknowledges but dismisses; if the surface rides closer to Good than Tapeta-standard, this is…
  • Form of 025233 shows Ashen has not won in six consecutive starts, with the two most recent efforts being back-to-back thirds — the horse is consistently placed but not converting, suggesting a finish…
  • Brazen Idol (SR:70, 9/2) ran just 8 days ago, is fresher in condition, has David Allan (13% SR) aboard, and is only 3lbs worse off at the weights — a comparable rival who closed the market far less d…
  • Market steam of 23% in looks compelling, but Opal Storm drifted 41% out — that sharp opposition drift does not necessarily validate Ashen; Justmyluck steamed 55% in and could attract late money that…
Shortlist Ashen, Brazen Idol, Valor Spirit
Each-way: Brazen Idol Danger: Brazen Idol

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade