Market Rasen 16:48 RESULTED
Class 5 8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle Race

Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m4f139y

Official Result

Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Upton's Mighty Oak (GB) Luke Scott · Dr Richard Newland
    3/1
  2. 10/11F
  3. 15/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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13:30–17:55 · 10 races

Ayr

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14:10–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ratemenow silks
Ratemenow
Age 5 · 12-0
54562-
96
94
97
5
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
6/5 FCST Evs
Ratemenow bounced back with a second last time out after a run of fifth, fourth and sixth finishes, and he has run over today's trip before. Our top-rated runner at 97 against an official 96, he is yet to win in recent starts, though a 208-day absence is the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Slievehill silks
Slievehill
Age 9 · 11-10
/450P-
92
82
90
9
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 8/1 5/1
Slievehill has a leading chance on our figures, ranked third of five at 90 and having run on today's going before, but he returns after 259 days off and was pulled up last time out, unplaced before that, with a fifth and a fourth prior, so fitness is the big risk.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Footage Detectives silks
Footage Detectives
Age 5 · 11-5
8787-
87
71
71
5
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 15/2
Footage Detectives is hard to fancy, having finished seventh last time out, eighth two starts back, seventh three starts back and eighth four starts back, and she is winless in that spell. Returning after 167 days off and carrying 159 lb, her one positive is that she has run on today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Return With Gold silks
Return With Gold
Age 4 · 10-10
34-9
80
76
74
4
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 7/2 15/2
Return With Gold steps up the case with a third and a fourth in two of his last three outings, and he has run on today's going before. The ninth last time out and 41 days off the track are the main concerns, and he carries 150 lb.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Upton's Mighty Oak silks
Upton's Mighty Oak
Age 4 · 10-9
4047-
79
84
93
4
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 5/2 11/4
Our rating of 93 ranks her second of five, and she's a leading danger, having finished fourth twice in her last four starts and carrying 149 lb off an official mark of 79; the one concern is a 224-day absence after a seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ratemenow 6/5 open 2.00 11/10 open 2.25 11/10 open 2.38 11/10 open 2.38 11/10 open 2.38 evn open 2.38 6/5 Bet365
2 Slievehill 6/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Footage Detectives 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 8/1 Paddy Power
4 Return With Gold 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 4.50 17/2 Betfred
5 Upton's Mighty Oak 3/1 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Upton's Mighty Oak

Speculative

Upton's Mighty Oak owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Dr Richard Newland Luke Scott(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ratemenow

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/5 · Susan Corbett
✓ Value Signal

Return With Gold

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

15/2 · Ollie Pears
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Upton's Mighty Oak
57.9 3/1
2 1. Ratemenow
57.0 6/5
3 2. Slievehill
55.1 6/1
4 4. Return With Gold
48.9 15/2
5 3. Footage Detectives
46.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ratemenow
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 12-0
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 10-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 11-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-5
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 10-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ratemenow
Confidence: Speculative

Ratemenow (SR 94, 11/8) is the class benchmark in this field, carrying a 10lb SR advantage over the next-best Upton's Mighty Oak (SR 84) and a 22-point gap over Footage Detectives (SR 71). Although top-weight at 12-0, the margin of ability over this modest Class 5 field justifies the burden, and on good ground the weight penalty is less punishing than it would be in soft conditions. The favourite tag here is backed by genuine SR superiority rather than market sentiment alone — Susan Corbett's 11% strike rate is modest but Nathan Moscrop, who rides for the yard regularly, is a capable claimer who will not add to the weight disadvantage. The market has not drifted, which confirms no stable concerns. Each-way alternative: Upton's Mighty Oak. Main danger: Slievehill — Slievehill's 29% market move inward is the most significant market signal in the race and Kielan Woods (14% career strike rate, 579 runners) is a meaningful booking upgrade — if the stable believes the 9-year-old has rediscovered form, it could outrun its SR of 82 at 13/2.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ratemenow's form reads 54562- with a closing dash indicating a DNF or pull-up last time; if last run ended in a fall/unseated/PU, fitness and confidence must be questioned ahead of today.
  • Jockey Nathan Moscrop has a 9% strike rate across 290 rides — notably below the 14-19% posted by rivals Hughes (Brian, 19%) and Kielan Woods (14%), giving Ratemenow a meaningful in-race riding disadv…
  • At 12-0 top weight against 4-year-olds on 10-9 and 10-10, the 14-17lb swing to younger rivals is a concrete concern; Class 5 handicaps at Market Rasen over jumps regularly see top-weights punished wh…
  • Trainer Susan Corbett's 11% strike rate from 244 runners is modest, and there is no market move (no shortening) to suggest stable confidence — flat book at 11/8 while Upton's Mighty Oak at 7/2 has no…
Shortlist Ratemenow, Upton's Mighty Oak, Slievehill
Each-way: Upton's Mighty Oak Danger: Slievehill

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f139y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade