Curragh 13:55 RESULTED
20 Oct 2026

Today Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap

Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nouvel Espoir (IRE) Colin Keane · James M Barcoe
    6/1
  2. 5/1F
  3. 20/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Yarmouth

13:20–17:08 · 8 races

Curragh

13:25–16:45 · 7 races

Hexham

14:01–16:50 · 6 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:22–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 17 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 55 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Nouvel Espoir silks
Nouvel Espoir
Age 6 · 10-0
322215
78
80
76
6
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 13/2 6/1
Nouvel Espoir has been consistent, with a win two starts back and three seconds before that, but he was only fifth last time out just five days ago. Carrying 140 lb from draw 8, he has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating of 76 ranks him 13th of 17.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lilli's Angel silks
Lilli's Angel FAV
Age 3 · 9-13
9841
78
76
75
3
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 13/2 6/1
Lilli's Angel won last time out, but she was eighth and ninth in two of her three runs before that, and our figures rank her 15th of 17 at 74. Fresh from a run 13 days ago and with experience of today's trip and going, she still carries 139 lb off an official 78.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Motta Alta silks
Motta Alta
Age 3 · 9-12
61335
77
80
82
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 13/2 17/2
Motta Alta arrives fit after 21 days, with two thirds and a win in her last five starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 82 ranks her fourth of 17, but a fifth last time out and 138 lb are the concerns.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Real Force silks
Real Force
Age 9 · 9-12
50-400
76
56
88
9
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 22/1
Real Force is our top-rated runner, having run over today's trip and on this going before, and he returns fresh after 16 days; a fourth three starts back is his best recent effort, though he has been unplaced last time out. Our 88 rating, 12 clear of his official 76, makes him the one to beat from draw 4.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Spodo Komodo silks
Spodo Komodo
Age 4 · 9-12
020074
76
65
72
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 9/1 7/1
Winless in his last six, Spodo Komodo is hard to fancy, though a fourth last time out, just ten days ago, and a second five starts back show some ability; he has run over today's trip and our figures still rank him 16th of 17, carrying 138 lb from stall 16.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Tropical Retreat silks
Tropical Retreat
Age 4 · 9-12
1000-0
76
50
79
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 FCST 33/1
Tropical Retreat has been well beaten in her last four outings after a win five starts back, and a 111-day absence raises fitness questions, though she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 79 sits above her official 76, but 138 lb from stall 11 is a hefty load.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tolebi silks
Tolebi
Age 4 · 9-11
404558
75
57
81
4
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 20/1
Tolebi has been consistent without troubling the judge, finishing fourth, fifth and fifth before an eighth last time out, though he is winless in his last six and has run over today's trip and going. Fresh enough after 16 days, he drops in from 137 lb off a mark of 75, and our 81 ranking of fifth of 17 suggests a midfield chance from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Ballintogher silks
Ballintogher
Age 4 · 9-10
/5251-
74
67
78
4
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 22/1
Ballintogher won last time out and has a second and a fifth in his other recent runs, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but 335 days off is a big concern. Carrying 136 lb from stall 17, he sits ninth of 17 on our ratings.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Go Athletico silks
Go Athletico
Age 8 · 9-10
560049
74
71
81
8
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 9/1 15/2
Back quickly after five days off, Go Athletico was a ninth last time out but a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, though he is yet to win in his last six outings. Our rating of 81 sits above his official 74, but 136 lb from stall five is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Gypsy Queen silks
Gypsy Queen
Age 4 · 9-10
518-06
74
67
78
4
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 11/1
Sixth last time out and quick back after eight days, Gypsy Queen has a win four starts back to point to and has run over today's trip, but she's been unplaced and eighth since, and 136 lb from stall three is a lot to carry; our rating of 78 puts her only eleventh of 17.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Heddon Street silks
Heddon Street
Age 3 · 9-9
1-220
74
58
75
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 FCST 33/1
Heddon Street was unplaced last time out, though a pair of seconds and a win four starts back show he's been in the frame recently, and he has run over today's trip and going. Rated 75 and ranked 14th of 17 by us, with 135 lb from stall 12, he's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Nakamura silks
Nakamura
Age 3 · 9-8
820700
73
58
83
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 18/1 20/1
Nakamura is only eight days since his last run and has run over today's trip and on this going, while our rating of 82 ranks him second of 17, making him a clear threat from stall seven. The risk is form that has tailed off, with unplaced efforts in his last two and a second five starts back his best finish.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

13
Michael's Well silks
Michael's Well
Age 3 · 9-7
1-6857
72
71
82
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 10/1 6/1
Michael's Well makes appeal as a leading danger, with our rating ranking him third of 17 and a win five starts back, while he has run over today's trip and going and returns fresh after 16 days. The main risk is that he has finished seventh last time out, and no better than a fifth since that win.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
All The Girls silks
All The Girls
Age 3 · 9-4
638254
69
68
77
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 8/1
All The Girls was fourth last time out, 18 days ago, and a second three starts back is her best finish in a winless run of six, though she has run over today's trip. Carrying 130 lb from stall 10, she sits mid-pack on our rating of 76, ranked twelfth of 17.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Apache Outlaw silks
Apache Outlaw
Age 6 · 9-3
323969
67
71
80
6
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 8/1 10/1
Apache Outlaw has run over today's trip and going, and was third and second in the frame earlier in this spell, but he's slipped to a sixth and then a ninth in his last two starts, and a quick five-day turnaround adds a question. Our rating of 80 sits well above his official 67, though he's yet to win in his last six and carries 129 lb from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Merisi Diamond silks
Merisi Diamond
Age 7 · 9-3
673153
67
80
78
7
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 11/2 8/1
Third last time out and a winner three starts back, Merisi Diamond has run over today's trip and going, though a 42-day break and a fifth two starts ago temper the case. Carrying 129 lb from stall 14, his 78 rating sits tenth of 17.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
Rosato silks
Rosato
Age 5 · 9-3
209410
67
72
68
5
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 6/1 8/1
Rosato was unplaced last time out and returns just two days later, a quick turnaround that is hard to like, though she won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 129 lb from draw 15, she is ranked last of 17 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Nouvel Espoir 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
2 Lilli's Angel 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 Bet365
3 Motta Alta 17/2 open 7.50 12/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 12/1 Paddy Power
4 Real Force 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Spodo Komodo 8/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
6 Tropical Retreat 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 — 40/1 Bet365
7 Tolebi 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Paddy Power
8 Ballintogher 25/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
9 Go Athletico 17/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 Bet365
10 Gypsy Queen 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Heddon Street 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 — 40/1 Bet365
12 Nakamura 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
13 Michael's Well 15/2 open 17.00 6/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 Bet365
14 All The Girls 9/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
15 Apache Outlaw 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
16 Merisi Diamond 8/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 9/1 Paddy Power
17 Rosato 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lilli's Angel

Speculative

Lilli's Angel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Daniel McLoughlin Conor Cusack(7)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Nouvel Espoir

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · James M Barcoe
✓ Value Signal

Heddon Street

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Leonard Paul Flynn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Lilli's Angel
53.4 13/2
2 1. Nouvel Espoir
50.9 13/2
3 16. Merisi Diamond
50.2 8/1
4 9. Go Athletico
50.2 17/2
5 17. Rosato
49.9 17/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Merisi Diamond
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 10-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-13
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 3 · 9-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 7 · 9-3
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 9-10
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 5 · 9-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 6 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Merisi Diamond
Confidence: Speculative

Merisi Diamond (SR:80, 6/1, 9-3) is the joint-top SR in the field yet carries the lightest weight of the three SR:80 horses — a significant lbs advantage over Nouvel Espoir (10-0) and Motta Alta (9-12). The course record of W3P5 at the Curragh is the strongest course-specialist profile in the race, and the MarkMv:-2 signals she is running off a mark fractionally below her last winning mark. Dylan Browne McMonagle (17% career strike rate, 1,743 runners) is the standout jockey booking here, far superior to any other rider in the field. While GoingFit:? is the one uncertainty, her course record across multiple visits suggests she handles Curragh conditions, and the market has held relatively firm at 6/1. Each-way alternative: Michael's Well. Main danger: Michael's Well — Michael's Well (SR:71, 10/1, 9-7) has steamed in 21% (Mkt:in21%), carries the lightest weight among the market-fancied runners, and the tongue-tie application plus that sharp market move suggests connections are expecting a performance well above his recent form figures.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 42-day absence with HG:tp (tongue-tie and hood) suggests she needed equipment to control her last time; returning fresh with no recent racecourse sharpener is a risk in a competitive 17-runner handic…
  • Trainer Thomas Coyle strikes at just 4% (235 runners) — the weakest trainer strike rate among the leading fancies, making the jockey booking look more opportunistic than stable confidence.
  • Recent form figures 673153 show she has been running into placings and one win but has failed to score in her last three outings, suggesting she may be on a declining curve rather than a peak.
  • Michael's Well (Mkt:in21%) and Go Athletico (Mkt:in12%) are both attracting strong market support today, suggesting informed money is going elsewhere in this field despite Merisi Diamond's ostensible…
Shortlist Merisi Diamond, Michael's Well, Lilli's Angel, Go Athletico
Each-way: Michael's Well Danger: Michael's Well

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
17 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting