Race Card Explorer BETA

16:05 Ayr 8 Oct 2026 San Miguel Handicap Stakes

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 0m7f50y Trip
  • Heavy Going
Racecard
1

One Night Thunder

Rhys Elliott(5) Gemma Tutty

74SR 78RPR 70OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 47 -4

Going Record

on Heavy
29%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 40% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rhys Elliott 47 wins from 655 rides 7 WIN %
  • Gemma Tutty 64 wins from 602 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 17 together 0WIN %
2

Monsieur Kodi

Warren Fentiman(3) Richard & Peter Fahey

46SR 79RPR 74OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 47 -10

Going Record

on Heavy
47%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 5 placed · 15 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 40% -40

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Warren Fentiman 73 wins from 807 rides 9 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 109 together 10WIN %
3

Cisco Disco

Cian Horgan(5) R. Mike Smith

62SR 75RPR 74OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+30 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 47 -7

Going Record

on Heavy
57%
★ Specialist

5 wins, 3 placed · 14 runs

This runner 60% · Field avg 40% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Cian Horgan 22 wins from 421 rides 5 WIN %
  • R. Mike Smith 61 wins from 604 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
4

Stanage

Billy Garritty Michael & David Easterby

73SR 83RPR 71OR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 47 -4

Going Record

on Heavy
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 40% +27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Billy Garritty 141 wins from 1234 rides 11 WIN %
  • Michael & David Easterby 180 wins from 1777 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 53 wins from 475 together 11WIN %
5

Empirestateofmind

Jason Hart John & Sean Quinn

89SR 84RPR 71OR 15/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 74 · Field avg 47 +27

Going Record

on Heavy
67%
✓ Proven

6 wins, 8 placed · 21 runs

This runner 71% · Field avg 40% +31

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Hart 393 wins from 2755 rides 14 WIN %
  • John & Sean Quinn 97 wins from 795 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 64 wins from 505 together 13WIN %
6

The Gay Blade

Jack Nicholls(3) Iain Jardine

45SR 68RPR 69OR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-50 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 47 +3

Going Record

on Heavy
38%
~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 40% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jack Nicholls 68 wins from 583 rides 12 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 187 wins from 1594 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 50 together 22WIN %
7

Ashen

Paul Mulrennan Jim Goldie

69SR 72RPR 68OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 47 +3

Going Record

on Heavy
80%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 4 placed · 5 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 40% +60

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Paul Mulrennan 350 wins from 2470 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 289 wins from 2088 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 144 wins from 780 together 18WIN %
8

Emery Down

Oisin Orr John Ryan

63SR 68RPR 65OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-33 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 47 +6

Going Record

on Heavy
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 40% -40

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Oisin Orr 230 wins from 1606 rides 14 WIN %
  • John Ryan 23 wins from 261 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
9

Tactical Plan

Hector Crouch Ed Dunlop

48SR 71RPR 64OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 47 -22

Going Record

on Heavy
62%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 3 placed · 8 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 40% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Hector Crouch 361 wins from 1962 rides 18 WIN %
  • Ed Dunlop 136 wins from 1126 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 82 together 15WIN %
10

Valentine Catcher

David Allan Tim Easterby

66SR 68RPR 60OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 54 · Field avg 47 +7

Going Record

on Heavy
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 40% -40

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 283 wins from 2228 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 504 wins from 4728 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 241 wins from 1866 together 13WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
7 Drifters
0 Flat