Southwell (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 5 8 Oct 2026

Thursday 8 October Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m13y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rogue Citation (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell
    3/1F
  2. 9/2
  3. Third Kamaway (GB)
    4/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Style of Life silks
Style of Life
Age 6 · 10-0
5-0029
75
52
76
6
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 33/1
Style of Life is winless in her last five starts and was only ninth last time out, 16 days ago, so she is hard to fancy as our bottom-ranked runner of nine. A second two starts back and experience of today's trip and going offer some hope, but 140 lb from stall six is no help.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Wondrous Light silks
Wondrous Light
Age 4 · 9-13
141495
74
70
78
4
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 8/1
Wondrous Light has won twice in her last six, but she's slipped to a fifth last time out and a ninth two starts back, and a yard in poor form (1 from 20) adds doubt. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 78 puts her fifth of nine from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Poets Praise silks
Poets Praise
Age 3 · 9-11
54-41
75
81
79
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 32/17 10/3
Poets Praise won last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, so she arrives in good heart from stall one, with our rating of 79 backing her claims. The main risk is a 41-day break, and she carries 137 lb.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Likeness silks
Likeness
Age 3 · 9-11
-45213
75
82
78
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Third last time out, and a winner two starts back, Likeness is in decent form and fresh enough after 11 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 137 lb from stall nine, she sits sixth of nine on our rating of 78, so she looks more of a midfield player than a threat.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Kamaway silks
Kamaway
Age 4 · 9-10
812156
71
83
85
4
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 4/1
Kamaway has won twice in her last six starts, a first three starts back and another five back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 85 ranks her top of nine. The risk is her form tailing off lately, a fifth then a sixth last time, after 35 days off under 136 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rogue Citation silks
Rogue Citation
Age 3 · 9-10
-63143
74
85
81
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 4/1 11/4
Rogue Citation arrives in solid shape, third last time out and a winner three starts back, with a fresh 27 days since that run. She has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 81 ranks her second, though 136 lb from stall eight is a notable burden.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Silken Bay silks
Silken Bay
Age 3 · 9-7
136735
71
49
77
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 33/1
Silken Bay was only fifth last time and has finished sixth and seventh in two of her last four, so she is hard to fancy, though she has run over today's trip and going and was third two starts back. She returns after 37 days off. Our rating of 77 ranks her eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Lovers Leap silks
Lovers Leap
Age 3 · 9-5
316323
69
80
78
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 9/2 11/2
Lovers Leap has been in the frame in five of her last six, including a third last time out and a second two starts back, yet she has won just once, five starts back. She has run over today's trip and going, but ranking seventh of nine on our figures with 131 lb makes her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Jojo's Legacy silks
Jojo's Legacy
Age 3 · 9-3
34-865
67
65
80
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 7/1 12/1
Jojo's Legacy is winless in her last five, but a fifth last time out and a third five starts back sit alongside our rating of 80, third best of nine, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 158-day absence, so fitness is a question.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Style of Life 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
2 Wondrous Light 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 Bet365
3 Poets Praise 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 Bet365
4 Likeness 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
5 Kamaway 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
6 Rogue Citation 10/3 open 7.00 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 William Hill
7 Silken Bay 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Lovers Leap 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Betfred
9 Jojo's Legacy 14/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rogue Citation

Speculative

Rogue Citation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Edward Bethell Daniel Tudhope
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Likeness

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Jack Channon
✓ Value Signal

Silken Bay

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Dr Richard Newland
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Rogue Citation
54.8 10/3
2 4. Likeness
52.8 6/1
3 5. Kamaway
52.2 9/2
4 8. Lovers Leap
52.2 11/2
5 3. Poets Praise
51.8 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rogue Citation
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-11
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-3
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rogue Citation
Confidence: Speculative

Rogue Citation (SR 85, 9/2) leads the SR rankings and pairs that top ability rating with a course record of W1P1 at Southwell — a significant advantage on an AW specialist track. The market has shortened 12% from opening, signalling informed confidence, while Daniel Tudhope (18% career strike rate, 1,937 rides) is comfortably the strongest jockey booking in this field. Running off a mark only 2lb above last win (MarkMv:+2) is a much lighter penalty than rivals Kamaway (+4), Likeness (+4), or Poets Praise (+7), and same-class entry (ClassMv:=) means no step up in opposition. The tongue-tie is retained from previous headgear use, suggesting connections are optimising. Each-way alternative: Kamaway. Main danger: Kamaway — Kamaway (SR 83, 9/2) has steamed in 32% in the market — the strongest move in the field — and combines proven distance (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) with a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1), making it the clearest empirical threat to Rogue Citation.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Kamaway has shortened 32% in the market — far sharper move than Rogue Citation's 12% — suggesting stronger informed money is on a rival at the same odds of 9/2.
  • Form reads -63143: two defeats sandwiching the win, including a 6th last time at this level; the '3' prior to the win shows inconsistency rather than a progressive profile.
  • Poets Praise (11/4 market leader, SR 81) is trained by Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate) and despite the +7 mark rise is clearly the punters' choice — Rogue Citation is not even favourite despite the S…
  • 27 days since last run is fine, but the course record of W1P1 from only 2 starts is a thin sample — Silken Bay also holds W1P1 at Southwell and is likely to set or contest a strong pace, potentially…
Shortlist Rogue Citation, Kamaway, Poets Praise, Lovers Leap
Each-way: Kamaway Danger: Kamaway

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade