San Miguel Handicap Stakes · 0m7f50y
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 One Night Thunder | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Monsieur Kodi | 33/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Cisco Disco | 14/1 open 6.50 | 18/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Stanage | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Empirestateofmind | 15/8 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 6 The Gay Blade | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Ashen | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Emery Down | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Tactical Plan | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Valentine Catcher | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Empirestateofmind owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Empirestateofmind (SR:89, 15/8, 9-11) is the standout on SR by a clear margin — 16 points clear of the next-best One Night Thunder (SR:74) — and that ability edge is backed by a compelling recent form string of 500121, showing two consecutive wins heading into today. Crucially, GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles heavy ground, which is a decisive filter in a field where seven runners carry GoingFit:? and none other than Cisco Disco (SR:62) also show GoingFit:+. Jason Hart (14%, 2,730 career runs) is a high-quality booking, and the horse's three wins and four places at Ayr (Course:W3P4) make this a course specialist too. The weight of 9-11 is workable — not burdensome — and the mark is at the same level as the last win (MarkMv:=), so no penalty is being absorbed. Each-way alternative: One Night Thunder. Main danger: One Night Thunder — One Night Thunder (SR:74, 5/1) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), has course form (W1P1), and carries the top weight of 10-1 which is manageable in this grade — the improving form string ending in a '1' last time out makes it the most credible threat at a fair price.