Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes · 7f14y
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nostrum | 13/8 open 4.33 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 2 BillyB | 11/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Aisling Oscar | 25/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Enacting | 18/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Elite Approach | 40/1 open 12.00 | 30/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Montezin | 8/1 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Prince of Pillo | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 King of Ithaca | 18/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Supreme Clarets | 20/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Not That Guy | 11/4 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 Paddy Power |
| 11 Jersey Maverick | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 12 War Howl | 20/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nostrum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Nostrum (SR 90, 13/8) is the class standout in this field by a meaningful margin — 7 SR points clear of the next-best BillyB and Not That Guy (both SR 83) — and carries 10-3 which, while the joint-top weight, is justified by that ability advantage. The market is emphatic: a 15% inward move to 13/8 reflects genuine confidence from connections, and Michael Appleby (13% strike rate, 1,724 runners) is a reliable hand at Southwell. Course form (W1P1) adds further confidence, and the form string 000521 shows a horse that has found its way back to a winning run last time, staying at the same class (ClassMv:=) on the same mark — the classic 'do it again' scenario. The moderate DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are the only caveats but nothing here beats the SR+market+course combination. Each-way alternative: Not That Guy. Main danger: Not That Guy — Not That Guy (SR 83, 3/1) carries only 9-2 — a full 15lb less than Nostrum — and last-time-out won (Form:52-1) with Cieren Fallon (18% career strike rate) aboard for Hugo Palmer (13%, 1,573 runners), though the 24% drift is a concern that prevents it being the primary pick.