Outcider Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y
SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Rory's Gold | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Toralou | 10/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 3 Golden Caviar | 33/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Blufferonthebus | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 Betfred |
| 5 Ravishing Beauty | 12/1 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Gainsbourg | 14/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Ey Up Its Jazz | 9/1 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Keats House | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Penelope's Sister | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Myrrh | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Scheffler | 50/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Evelyn's Phoenix | 14/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Hear The Drums | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Flying Moonlight | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Blufferonthebus owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Blufferonthebus (SR:63, 11/2) is joint-top rated in the field and is the standout case on multi-signal alignment: GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability in heavy conditions — the single most important factor on a saturated Ayr track — and the market has steamed in 19% since opening, suggesting stable confidence. Carrying only 9-10 (lighter than the two top-weights above 9-11), he drops slightly in class (ClassMv:=) and is marginally better off at the weights than joint-SR equal Keats House (also 63 but on blinkers first-time at a new course). Jockey Sam James posts a 14% career strike rate across 1,274 rides — reliable professionalism at this level. The recent form 329372 shows consistent competitiveness without a big win, but the going today (heavy) is precisely where this horse has been proven, and the class drop combined with a -2 mark move gives a winnable scenario. Each-way alternative: Penelope's Sister. Main danger: Keats House — Keats House matches Blufferonthebus on SR:63, has also steamed in 20% in the market, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) with a -2 mark move, and jockey Billy Garritty is reliable at 11% — the blinkers application could unlock improvement if the class drop is the key.