Tramore 15:20 RESULTED
8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m4f73y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Baymount (IRE) Danny Mullins · Anthony Mullins
    12/1
  2. 11/10F
  3. 13/8
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Thurles

13:16–17:20 · 8 races

Bath

13:30–17:55 · 10 races

Ayr

13:45–17:13 · 7 races

Market Rasen

13:56–16:48 · 6 races

Tramore

14:10–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Baymount silks
Baymount
Age 5 · 10-13
P-P342
—
142
—
5
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 13/2 6/1
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Blue Trix silks
Blue Trix
Age 5 · 10-13
73
—
153
—
5
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/2 4/1
SR 153 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 153 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Clarnagh Maid silks
Clarnagh Maid
Age 6 · 10-13
43020-
103
94
103OR
6
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
20/1 8/1 20/1
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Kilbree Nouvella silks
Kilbree Nouvella
Age 6 · 10-13
PPP-0
—
122
—
6
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1 66/1 150/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Shing Shang Lily silks
Shing Shang Lily
Age 5 · 10-13
755-3P
95
72
95OR
5
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 11/1 33/1
SR 72 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Tutu Twist silks
Tutu Twist
Age 5 · 10-13
4233-2
—
158
—
5
10-13
★★★★☆
—
11/8 3/2 5/4
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Ronnie's Rascal silks
Ronnie's Rascal
Age 4 · 10-11
36-423
104
111
104OR
4
10-11
★★★★☆
—
9/4 FCST 2/1
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Baymount 7/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 7/1 Bet365
2 Blue Trix 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Clarnagh Maid 20/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 9.00 25/1 Paddy Power
4 Kilbree Nouvella 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 Bet365
5 Shing Shang Lily 33/1 open 12.00 50/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 50/1 Paddy Power
6 Tutu Twist 11/8 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 11/8 Bet365
7 Ronnie's Rascal 9/4 open 5.50 2/1 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tutu Twist

High conviction

Tutu Twist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Henry de Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Blue Trix

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · W. P. Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Kilbree Nouvella

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · James William Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Tutu Twist
74.7 11/8
2 2. Blue Trix
71.5 4/1
3 1. Baymount
68.0 7/1
4 7. Ronnie's Rascal
59.4 9/4
5 4. Kilbree Nouvella
51.1 150/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tutu Twist
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 5 · 10-13
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 4 · 10-11
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 111 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 5 · 10-13
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 153 🐾 —

SR 153 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-13
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 10-13
20/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tutu Twist
Confidence: Speculative

Tutu Twist leads the field on SR at 158 — a clear 5-point edge over Blue Trix and a massive gap to the rest — and at 6/4 the market has installed her favourite for good reason: Henry de Bromhead's 16% yard strike rate is solid, and Darragh O'Keeffe retains the ride with no sign of market drift, unlike both Mullins runners of note. Her form string of 4233-2 shows consistent placing behaviour rather than winning habit, but this is a weak 7-runner mares' maiden where the SR advantage is commanding. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a positive intervention signal suggesting connections are trying to unlock improvement, and on good ground with no GoingFit concern logged, there is no obvious physical reason to oppose her. Each-way alternative: Ronnie's Rascal. Main danger: Blue Trix — Blue Trix (SR:153) carries the Mullins/Townend combination — a 26% yard and 38% jockey — and despite drifting 10% her underlying ability rating makes her the most likely challenger if Tutu Twist underperforms.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 4233-2 shows Tutu Twist has never won in 6 career starts — consistent placing but zero winning habit, and mares' maidens can be lost multiple times by such horses.
  • Ronnie's Rascal is drifting IN 9% with a Mullins/Brian Hayes combination and a 4yo weight allowance (10-11 vs 10-13), representing a market signal that shrewd money is moving against the favourite.
  • Blue Trix (7/2) carries the Mullins/Townend powerhouse combination with a Stable:1 flag — despite the 10% drift, Willie Mullins at 26% yard strike rate vastly outperforms de Bromhead's 16% and Townen…
  • The tongue-tie is a first-time or new equipment flag, which can be a two-edged intervention — it introduces an unknown behavioural variable on race day rather than a proven confidence booster.
Shortlist Tutu Twist, Blue Trix, Ronnie's Rascal
Each-way: Ronnie's Rascal Danger: Blue Trix

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f73y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Tramore Track and setting