Do No Wrong won two of his last five starts, including a victory two starts back, and was second three starts back, while a seventh last time out is the one blot. Fit after 16 days, he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 119 makes him the one to beat.
Form last 61P21-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR119RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out and third two starts back, Coded Welder arrives fresh enough after 18 days and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 114 ranks him second of five. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last six starts, and 164 lb is a big weight to carry.
Form last 6248534
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR114RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Blakey Boy won two starts back and three starts back, after a second four and five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the main risk is a pulled up last time out and a 185-day absence, with 159 lb to carry.
Form last 62211P-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR109RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dalileo won twice in his last six starts, five and six starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while a 16-day turnaround keeps him fresh. The risk is that he has finished no better than a fifth since, and he carries 148 lb.
Form last 6117895
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR100RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, with three sixths and a seventh before a third last time out, Robert d'Ores is hard to fancy, and our figures have him last of the five. On the plus side, he's fresh enough after 18 days and has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 666-763
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR91RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Coded Welder owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/5Cian CollinsSean Bowen
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Blakey Boy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Ewan Whillans✓ Value Signal
Dalileo
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
14/1 · Lisa Harrison◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Coded Welder (SR 105, 6/4) is the highest-rated runner still in the competitive range for a Class 4 handicap and carries a sensible 11-10 — a 4lb advantage over top-weight Do No Wrong (SR 100). The booking of Sean Bowen (24% career strike rate across 2,431 rides) is a significant positive signal; that is an elite jockey for this track and grade. GoingFit:~ suggests no ground concerns, and while the form string 248534 shows no recent win, the consistency of hitting the frame is backed by a trainer at 9% from 625 runners whose horses rarely run without purpose. The market at 6/4 reflects what the Bowen booking and SR lead are telling us.
Each-way alternative: Blakey Boy.
Main danger: Blakey Boy — Blakey Boy (SR 107, 3/1) is the highest SR in the field, holds proven course form (W1P3), GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's ground, and dropping two classes (ClassMv:↓2) means he faces a career-low competitive level — the drift of 8% is the only caveat, likely reflecting the 185-day absence.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Blakey Boy carries SR 107 — 2 points higher than Coded Welder — at a lower weight of 11-5, giving him a superior rating-to-weight profile despite the market pricing him wider at 3/1.
Form string 248534 contains no win in the last six starts; at 6/4 the market is pricing a horse that has not won recently as a short-priced favourite, leaving no margin for error.
Blakey Boy has a proven course record (W1P3 at Hexham) whereas Coded Welder shows no course-win flag, a meaningful disadvantage on an idiosyncratic left-handed circuit.
Trainer Cian Collins runs at only 9% from 625 runners — a large sample confirming mediocrity — and the HG:t (tongue tie) flag suggests the stable is searching for an answer rather than presenting a h…