Menabrea Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Caturra Rock | 6/5 open 2.75 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 6/5 | 6/5 | 1/1 open 2.20 | 11/10 open 2.20 | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 2 Sea Mirage | 2/1 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 85/40 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 Paddy Power |
| 3 Alfa Blueburd | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Coul Blue | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Muve On | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Howard's Hobby | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Queen Bee For You | 25/1 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Caturra Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Caturra Rock (SR 154, 11/10) is the standout on ability in this field, sitting 4lb clear of the next-best SR-150 Muve On and carrying the same weight (9-7). The market has shortened 7% — meaningful steaming in a small field — and Ed Dunlop's 12% yard strike rate is respectable. Crucially, this is a class drop of three tiers, meaning Caturra Rock's SR-154 ability has been demonstrated at a considerably higher level than today's Class 5 novice; even a below-par effort here should be sufficient. Hector Crouch at 18% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the race, further endorsing connections' confidence. Each-way alternative: Muve On. Main danger: Muve On — Muve On (SR 150, 4/1) is the Easterby yard's #1 runner based on SR and jockey seniority (David Allan over Sean Kirrane), and having run twice already has racecourse experience that could matter on heavy ground — though the 13% market drift is a mild negative signal against him reversing the SR gap.