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20:30 Southwell (AW) 8 Oct 2026 Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes

  • 12 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 7f14y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Nostrum

Kevin Stott Michael Appleby

90SR 92RPR 80OR 13/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+57 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 48 +6

Going Record

on Good
39%
★ Specialist

4 wins, 5 placed · 23 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 47% +3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Kevin Stott 178 wins from 1210 rides 15 WIN %
  • Michael Appleby 234 wins from 1744 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 29 together 17WIN %
2

BillyB

Daniel Tudhope Craig Lidster

83SR 89RPR 82OR 11/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 48 -10

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 10 placed · 42 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 47% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Daniel Tudhope 359 wins from 1964 rides 18 WIN %
  • Craig Lidster 69 wins from 597 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
3

Aisling Oscar

M. P. Sheehy Adrian Keatley

51SR 74RPR 78OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

10 wins, 3 placed · 34 runs

This runner 39% · Field avg 47% -8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • M. P. Sheehy 33 wins from 436 rides 8 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 116 wins from 767 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 107 together 12WIN %
4

Enacting

Jonny Peate James Fanshawe

67SR 86RPR 77OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 1 run

Only one run on file — not enough to plot a trend. Single score: 85.

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 47% +53

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Jonny Peate 68 wins from 769 rides 9 WIN %
  • James Fanshawe 154 wins from 846 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 26 together 12WIN %
5

Elite Approach

Finley Marsh Joey Ramsden

57SR 65RPR 79OR 40/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+35 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 48 +5

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 47% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Finley Marsh 219 wins from 1583 rides 14 WIN %
  • Joey Ramsden 13 wins from 198 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 18 together 0WIN %
6

Montezin

Cam Hardie Antony Brittain

67SR 83RPR 77OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+45 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 48 +5

Going Record

on Good
50%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 2 placed · 10 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 47% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Cam Hardie 124 wins from 2097 rides 6 WIN %
  • Antony Brittain 79 wins from 898 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 48 wins from 608 together 8WIN %
7

Prince of Pillo

Harry Russell Richard & Peter Fahey

52SR 86RPR 72OR 40/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 48 -23

Going Record

on Good
31%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 3 placed · 26 runs

This runner 35% · Field avg 47% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Harry Russell 47 wins from 577 rides 8 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 23 together 4WIN %
8

King of Ithaca

Rob Hornby James Tate

70SR 78RPR 72OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 48 -10

Going Record

on Good
37%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 8 placed · 38 runs

This runner 43% · Field avg 47% -4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Rob Hornby 243 wins from 2112 rides 12 WIN %
  • James Tate 125 wins from 674 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 27 together 19WIN %
9

Supreme Clarets

Oisin McSweeney Richard & Peter Fahey

76SR 74RPR 73OR 20/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 65 · Field avg 48 +17

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 47% -9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Oisin McSweeney 67 wins from 641 rides 10 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 22 together 0WIN %
10

Not That Guy

Cieren Fallon Hugo Palmer

83SR 77RPR 72OR 11/4Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 48 +7

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 47% +3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Cieren Fallon 336 wins from 1914 rides 18 WIN %
  • Hugo Palmer 208 wins from 1595 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 45 together 11WIN %
11

Jersey Maverick

Aiden Brookes Ben Haslam

60SR 80RPR 69OR 22/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-27 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 48 -9

Going Record

on Good
32%
~ Mixed

1 win, 5 placed · 19 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 47% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Aiden Brookes 56 wins from 632 rides 9 WIN %
  • Ben Haslam 99 wins from 701 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 16 together 0WIN %
12

War Howl

Andrew Mullen Ben Haslam

50SR 72RPR 67OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 48 -17

Going Record

on Good
30%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 4 placed · 20 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 47% -9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Andrew Mullen 159 wins from 1576 rides 10 WIN %
  • Ben Haslam 99 wins from 701 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 32 wins from 231 together 14WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
9 Drifters
0 Flat