Market Rasen 15:41 RESULTED
Class 4 8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m5f89y

Official Result

Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Court In A Storm (IRE) Ciaran Gethings · Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
    7/2
  2. 100/30
  3. 11/10F
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Shabalko d'Herm silks
Shabalko d'Herm
Age 6 · 11-10
11567-
120
120
123
6
11-10
★★★★☆
—
11/8 32/17 6/5
Winner twice in his last five starts, with a first four and five starts back, Shabalko d'Herm has run over today's going before and tops our rankings on 122 against an official 120, but 179 days off and a drift down to seventh last time out are the concern.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Thickthorn Tom silks
Thickthorn Tom
Age 6 · 11-7
211122
117
124
113
6
11-7
★★★★☆
—
7/2 3/2 7/2
Thickthorn Tom has finished second in each of his last two starts, and he won three in a row before that, so he arrives in cracking order after 20 days off, with experience of today's distance and going. The main risk is the 161 lb on his back, with our rating placing him fourth of four.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Court In A Storm silks
Court In A Storm
Age 7 · 11-6
3-245F
116
114
119
7
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 5/2 3/1
Court In A Storm showed solid recent form before his latest fall, with a second four starts back and a third five back, and he has run on today's going before. Off 160 lb after 46 days off, the main risk is how he bounces back from that tumble.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lermoos Legend silks
Lermoos Legend
Age 11 · 11-2
73222F
112
114
120
11
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 11/4 7/2
Three straight seconds before a fall last time out underline Lermoos Legend's consistency, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Back just three days later, he's yet to win in his last six, but our pick on overall profile.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Shabalko d'Herm 11/8 open 3.25 5/4 open 3.00 11/8 open 2.88 11/8 open 2.88 5/4 open 3.25 6/5 open 3.00 11/8 Bet365
2 Thickthorn Tom 7/2 open 3.25 4/1 open 2.50 4/1 open 2.63 4/1 open 2.63 4/1 open 3.25 9/2 open 2.63 9/2 Betfred
3 Court In A Storm 3/1 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
4 Lermoos Legend 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Shabalko d'Herm

Live signal

Shabalko d'Herm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lermoos Legend

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Mickey Bowen
✓ Value Signal

Court In A Storm

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

3/1 · Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Shabalko d'Herm
65.2 11/8
2 4. Lermoos Legend
62.7 7/2
3 3. Court In A Storm
62.6 3/1
4 2. Thickthorn Tom
61.2 7/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Shabalko d'Herm
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-10
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 7 · 11-6
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-7
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 11 · 11-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Shabalko d'Herm
Confidence: Speculative

Shabalko d'Herm (SR 120, 2/1) carries top-weight of 11-10 but holds the joint-highest SR in this tiny four-runner Class 4 field and represents the yard with the combination of Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies plus Sam Twiston-Davies in the saddle (17% strike rate from 1,009 rides). The market has shortened 5% since opening, indicating quiet but directional support, and the GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is a meaningful positive given the form string ends with a dash (likely absence rather than poor run). The 179-day absence is the key risk, but the stable's confidence shown by riding Sam and the in-movement pricing suggests they are happy with the horse going into this. Each-way alternative: Thickthorn Tom. Main danger: Thickthorn Tom — Thickthorn Tom (SR 124, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has the strongest recent form (211122), proven distance fit (DistFit:+), and is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate) with Harry Skelton aboard (26% strike rate) — the drift of 24% is likely explained by the MarkMv:+10 running off a mark 10lb higher than its last win, but if the class drop (ClassMv:↓1) compensates, it has the raw ability to win this easily.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Thickthorn Tom (SR 124) holds a higher speed rating, is race-fit on just 20 days since last run, and is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate) — a materially stronger combination than Shabalko d'He…
  • 179-day absence is a concrete fitness risk in a four-runner race with no room to hide; a first-season-back blunder or early fade is amplified when every rival is visible.
  • Thickthorn Tom has drifted 24% in the market despite a superior SR, suggesting bookmakers have identified a vulnerability in Shabalko d'Herm's price rather than genuine weakness in the rival.
  • Carrying top-weight of 11-10 on a return from a 179-day layoff means Shabalko d'Herm faces the double burden of fitness deficit AND the highest impost in the field simultaneously.
Shortlist Shabalko d'Herm, Thickthorn Tom, Court In A Storm
Each-way: Thickthorn Tom Danger: Thickthorn Tom

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m5f89y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade