Tramore 14:45 RESULTED
8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Ardmore Handicap Hurdle

Ardmore Handicap Hurdle · 2m0f0y

Official Result

Ardmore Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lanzhou (FR) Daniel King · J P Flavin
    9/4F
  2. 7/2
  3. 5/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tingarran Express silks
Tingarran Express
Age 9 · 12-0
4-6293
100
90
101
9
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 11/4 6/1
Third last time out and a second three starts back show Tingarran Express can find the frame, and she has run over today's trip and going before, with our rating of 101 ranking her top of nine. The main risk is a 55-day absence under 168 lb, while she remains winless in her last five.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Goodmancon silks
Goodmancon
Age 6 · 11-13
85F349
99
71
97
6
11-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 10/1 22/1
Goodmancon makes plenty of appeal on profile: a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, and he is fit enough after 18 days off. Yet to win in his last six, but a ninth last time is the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Fenian Maxios silks
Fenian Maxios
Age 5 · 11-11
90208-
97
64
91
5
11-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 28/1
Fenian Maxios was only eighth last time out and returns after 175 days off, though he did finish second three starts back and has run over today's trip. Winless in his last five and ranked fifth of nine by our rating, he looks a midfield type carrying 165 lb.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
Lanzhou silks
Lanzhou
Age 5 · 11-6
09-072
92
88
88
5
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 2/1 32/17
Lanzhou bounced back with a second last time out after a run of modest efforts, and he has run over today's trip, but he is winless in his last five and returns after 53 days off. Carrying 160 lb off 92 looks a stiff ask, and our rating of 88 ranks him sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Million Dollar Man silks
Million Dollar Man
Age 5 · 11-2
P-6000
88
82
97
5
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 7/1 6/1
Million Dollar Man is winless in his last five and unplaced in each of his last three, yet our rating of 97 ranks him third of nine and sits well clear of his official mark of 88, while 31 days off gives him a fresh edge. The main risk is a yard going cold, with just 2 from 46 over the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ahellofaman silks
Ahellofaman
Age 4 · 10-12
756-F3
85
82
91
4
10-12
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 11/2 4/1
Ahellofaman is in fair shape after a third last time out just 14 days ago, and he has run over today's trip, so he looks a leading threat off 152 lb. The one concern is that he is yet to win in his last five starts, with a fell two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Polly Poppins silks
Polly Poppins
Age 6 · 10-10
587644
82
80
83
6
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 6/1 7/2
Polly Poppins is winless in her last six, though back-to-back fourths show some improvement, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Turning out just three days after her last run and carrying 150 lb, she looks hard to fancy, with our figures ranking her seventh of nine.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Breeze Of Tobruk silks
Breeze Of Tobruk
Age 4 · 10-7
90-P0
80
51
80OR
4
10-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 25/1 80/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Breeze Of Tobruk has little to show yet, unplaced last time out after being pulled up two starts back, but she is back within 14 days and may have more to offer from 147 lb off an official mark of 80.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Tasmanian Girl silks
Tasmanian Girl
Age 6 · 10-5
0-P965
77
73
80
6
10-5
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 13/2 7/1
Winless in her last five, Tasmanian Girl was fifth last time out after a sixth and a ninth, and a 50-day break adds to the doubts, while 145 lb is a big burden. She has run over today's trip, and our rating of 80 still ranks her eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tingarran Express 13/2 open 3.75 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 Bet365
2 Goodmancon 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Fenian Maxios 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Lanzhou 15/8 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Paddy Power
5 Million Dollar Man 7/1 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 Bet365
6 Ahellofaman 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
7 Polly Poppins 4/1 open 13.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
8 Breeze Of Tobruk 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 Bet365
9 Tasmanian Girl 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tingarran Express

Speculative

Tingarran Express owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Miss Denise Marie O'Shea Carl Millar(5)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ahellofaman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · John Joseph Hanlon
✓ Value Signal

Goodmancon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · P J Breen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Tingarran Express
56.3 13/2
2 6. Ahellofaman
54.8 5/1
3 4. Lanzhou
54.7 15/8
4 5. Million Dollar Man
53.0 7/1
5 7. Polly Poppins
52.7 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tingarran Express
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 11-6
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 10-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 10-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 9 · 12-0
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 11-2
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 10-5
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tingarran Express
Confidence: Speculative

Tingarran Express (SR 90, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by 2lb over Lanzhou (SR 88) and carries top-weight of 12-0, but the SR edge justifies it. The decisive factor is course form: W1P4 at Tramore is exceptional specialist record in a field where most rivals have none or negative course form. GoingFit:~ confirms reasonable handles on Good ground. The 29% market drift is a concern, but the trainer's 8% strike rate from a small yard and 55 days' freshness are not alarming, and the form string 4-6293 shows a place last time — there is recency of competitive effort. No other runner in the field combines SR leadership, proven course form, and a distance record that isn't outright poor (DistFit:~ vs a field full of DistFit:-). Each-way alternative: Lanzhou. Main danger: Lanzhou — Lanzhou (SR 88, 2/1) is the market leader, 6lb lighter than Tingarran Express at 11-6, with a progressive profile as a 5-year-old and jockey Daniel King's solid 10% career strike rate — the weight concession alone could offset the SR gap on Good ground.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 29% market drift is a sharp move against for a horse at 9/2 — punters with course knowledge are clearly opposing, suggesting stable confidence is absent today.
  • Carries 12-0 top weight conceding 8lb to Lanzhou (SR 88, 2/1 market mover) — at Tramore's tight, testing circuit that physical burden is a real leveller over the distance.
  • Form string 4-6293 shows a 9-year-old trending downward; last two finishes are a 9th and 3rd, not a pattern of a horse hitting form — the place last time masks a 3rd behind potentially weak oppositio…
  • Trainer strike rate of 8% from 49 runners is modest, and jockey Carl Millar at 11% from 290 rides is uninspiring — Lanzhou's combination of Daniel King (10%, 996) at a market-supported 2/1 is materia…
Shortlist Tingarran Express, Lanzhou, Ahellofaman, Polly Poppins
Each-way: Lanzhou Danger: Lanzhou

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Tramore Track and setting