Ayr 14:55 RESULTED
Class 6 8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Heverlee Handicap Stakes

Heverlee Handicap Stakes · 0m7f50y

Official Result

Heverlee Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Launch Time (GB) Hector Crouch · Cian Hughes
    2/1F
  2. 12/1
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Thequietman silks
Thequietman
Age 5 · 9-9
5998P0
60
34
74
5
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 18/1
Thequietman is our top-rated runner, and his recent form is patchy: winless in his last six, with a fifth six starts back his best finish. He has run over today's trip and going, is back after 17 days, and 135 lb off an official 60 looks workable, with our rating of 74 clear of this field.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Lesley's Boy silks
Lesley's Boy
Age 4 · 9-9
058842
60
55
66
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 FCST 6/1
Lesley's Boy comes here in rising form after a second last time out, just 17 days ago, and he has run over today's trip before; our figures rank him third of ten. The risk is that he is still yet to win in his last six starts, with a pair of eighths among them.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Big Apple Jack silks
Big Apple Jack
Age 4 · 9-9
254214
60
64
63
4
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 FCST 3/1
Big Apple Jack has been consistent, winning two starts back and finishing second three starts back, and he returns just 12 days after a fourth last time out, having run over today's trip. Our rating of 63 sits above his official 60, but the stable's 1/27 record over the last 14 days is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Launch Time silks
Launch Time
Age 4 · 9-6
931726
57
63
59
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 32/17
Launch Time was a sixth last time out after a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, though only one win in his last six starts keeps him a midfield proposition. Fresh after 28 days, he carries 132 lb from stall four, and our rating of 59 ranks him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Saxon Prince silks
Saxon Prince
Age 3 · 9-5
526096
58
56
61
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 4/1
Saxon Prince has been rather workmanlike lately, sixth last time out after a ninth, though a second five starts back shows he has some ability, and he has run over today's trip before. He is yet to win in his last six, and 131 lb from stall one asks a bit, though our rating of 61 sits just above his official 58.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Head For Freedom silks
Head For Freedom
Age 3 · 9-2
494588
55
52
69
3
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 8/1
Head For Freedom is a leading danger on our figures, ranked second of ten, and he has run over today's trip before, with fourths four and six starts back showing he can get involved. The risk is his form, two eighths in his last two outings and yet to win in recent starts, with a yard struggling at 1/27.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

7
Thunder Rush silks
Thunder Rush
Age 3 · 8-13
5707
52
38
47
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 11/1
Thunder Rush is winless in his last four, finishing seventh last time out, unplaced two starts back, then a seventh three starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and gets a 36-day break, but 125 lb from stall five and a 47 rating, ninth of ten, leave plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Bossy Parker silks
Bossy Parker
Age 6 · 8-11
251444
48
51
53
6
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 8/1
Bossy Parker has finished fourth in each of his last three outings, with a win four starts back, and he's fresh enough after 20 days off; he has run over today's trip and going, but being ranked seventh of ten by our rating suggests he'll find it tough to get his head in front from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Fair Isle Sioux silks
Fair Isle Sioux
Age 6 · 8-9
/65800
44
18
41
6
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 33/1 50/1
Fair Isle Sioux is winless in her last five, with unplaced runs last time out and two starts back, and nothing better than a fifth four starts back. She has run over today's trip and is rated 40 by us, bottom of ten, so she's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

10
Long Shot silks
Long Shot
Age 3 · 8-7
404753
46
42
51
3
8-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 6/1 14/1
Winless in his last six, Long Shot is hard to fancy, though he was third last time out, just 16 days ago, and has run over today's trip. A fifth and a seventh before that show the pattern, and he's ranked eighth of ten on our figures from draw 8.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Thequietman 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
2 Lesley's Boy 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
3 Big Apple Jack 7/2 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Launch Time 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.25 9/4 85/40 open 3.50 9/4 5/2 Bet365
5 Saxon Prince 4/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Paddy Power
6 Head For Freedom 11/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 11/1 10/1 12/1 Paddy Power
7 Thunder Rush 14/1 open 7.50 20/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 8.50 20/1 Paddy Power
8 Bossy Parker 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Fair Isle Sioux 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 Bet365
10 Long Shot 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Big Apple Jack

Speculative

Big Apple Jack owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Michael & David Easterby Billy Garritty
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Launch Time

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Cian Hughes
✓ Value Signal

Fair Isle Sioux

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Adam Nicol
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Big Apple Jack
47.6 7/2
2 4. Launch Time
46.8 5/2
3 2. Lesley's Boy
46.4 15/2
4 5. Saxon Prince
43.1 4/1
5 6. Head For Freedom
42.4 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Big Apple Jack
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-6
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-2
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

8
Age 6 · 8-11
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 8-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾 —

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Age 3 · 8-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Big Apple Jack
Confidence: Speculative

Big Apple Jack (SR 64, 10/3) is the standout in a low-grade field where ability separations are meaningful. His SR of 64 is the highest in the field, and crucially he is the Easterby yard's #1 runner — paired with Billy Garritty rather than the more experienced Mulrennan, but the market has spoken with an 8% inward move from opening, suggesting stable confidence. His form string 254214 shows consistent competitiveness including a recent second, and running off a mark only 3lb higher than his last win (MarkMv:+3) is manageable. At Class 6 in heavy ground over 7f50y, his weight of 9-9 is not punitive given he holds a clear SR edge over most rivals. Each-way alternative: Saxon Prince. Main danger: Saxon Prince — Saxon Prince (SR 56, 11/2) has steamed in 15% in the market — the strongest inward move in the field after Big Apple Jack — and carries only 9-5, giving him a weight advantage; a 3-year-old with that kind of market confidence in heavy ground on a fair mark warrants respect.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Launch Time (SR:63, 5/2 fav) is just 1 SR point behind Big Apple Jack, carries 3lb less at 9-6, and is ridden by Hector Crouch whose 18% strike rate significantly outperforms Garritty's 11% — a meani…
  • No heavy-going (HG) marker recorded for Big Apple Jack, raising doubt he has proven form in today's heavy ground at Ayr over 7f50y — a stamina-sapping trip where ground suitability is critical.
  • Saxon Prince is drifting in at 15% with the faster jockey Hart (14% SR) and carries only 9-5, while the stable runner Head For Freedom (Stable:1 alongside Big Apple Jack) gets Mulrennan (14% SR) — th…
  • Big Apple Jack's most recent run was a '4' (4th place finish), not the cited second, suggesting the form string 254214 ends on a below-par effort, and his mark is rising (+3) rather than flat or fall…
Shortlist Big Apple Jack, Saxon Prince, Launch Time, Lesley's Boy
Each-way: Saxon Prince Danger: Saxon Prince

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m7f50y Distance to cover
Heavy Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade