Tramore 16:30 RESULTED
8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase

Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase · 1m7f110y

Official Result

Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Farrokh (FR) Sean Flanagan · Barry Connell
    3/1
  2. 11/4F
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Thurles

13:16–17:20 · 8 races

Bath

13:30–17:55 · 10 races

Ayr

13:45–17:13 · 7 races

Market Rasen

13:56–16:48 · 6 races

Tramore

14:10–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Leave In Secret silks
Leave In Secret
Age 7 · 11-12
7-7432
110
98
106
7
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 2/1 10/3
Leave In Secret arrives in rising form, second last time out, then a third two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is a 61-day break, while he is yet to win in his last five starts and carries 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Farrokh silks
Farrokh
Age 7 · 11-10
6U-142
108
98
102
7
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 11/4 7/2
Farrokh arrives in good heart, second last time out and a fourth two starts back, with a win three starts back, and a 27-day break suggests he is fresh. He has run over today's trip and on this going, and while 164 lb is a big burden, our rating of 102, third best of seven, still makes him a tentative selection.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Lady Doyanne silks
Lady Doyanne
Age 6 · 11-10
-43223
108
101
103
6
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 9/4 11/4
Lady Doyanne is consistently in the frame, third last time out, then a second two starts back and another second three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Fitness is fine after 27 days off, but she is yet to win in her last five starts and carries 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Marelly silks
Marelly
Age 9 · 10-11
13942-
95
85
98
9
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/2 14/1
Marelly bounced back to form with a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while a win five starts back shows his ability. The main risk is a 191-day absence, with his trainer's yard also out of form.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sayitfirst silks
Sayitfirst
Age 10 · 10-11
9P-808
95
81
92
10
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 17/2 11/1
Sayitfirst is hard to fancy, winless in her last five with an eighth last time out, a pull-up four starts back and a ninth five starts back, and she carries 151 lb off an official 95. She has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Dontcavein silks
Dontcavein
Age 6 · 10-8
496P-0
92
87
89
6
10-8
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 13/2 9/4
Winless in his last five and pulled up two starts back, Dontcavein is hard to fancy, with an unplaced effort last time and a ninth four starts back hardly encouraging. He has run over today's trip and going, and 31 days since his last run is fine, but our rating of 89 puts him last of seven.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Itsalonglongroad silks
Itsalonglongroad
Age 12 · 10-4
P0-736
88
64
94
12
10-4
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 16/1 11/1
Itsalonglongroad is winless in his last five, though a third two starts back after a sixth last time out shows some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 144 lb off 88 and rated a mid-pack fifth of seven by us, he looks short of a leading chance.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Leave In Secret 10/3 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 Paddy Power
2 Farrokh 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 Paddy Power
3 Lady Doyanne 3/1 11/4 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 Bet365
4 Marelly 14/1 open 7.00 22/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.50 22/1 Paddy Power
5 Sayitfirst 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Paddy Power
6 Dontcavein 5/2 open 13.00 9/4 open 7.50 9/4 open 7.50 9/4 open 7.50 9/4 open 7.50 9/4 open 7.50 5/2 Bet365
7 Itsalonglongroad 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Leave In Secret

Speculative

Leave In Secret owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Thomas Gibney James Smith(3)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Doyanne

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Henry de Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Marelly

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · P J Rothwell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Leave In Secret
59.2 10/3
2 3. Lady Doyanne
58.7 3/1
3 2. Farrokh
57.4 7/2
4 6. Dontcavein
54.4 5/2
5 5. Sayitfirst
47.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dontcavein
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 6 · 10-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-10
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 11-12
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 10 · 10-11
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 9 · 10-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 12 · 10-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dontcavein
Confidence: Speculative

Dontcavein (SR:87, 4/1) is the standout market mover in this field, steaming in 43% from its opening price — a dramatic move that demands respect in a race where most rivals are drifting. It carries a competitive 10-8 (lightest weight among the main contenders), giving it a real pounds edge over Leave In Secret (11-12) and Farrokh (11-10). At age 6 it is the most progressive runner in the field, and trainer Ciaran Murphy and jockey Kevin Healy combine for a workable strike rate. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags are a mild concern, but the absence of negative distance/going form means this is an unknown rather than a proven weakness, and the weight advantage compensates. Each-way alternative: Lady Doyanne. Main danger: Lady Doyanne — Lady Doyanne (SR:101, the highest in the field, 10/3) has consistent placing form at this level (-43223), handles the going (GoingFit:+), has course form (W0P1 at Tramore), and Henry de Bromhead's 16% strike rate gives her a live each-way chance despite the 21% drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Dontcavein's last 5 runs read 496P-0 — a pull-up and a last-place finish in its two most recent outings suggest a horse in poor form, not an improver on the cusp of a breakthrough.
  • SR:87 is the second-lowest rating in the field among realistic contenders; Leave In Secret (SR:98) and Farrokh (SR:98) are rated 11 points superior on ability, a meaningful gap at this level.
  • Both DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are unknown for today's specific conditions at Tramore — unlike rivals Lady Doyanne and Leave In Secret who carry HG:t flags suggesting proven handling of this ground ty…
  • Trainer Ciaran Murphy strikes at only 8% and jockey Kevin Healy (conditional) at 10% — the market steam may be stable money rather than informed confidence, and no Course flag suggests zero course fo…
Shortlist Dontcavein, Lady Doyanne, Farrokh
Each-way: Lady Doyanne Danger: Lady Doyanne

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m7f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Tramore Track and setting