Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 1m2f0y
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 West Tyrone | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 2 Naturalia | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Spanish Hustle | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 4 Royal Blaze | 20/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ghost Story | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 Coral |
| 6 Motawaared | 9/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Sweet Kiss | 10/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 8 Idyllic | 18/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Falcon Nine | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 Coral |
| 10 Vega Storm | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 11 Sophiesticate | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Tap Dancer | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Motawaared owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Falcon Nine leads the field on SR (68) and carries a favourable 9-6, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over the top-rated rivals. The 34% market move inward is the standout market signal in this race — money has been placed with purpose on an apprentice handicap on heavy ground at Ayr, and that confidence is hard to ignore. Course form of W0P3 at Ayr shows familiarity with the track, and the blinkers applied (HG:b) suggest connections are expecting a sharper performance. The class rise of one tier is a concern, but the SR edge and weight combination, backed by strong market support, make Falcon Nine the most compelling case in a moderate field. Each-way alternative: Motawaared. Main danger: Motawaared — Motawaared holds the highest SR in the field at 74, carries only 9-8, has Jim Goldie's clear yard support as the stable's number one, and a course record of W0P2 at Ayr — if DistFit:- proves less relevant on today's stamina-sapping heavy ground, it has the class to overhaul Falcon Nine.