Calm Flight Ahead arrives on a two-race winning streak, having won last time out and two starts back, after 20 days off, but he carries 166 lb and his yard is cold at 1/34 over the last 14 days. Our rating of 93 has him eighth of 13.
Form last 600-P11
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR93RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Doctor Confusion arrives in improving shape, third last time out and a fourth two starts back after 20 days off, and he has run on today's going before. Yet he is winless in his last five and carries 166 lb, while our rating of 94 ranks him only seventh of 13.
Form last 66P-843
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR94RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hatfield Hammer has been consistent without being sharp, a sixth last time out following an unseated two starts back, and he is winless in his last five. He has run over today's trip and going and is fit after 19 days, but 166 lb is a big burden off 97.
Form last 6-634U6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR95RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Installment has been pulled up in two of his last three outings, and he is winless in his last five starts, with a fourth four starts back his best finish. Fifteen days since his last run keeps him fresh, but 166 lb is a big burden, and our rating of 95 only ranks him sixth of 13.
Form last 67-4P0P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR95RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
King Gris has tailed off since a win five starts back, finishing a fifth, a fifth, a seventh and then unplaced last time, so he is hard to fancy under 166 lb off an official mark of 90. He has run over today's trip and is fit enough after 20 days, but our rating of 86 ranks him 12th of 13.
Form last 615-570
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR87RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Laska Du Breuil is hard to fancy, unplaced in his last two outings after a win three starts back, and he returns just six days after his last run for a yard managing only 2/46 lately. Carrying 166 lb, he has run on today's going, but our figures rank him ninth of 13.
Form last 66P-100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR89RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Le Vent d'Ex has yet to win in his last four starts, unplaced in his last three after being pulled up four runs back. He's fresh enough after 14 days off and carries 166 lb.
Form last 6/P-000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Palace Boy is a real threat on our figures, ranked third of 13 on 108, and he's fresh from a run just 13 days ago with experience of today's going. The risk is plain, though: he unseated last time and is without a win in his last five, while carrying 166 lb.
Form last 60-050U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
70SR108RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Rattledelatch comes into this fresh from a fourth last time out just 14 days ago, and a second two starts back shows he can get involved. Our top-rated runner at 116, he is yet to win in recent starts, but he looks the one to beat despite carrying 166 lb.
Form last 6-96024
★AI Rating★★★★☆
113SR116RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Cruisin Susan is winless in her last five, unplaced last time and an eighth two starts back, so she is hard to fancy from 41 days off under 159 lb. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and going, and was third three starts back, while our figures rank her 11th of 13.
Form last 6-68380
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR88RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kimy is fit after just 11 days off and has run over today's trip and going, with a third two starts back her best recent effort; our ratings have her second of 13. The risk is that she's yet to win in her last five starts and carries a stiff 159 lb.
Form last 60093-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR108RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lunar Majesty is winless in her last five, finishing sixth last time out, sixth two starts back and fifth three starts back, which makes her hard to fancy under 159 lb. She has run over today's trip and had 27 days off, while a third five starts back is her best recent effort.
Form last 636-566
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR89RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Moonlight Paradise won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while a busy 19-day turnaround suggests she's fit, and our rating of 96 ranks her fourth of 13. The risk is a disappointing eighth last time out, and 159 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6-4P518
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR96RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rattledelatch owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/10John QueallyI. J. Power
78%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Kimy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Thomas Mullins✓ Value Signal
Palace Boy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
100/1 · John F Gleeson◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rattledelatch (SR:113) is the clear class standout in this field — the SR of 113 is 16 points clear of the next-best Kimy (SR:97) and a full 30 points clear of the majority of the field. The 16% market shortening to 1/1 is significant in a beginners' chase where confidence in a horse's jumping is prized above all else. While the GoingFit:- is a concern, every other market-fancied runner carries similar or worse ground reservations. The trainer John Queally has experience placing horses correctly at this level, and the horse's age (5) suggests a progressive profile rather than a declining one.
Each-way alternative: Kimy.
Main danger: Calm Flight Ahead — Calm Flight Ahead (SR:90) carries recent back-to-back wins in its form (Form:00-P11), wears blinkers that appear to have transformed its profile, and at 13/2 retains some market respect despite the 25% drift — if the wins represent genuine improvement on good ground over this trip, it is the most dangerous upside runner.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads -96024: has not won in recent starts and finished 4th last time out — no win to build on as it steps up to fences for the first time in a beginners' chase.
GoingFit:h (hard) is a specific flag against this horse; Tramore in October can catch cut-in-ground conditions that contradict its going preference, which is a material risk.
Jockey I.J. Power has only an 8% strike rate from 83 rides — modest book for an evens shot in a competitive beginners' chase where jumping errors can be costly.
Kimy (SR:97) has been heavily market-backed (in 29%) with a course record of W1P3 at this track, combining proven jumping ability here with strong handler support that the primary analyst may have un…