Newcastle (AW) 16:57 RESULTED
Class 3 20 Oct 2026

Today Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m4f98y

Official Result

Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Wardlaw (USA) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    4/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 3/1F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 54 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ernst Blofeld silks
Ernst Blofeld
Age 4 · 10-3
175523
96
89
98
4
10-3
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 11/4 7/2
Ernst Blofeld arrives in good heart, third last time out and a second two starts back, and fresh enough after 17 days off. He has run over today's trip, though 143 lb is a notable burden and his only win in his last six came six starts back.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Circus of Rome silks
Circus of Rome FAV
Age 4 · 10-2
-50002
95
86
96
4
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
3/1 11/4 3/1
Second last time out after 26 days off, he has run over today's trip and going and arrives in his best form for a while, while his 142 lb is a stiff burden. The main risk is a yard that is out of sorts, with just one winner from 21 lately.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Oursin silks
Oursin
Age 4 · 10-1
2/11-6
94
90
89
4
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 3/1 7/2
Oursin won two starts back and again three starts back, with a second four starts back, but he was sixth last time out and returns after 158 days off. Carrying 141 lb off an official mark of 94, he looks a midfield type, and our rating of 88 ranks him sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Teumessias Fox silks
Teumessias Fox
Age 7 · 10-0
535P09
93
76
101
7
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 15/2
Teumessias Fox has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank him top of nine, with 101 well clear of his official 93 and a third five starts back showing his ability. The risk is clear, though: he is winless in recent starts and finished ninth last time out, 44 days ago.
AI verdict

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

5
Dark Moon Rising silks
Dark Moon Rising
Age 7 · 9-6
501607
85
60
92
7
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 28/1
Dark Moon Rising won four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 92 sits well above his official 85. The risk is a seventh last time out and a yard in poor form.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
Tiernan silks
Tiernan
Age 4 · 9-6
215263
85
85
89
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 5/1 4/1
Tiernan was third last time out and fresh enough after 20 days, with a win five starts back and a second three starts back in a consistent set of runs. He has run over today's trip, but a sixth two starts back and 132 lb leave him more midfield than match-winner.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Folk Pageant silks
Folk Pageant
Age 3 · 9-0
110656
85
54
85
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 28/1
Folk Pageant has finished sixth, fifth and sixth in her last three starts, and she returns after 81 days off, so she is hard to fancy; carrying 126 lb doesn't help. In her favour, she won five and six starts back and has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
High Point silks
High Point
Age 5 · 8-11
100068
74
48
81
5
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 25/1 80/1
High Point has finished eighth and sixth in his last two runs and is winless since a victory six starts back, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after ten days off, though our rating ranks him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Wardlaw silks
Wardlaw
Age 3 · 8-6
231222
77
87
75
3
8-6
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 10/3 5/1
Wardlaw has been in the frame in each of his last six starts, with a second last time out, a second two starts back, a second three starts back and a win four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Even so, he's hard to fancy: our figures rank him ninth of nine, with 118 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ernst Blofeld 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
2 Circus of Rome 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Oursin 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Bet365
4 Teumessias Fox 17/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 8/1 8/1 15/2 open 9.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Dark Moon Rising 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Tiernan 5/1 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
7 Folk Pageant 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 50/1 Paddy Power
8 High Point 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 Bet365
9 Wardlaw 11/2 open 4.33 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Circus of Rome

Speculative

Circus of Rome owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Richard Hughes Finley Marsh
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ernst Blofeld

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Hamad Al Jehani
✓ Value Signal

Dark Moon Rising

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Circus of Rome
57.3 3/1
2 1. Ernst Blofeld
56.5 4/1
3 3. Oursin
55.4 7/2
4 6. Tiernan
53.6 5/1
5 9. Wardlaw
53.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Circus of Rome
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-2
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 10-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-3
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 10-0
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Circus of Rome
Confidence: Speculative

Circus of Rome (SR 86, 11/4) is the market favourite and has shortened 10% — genuine money behind it on an AW track where it already has a course win and a place (Course:W1P1). It carries 10-2 which is manageable, runs off a mark 9lb above its last win but that is offset by a drop in trip uncertainty (DistFit:? is not a negative, merely unproven here) and proven going suitability (GoingFit:~). Richard Hughes at 15% with 1,412 career runners is a reliable handler, and Finley Marsh at 14% is in good order. The ClassMv:= means no upward class pressure, and the Mkt:in10% move is the clearest single signal in this field. Each-way alternative: Oursin. Main danger: Wardlaw — Wardlaw (SR 87, 5/1) has the strongest recent consistent form in the field (231222), is proven at the distance (DistFit:+) and on this going (GoingFit:+), and Sir Mark Prescott at 18% is one of the shrewdest handlers on AW — the 19% market drift is the only concern, but Prescott's runners frequently run to their mark regardless of market moves.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -50002: five consecutive failures to win, including two zeros — Circus of Rome has not found the winner's enclosure since the course win that underpins the selection's confidence.
  • Running off a mark 9lb above its last win (MarkMv:+9) is a meaningful rise; in a field where Oursin (SR:90) and Wardlaw (SR:87) both rate higher on speed figures, the handicapper may have caught up w…
  • Tiernan (11/2) has also shortened 12% in the market today and carries 9-6 vs Circus of Rome's 10-2 — 10lb pull in the weights for a horse in similar form, representing a live danger the market move m…
  • DistFit:? is a genuine unknown at this trip, not merely 'unproven' — combined with recent form of 0002, there is no evidence it can reproduce its course win form at today's distance.
Shortlist Circus of Rome, Oursin, Wardlaw, Ernst Blofeld
Each-way: Oursin Danger: Wardlaw

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m4f98y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade