Graham & Alison's 15th Wedding Aniversary Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 5f42y
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 10 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sir Chops | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Kohana Girl | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Lady of Killarney | 66/1 open 201.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 25/1 open 126.00 | 25/1 open 126.00 | 50/1 open 126.00 | 50/1 open 126.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 4 March of Time | 15/8 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 15/8 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Oliaku | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.00 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Starship Lily | 3/1 open 2.10 | 11/4 open 2.38 | 2/1 open 2.38 | 2/1 open 2.38 | 3/1 open 2.50 | 3/1 open 2.38 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Oliaku owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Starship Lily (SR:158, 7/4) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin, booked with Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate) from a trainer hitting 19% — the strongest connections combination on the card. The form reads 4-2, so she was runner-up last time out and is improving. Against the challenge test: yes, she has drifted 11% and her distance and going are unproven, but the same unknowns apply to every horse in this novice field, and her SR edge of 33 points over the next-best runner is simply too large to dismiss in a Class 4 novice. March of Time's 25% market support is compelling but it carries SR:73 — 85 points below Starship Lily — and a form line of 34528 that shows a horse moving in the wrong direction, including a last-run 8th after stepping up two classes. Each-way alternative: March of Time. Main danger: March of Time — March of Time's 25% market move inward is the strongest backing signal in the field and Jack Channon's stable at 15% with Billy Loughnane at 18% is a live combination, so if the market intelligence is genuine it could overhaul the higher-rated runners.